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Sample records for period event observations

  1. Observations of deep long-period (DLP) seismic events beneath Aleutian arc volcanoes; 1989-2002

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Power, J.A.; Stihler, S.D.; White, R.A.; Moran, S.C.

    2004-01-01

    Between October 12, 1989 and December 31, 2002, the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) located 162 deep long-period (DLP) events beneath 11 volcanic centers in the Aleutian arc. These events generally occur at mid- to lower-crustal depths (10-45 km) and are characterized by emergent phases, extended codas, and a strong spectral peak between 1.0 and 3.0 Hz. Observed wave velocities and particle motions indicate that the dominant phases are P- and S-waves. DLP epicenters often extend over broad areas (5-20 km) surrounding the active volcanoes. The average reduced displacement of Aleutian DLPs is 26.5 cm2 and the largest event has a reduced displacement of 589 cm2 (or ML 2.5). Aleutian DLP events occur both as solitary events and as sequences of events with several occurring over a period of 1-30 min. Within the sequences, individual DLPs are often separated by lower-amplitude volcanic tremor with a similar spectral character. Occasionally, volcano-tectonic earthquakes that locate at similar depths are contained within the DLP sequences. At most, Aleutian volcanoes DLPs appear to loosely surround the main volcanic vent and occur as part of background seismicity. A likely explanation is that they reflect a relatively steady-state process of magma ascent over broad areas in the lower and middle portions of the crust. At Mount Spurr, DLP seismicity was initiated by the 1992 eruptions and then slowly declined until 1997. At Shishaldin Volcano, a short-lived increase in DLP seismicity occurred about 10 months prior to the April 19, 1999 eruption. These observations suggest a link between eruptive activity and magma flux in the mid- to lower-crust and uppermost mantle.

  2. Cells anticipate periodic events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Nakagaki, Toshiyuki

    2009-03-01

    We show that an amoeboid organism can anticipate the timing of periodic events. The plasmodium of the true slime mold Physarum polycephalum moves rapidly under favourable conditions, but stops moving when transferred to less-favourable conditions. Plasmodia exposed to unfavourable conditions, presented in three consecutive pulses at constant intervals, reduced their locomotive speed in response to each episode. When subsequently subjected to favourable conditions, the plasmodia spontaneously reduced their locomotive speed at the time point when the next unfavourable episode would have occurred. This implied anticipation of impending environmental change. After this behaviour had been evoked several times, the locomotion of the plasmodia returned to normal; however, the anticipatory response could subsequently be induced by a single unfavourable pulse, implying recall of the memorized periodicity. We explored the mechanisms underlying these behaviours from a dynamical systems perspective. Our results hint at the cellular origins of primitive intelligence and imply that simple dynamics might be sufficient to explain its emergence.

  3. Cluster observations of quasi-periodic impulsive signatures in the dayside northern lobe: High-latitude flux transfer events?

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Thompson, S. M.; Kivelson, M. G.; Khurana, K. K.; Balogh, A.; Reme, H.; Fazakerley, A. N.; Kistler, L. M.

    2004-01-01

    We report on a series of quasi-periodic reversals in GSM B(sub Z) observed by the four Cluster spacecraft in the northern dayside lobe poleward of the cusp on 23 February 2001. During an interval of about 35 min, multiple reversals (negative to positive) in B(sub Z) of approximately 1-min duration with an approximate 8-min recurrence time were observed. The individual structures do not resemble low-latitude flux transfer events (FTE) [Russell and Elphic, 1979] but the 8-min recurrence frequency suggests that intermittent reconnection may be occurring .Measurements (appropriately lagged) of the solar wind at ACE show that the IMF was southward-oriented with a strong B(sub X) and that a modest dynamic pressure increased as the events started. The multi-point observations afforded by the Cluster spacecraft were used to infer the motion (direction and speed) of the observed magnetic field reversals. The associated currents were also calculated and they are consistent with the spatial confinement of the observed magnetic field reversals. We propose that the observed reversals are due to flux tubes reconnecting with closed field lines on the dayside. Ancillary data from the Cluster Ion Spectrometry (CIS) and Plasma Electron And Current Experiment (PEACE) instruments were used to develop a physical picture of the reversals.

  4. Preliminary analysis of the Intensive Observation Period events occurred in Italy during the HyMeX campaign

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Ferretti, Rossella

    2013-04-01

    HyMeX (Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean eXperiment) is a project aimed at a better understanding and quantification of the hydrological cycle and related processes in the Mediterranean. As a part of HyMeX, Special Observation Periods (SOPs) are dedicated to provide detailed and specific observations to study key processes leading to orographic precipitation (ORP), heavy precipitation events (HPEs), and flash flood events (FFEs) in certain Target Areas (TAs). Informed by numerical weather forecasts and standard observations, Intensive Operation Periods (IOPs) are declared during the SOPs. Specific observations in the TAs are provided by operational measurements (ground meteorological networks, soundings, and remote-sensing instruments), coupled with specific measurements during IOPs from several instruments, such as disdrometers, sodars, lidars, research radars, extra soundings, etc. In this paper an overview is presented of the HyMeX IOPs in Italy during SOP1 (5 September - 6 November, 2012). The Hydro-Meteorological sites of interest were: Liguria-Tuscany (LT), northeastern Italy (NEI) and central Italy (CI). Typical situations encountered for HPEs in LT involved upper-level southwesterly flow with low-level moist southerly or southeasterly flow over the Tyrrhenian and the Ligurian Sea. Highlights include a measurement of 300 mm/24h of rain at the border between Liguria and Emilia on Sept. 26, 2012 during IOP7b. For NEI region, HPEs mainly occurred with upper level southwesterly flow ahead of advancing troughs with low-level moist southerly or southeasterly flow over the Adriatic Sea. Highlights include 120 mm/24h of rain in Friuli Venezia Giulia on Sept. 12, 2012 during IOP2. For CI region, HPEs and FFEs, a slowly propagating cut-off low centered over southern Italy was observed; the associated easterly flow on the north side of the cut-off low would frequently bring moisture into east central Italy from the Adriatic Sea. Highlights include an event with

  5. Periodicity in marine extinction events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Sepkoski, J. John, Jr.; Raup, David M.

    1986-01-01

    The periodicity of extinction events is examined in detail. In particular, the temporal distribution of specific, identifiable extinction events is analyzed. The nature and limitations of the data base on the global fossil record is discussed in order to establish limits of resolution in statistical analyses. Peaks in extinction intensity which appear to differ significantly from background levels are considered, and new analyses of the temporal distribution of these peaks are presented. Finally, some possible causes of periodicity and of interdependence among extinction events over the last quarter billion years of earth history are examined.

  6. Operation of a digital seismic network on Mount St. Helens volcano and observations of long period seismic events that originate under the volcano

    SciTech Connect

    Fehler, M.; Chouet, B.

    1982-09-01

    A 9 station digital seismic array was operated on Mount St. Helens volcano in Washington State during 1981. One of the stations was placed inside the crater of the volcano, six were located on the flanks of the volcano within two km of the crater and two were approximately ten km from the crater. Four of the instruments recorded three components of motion and the remaining five recorded only the vertical component. A one day experiment was carried out during which the crater monitoring seismometer was complimented by the addition of two ink recording instruments. During the one day experiment six observers recorded times of rockfall, felt-earthquake occurrences, and changes in steam emissions from the dome in the crater. Using information obtained during the one day experiment seismic events recorded by the digital instruments were classified as earthquakes, rockfalls, helicopter noise and a type of event that is unique to volcanoes which is called long period. Waveforms of these long period events have a duration of up to 30 seconds and a spectrum that is peaked at approximately 2 Hz. The frequency at which the peak in the spectrum occurs is nearly the same at all stations which means that the unique waveform of long period events is due to a source effect, not a path effect. The peak frequency is fairly insensitive to the amplitude of the signal which means that the size of the source region is constant, independent of the signal amplitude. Long period events were not felt and were accompanied by no visible changes inside the crater which lead to the conclusion that they are some sort of seismic disturbance generated inside the Volcano.

  7. Auroral activities observed by SNPP VIIRS day/night band during a long period geomagnetic storm event on April 29-30, 2014

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Shao, Xi; Cao, Changyong; Liu, Tung-chang; Zhang, Bin; Wang, Wenhui; Fung, Shing F.

    2015-10-01

    The Day/Night Band (DNB) of the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) onboard Suomi-NPP represents a major advancement in night time imaging capabilities. The DNB senses radiance that can span 7 orders of magnitude in one panchromatic (0.5-0.9 μm) reflective solar band and provides imagery of clouds and other Earth features over illumination levels ranging from full sunlight to quarter moon. When the satellite passes through the day-night terminator, the DNB sensor is affected by stray light due to solar illumination on the instrument. With the implementation of stray light correction, stray light-corrected DNB images enable the observation of aurora occurred in the high latitude regions during geomagnetic storms. In this paper, DNB observations of auroral activities are analyzed during a long period (> 20 hours) of geomagnetic storm event occurred on Apr. 29-30, 2014. The storm event has the Bz component of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) pointing southward for more than 20 hours. During this event, the geomagnetic storm index Dst reached -67 nT and the geomagnetic auroral electrojet (AE) index increased and reached as high as 1200 nT with large amplitude fluctuations. The event occurred during new moon period and DNB observation has minimum moon light contamination. During this event, auroras are observed by DNB for each orbital pass on the night side (~local time 1:30am) in the southern hemisphere. DNB radiance data are processed to identify regions of aurora during each orbital pass. The evolution of aurora is characterized with time series of the poleward and equatorward boundary of aurora, area, peak radiance and total light emission of the aurora in DNB observation. These characteristic parameters are correlated with solar wind and geomagnetic index parameters. It is found that the evolution of total area-integrated radiance of auroral region over the southern hemisphere correlated well with the ground geomagnetic AE index with correlation

  8. A Peculiar Lapse of Periodic Eclipsing Event at Low Mass X-ray Binary GRS 1747-312 during Suzaku Observation in 2009

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Saji, Shigetaka; Mori, Hideyuki; Matsumoto, Hironori; Dotani, Tadayasu; Iwai, Masachika; Maeda, Yoshitomo

    2015-08-01

    The Low Mass X-ray Binary (LMXB) GRS 1747-312 is a part of the globular cluster Terzan 6, located at a distance of 9.5 kpc from the Earth. Based on previous observations performed with BeppoSAX and RXTE, recurrent outbursts are known to occur with an interval of about 130-142 days. During the outbursts, periodic eclipses were discovered. During an eclipsing event, its flux declined precipitously by two orders of magnitude compared to its pre-eclipsing state. The periodic nature and its characteristic decline imply that this is likely a bona fide eclipsing event by an orbiting star. The duration (d) and orbital period (P) were estimated to be d = 2596 sec and P = 0.514980303 days.To investigate further, observations for outbursts were performed with Chandra (2004) and Swift (2013). In addition, XMM-Newton (2004) and Suzaku (2009) caught it at the quiescent state. All of the observations except for XMM-Newton included the time of the eclipses predicted. We analyzed archival data of these observations. The measured 0.5-10 keV flux were 5.7 × 10-10 erg cm-2 s-1 (Chandra), 2.0 × 10-13 (XMM), 1.1 × 10-11 (Suzaku) and 4.4 × 10-10 (Swift). During the Chandra and Swift observations, we found a sudden declining in the observed flux at the expected time of the eclipses. During the Suzaku observation, however, there were no signs for the predicted eclipses.Except for the Suzaku observation, the spectra were well described with a combination of blackbody and Comptonized emission models, commonly used for fitting on the spectra of LMXBs. The Suzaku spectrum, on the other hand, could be described with a Comptonized component covered partially by an absorber with NH ˜ 1023 cm-2 and covering fraction of ˜ 0.9. The spectrum had been becoming softer during the Suzaku observation. The softening may be explained by gradual decrease in the column density and covering fraction of the absorber. The spectral interpretation was consistent with the vanishing of the eclipses: the heavy

  9. Modeling event-related heart period responses.

    PubMed

    Paulus, Philipp C; Castegnetti, Giuseppe; Bach, Dominik R

    2016-06-01

    Cardiac rhythm is generated locally in the sinoatrial node, but modulated by central neural input. This may provide a possibility to infer central processes from observed phasic heart period responses (HPR). Currently, operational methods are used for HPR analysis. These methods embody implicit assumptions on how central states influence heart period. Here, we build an explicit psychophysiological model (PsPM) for event-related HPR. This phenomenological PsPM is based on three experiments involving white noise sounds, an auditory oddball task, and emotional picture viewing. The model is optimized with respect to predictive validity-the ability to separate experimental conditions from each other. To validate the PsPM, an independent sample of participants is presented with auditory stimuli of varying intensity and emotional pictures of negative and positive valence, at short intertrial intervals. Our model discriminates these experimental conditions from each other better than operational approaches. We conclude that our PsPM is more sensitive to distinguish experimental manipulations based on heart period data than operational methods, and furnishes a principled approach to analysis of HPR. PMID:26849101

  10. Interferometric observation of microlensing events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Cassan, Arnaud; Ranc, Clément

    2016-05-01

    Interferometric observations of microlensing events have the potential to provide unique constraints on the physical properties of the lensing systems. In this work, we first present a formalism that closely combines interferometric and microlensing observable quantities, which lead us to define an original microlensing (u, v) plane. We run simulations of long-baseline interferometric observations and photometric light curves to decide which observational strategy is required to obtain a precise measurement on vector Einstein radius. We finally perform a detailed analysis of the expected number of targets in the light of new microlensing surveys (2011+) which currently deliver 2000 alerts per year. We find that a few events are already at reach of long-baseline interferometers (CHARA, VLTI), and a rate of about six events per year is expected with a limiting magnitude of K ≃ 10. This number would increase by an order of magnitude by raising it to K ≃ 11. We thus expect that a new route for characterizing microlensing events will be opened by the upcoming generations of interferometers.

  11. Peculiar lapse of periodic eclipsing event at low-mass X-ray binary GRS 1747-312 during Suzaku observation in 2009

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Saji, Shigetaka; Mori, Hideyuki; Matsumoto, Hironori; Dotani, Tadayasu; Iwai, Masachika; Maeda, Yoshitomo; Mitsuishi, Ikuyuki; Ozaki, Masanobu; Tawara, Yuzuru

    2016-03-01

    GRS 1747-312 is a neutron star low-mass X-ray binary in the globular cluster Terzan 6, located at a distance of 9.5 kpc from the Earth. During its outbursts, periodic eclipses were known to occur. Observations for the outbursts were performed with Chandra in 2004 and Swift in 2013. XMM-Newton observed its quiescent state in 2004. In addition, when Suzaku observed it in 2009 as a part of Galactic center mapping observations, GRS 1747-312 was found to be in a low-luminosity state with Lx ˜ 1.2 × 1035 erg s-1. All of the observations except for XMM-Newton included the time of the eclipses predicted. We analyzed archival data of these observations. During the Chandra and Swift observations, we found clear flux decreases at the expected time of the eclipses. During the Suzaku observation, however, there were no clear signs for the predicted eclipses. The lapse of the predicted eclipses during the Suzaku observation can be explained by a contaminant source quite close to GRS 1747-312. When GRS 1747-312 is in the quiescent state, we observe X-rays from the contaminant source rather than from GRS 1747-312. However, we have no clear evidence for the contaminant source in our data. The lapse might also be explained by thick material (NH > 1024 cm-2) between the neutron star and the companion star, though the origin of the thick material is not clear.

  12. Peculiar lapse of periodic eclipsing event at low-mass X-ray binary GRS 1747-312 during Suzaku observation in 2009

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Saji, Shigetaka; Mori, Hideyuki; Matsumoto, Hironori; Dotani, Tadayasu; Iwai, Masachika; Maeda, Yoshitomo; Mitsuishi, Ikuyuki; Ozaki, Masanobu; Tawara, Yuzuru

    2016-06-01

    GRS 1747-312 is a neutron star low-mass X-ray binary in the globular cluster Terzan 6, located at a distance of 9.5 kpc from the Earth. During its outbursts, periodic eclipses were known to occur. Observations for the outbursts were performed with Chandra in 2004 and Swift in 2013. XMM-Newton observed its quiescent state in 2004. In addition, when Suzaku observed it in 2009 as a part of Galactic center mapping observations, GRS 1747-312 was found to be in a low-luminosity state with Lx ˜ 1.2 × 1035 erg s-1. All of the observations except for XMM-Newton included the time of the eclipses predicted. We analyzed archival data of these observations. During the Chandra and Swift observations, we found clear flux decreases at the expected time of the eclipses. During the Suzaku observation, however, there were no clear signs for the predicted eclipses. The lapse of the predicted eclipses during the Suzaku observation can be explained by a contaminant source quite close to GRS 1747-312. When GRS 1747-312 is in the quiescent state, we observe X-rays from the contaminant source rather than from GRS 1747-312. However, we have no clear evidence for the contaminant source in our data. The lapse might also be explained by thick material (NH > 1024 cm-2) between the neutron star and the companion star, though the origin of the thick material is not clear.

  13. Observations of flux transfer events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Farrugia, C. J.; Southwood, D. J.; Cowley, S. W. H.

    A decade of research on flux transfer events (FTEs) has supported their interpretation as signatures of reconnection between the solar and terrestrial magnetic fields. Some of the observational evidence is reviewed. Another observational signature of reconnection has been studied in the literature: high speed plasma flows satisfying approximately stress balance calculations. A well-documented crossing of the magnetopause is revisited to show how these signatures, which are prima facie so diverse and which have hitherto been studied in isolation, can be understood in terms of unsteady Petschek reconnection occurring at the magnetopause. A review of some works on FTEs using data from the AMPTE spacecraft highlights the advances made possible by that mission.

  14. Identifying Multiple Periodicities in Sparse Photon Event Time Series

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Koen, Chris

    2016-04-01

    The data considered are event times (e.g. photon arrival times, or the occurrence of sharp pulses). The source is multiperiodic, or the data could be multiperiodic because several unresolved sources contribute to the time series. Most events may be unobserved, either because the source is intermittent, or because some events are below the detection limit. The data may also be contaminated by spurious pulses. The problem considered is the determination of the periods in the data. A two-step procedure is proposed: in the first, a likely period is identified; in the second, events associated with this periodicity are removed from the time series. The steps are repeated until the remaining events do not exhibit any periodicity. A number of period-finding methods from the literature are reviewed, and a new maximum likelihood statistic is also introduced. It is shown that the latter is competitive compared to other techniques. The proposed methodology is tested on simulated data. Observations of two rotating radio transients are discussed, but contrary to claims in the literature, no evidence for multiperiodicity could be found.

  15. Identifying multiple periodicities in sparse photon event time series

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Koen, Chris

    2016-07-01

    The data considered are event times (e.g. photon arrival times, or the occurrence of sharp pulses). The source is multiperiodic, or the data could be multiperiodic because several unresolved sources contribute to the time series. Most events may be unobserved, either because the source is intermittent, or because some events are below the detection limit. The data may also be contaminated by spurious pulses. The problem considered is the determination of the periods in the data. A two-step procedure is proposed: in the first, a likely period is identified; in the second, events associated with this periodicity are removed from the time series. The steps are repeated until the remaining events do not exhibit any periodicity. A number of period-finding methods from the literature are reviewed, and a new maximum likelihood statistic is also introduced. It is shown that the latter is competitive compared to other techniques. The proposed methodology is tested on simulated data. Observations of two rotating radio transients are discussed, but contrary to claims in the literature, no evidence for multiperiodicity could be found.

  16. The INTIMATE event stratigraphy of the last glacial period

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Olander Rasmussen, Sune; Svensson, Anders

    2015-04-01

    The North Atlantic INTIMATE (INtegration of Ice-core, MArine and TErrestrial records) group has previously recommended an Event Stratigraphy approach for the synchronisation of records of the Last Termination using the Greenland ice core records as the regional stratotypes. A key element of these protocols has been the formal definition of numbered Greenland Stadials (GS) and Greenland Interstadials (GI) within the past glacial period as the Greenland expressions of the characteristic Dansgaard-Oeschger events that represent cold and warm phases of the North Atlantic region, respectively. Using a recent synchronization of the NGRIP, GRIP, and GISP2 ice cores that allows the parallel analysis of all three records on a common time scale, we here present an extension of the GS/GI stratigraphic template to the entire glacial period. In addition to the well-known sequence of Dansgaard-Oeschger events that were first defined and numbered in the ice core records more than two decades ago, a number of short-lived climatic oscillations have been identified in the three synchronized records. Some of these events have been observed in other studies, but we here propose a consistent scheme for discriminating and naming all the significant climatic events of the last glacial period that are represented in the Greenland ice cores. In addition to presenting the updated event stratigraphy, we make a series of recommendations on how to refer to these periods in a way that promotes unambiguous comparison and correlation between different proxy records, providing a more secure basis for investigating the dynamics and fundamental causes of these climatic perturbations. The work presented is a part of a newly published paper in an INTIMATE special issue of Quaternary Science Reviews: Rasmussen et al., 'A stratigraphic framework for abrupt climatic changes during the Last Glacial period based on three synchronized Greenland ice-core records: refining and extending the INTIMATE event

  17. Estimation of Maximum Likelihood of the Unextendable Dead Time Period in a Flow of Physical Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Gortsev, A. M.; Solov'ev, A. A.

    2016-03-01

    A flow of physical events (photons, electrons, etc.) is studied. One of the mathematical models of such flows is the MAP-flow of events. The flow circulates under conditions of the unextendable dead time period, when the dead time period is unknown. The dead time period is estimated by the method of maximum likelihood from observations of arrival instants of events.

  18. Operation of a digital seismic network on Mount St. Helens volcano and observations of long-period seismic events that originate under the volcano

    SciTech Connect

    Fehler, M.; Chouet, B.

    1982-01-01

    During the period May through October 1981, a nine station digital seismic array was operated on the flanks of Mount St. Helens volcano in the state of Washington. The purpose was to obtain high quality digital seismic data from a dense seismic array operating near and in the summit crater of the volcano to facilitate study of near field seismic waveforms generated under the volcano. Our goal is to investigate the source mechanism of volcanic tremor and seismic activity associated with magma intrusion, dome growth and steam-ash emissions occurring within the crater of Mount St. Helens.

  19. HR 1225 - New observations and period search

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    DuPuy, D. L.; Collins, G.; Swingler, D. N.

    1982-02-01

    Four nights of photoelectric observations of the delta Scuti star HR 1225 have been obtained. The light curve has a variable amplitude envelope indicating that more than one period is present. A search for periodicities using the Jurkevich method and Fourier analysis suggests periods of 0.156 d and 0.097 d. A least-squares solution yields a fair fit to the data with these two periods. The Fourier transform suggests that three periods are present.

  20. Calculation of fission observables through event-by-event simulation

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Randrup, Jørgen; Vogt, Ramona

    2009-08-01

    The increased interest in more exclusive fission observables has demanded more detailed models. We present here a new computational model, FREYA, that aims to meet this need by producing large samples of complete fission events from which any observable of interest can then be extracted consistently, including arbitrary correlations. The various model assumptions are described and the potential utility of the model is illustrated by means of several novel correlation observables.

  1. Calculation of Fission Observables Through Event-by-Event Simulation

    SciTech Connect

    Randrup, J; Vogt, R

    2009-06-04

    The increased interest in more exclusive fission observables has demanded more detailed models. We present here a new computational model, FREYA, that aims to met this need by producing large samples of complete fission events from which any observable of interest can then be extracted consistently, including arbitrary correlations. The various model assumptions are described and the potential utility of the model is illustrated by means of several novel correlation observables.

  2. HR 5960 - New observations and period search

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    DuPuy, D. L.; Burgoyne, L. G.

    1983-01-01

    New photoelectric observations of the Delta Scuti star HR 5960 (CL Dra) obtained on nine closely spaced nights are discussed. It is noted that periodicities in the range of 0.06 d to 0.069 d have already been reported for this star. A Jurkevich periodogram analysis and nonlinear least-squares analysis give a primary period of 0.0676 d, with a secondary period of 0.0493 d. There is still some uncertainty whether the primary period is 0.0676 d or 0.0685 d. On the average, 55 observations of the variable were obtained each night, with an average interval of 5.5 minutes between observations. The air mass of the observations varied from 1.06 to 1.3. In all, 492 observations of the variable star were made.

  3. Solar Energetic Particle Events Observed by MAVEN

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lee, C. O.; Larson, D. E.; Lillis, R. J.; Luhmann, J. G.; Halekas, J. S.; Brain, D.; Connerney, J. E. P.; Espley, J. R.; Epavier, F.; Thiemann, E.; Zeitlin, C.; Jakosky, B. M.

    2015-12-01

    We present observations of solar energetic particle (SEP) events made by the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) SEP instrument, which measures energetic ions and electrons impacting the upper Martian atmosphere. Since the arrival of the MAVEN spacecraft at Mars, a large number of solar flares and a few major coronal mass ejections (CMEs) erupted from the Sun. The SEPs are accelerated by the related shock in the solar corona or by the propagating interplanetary shock ahead of the CME ejecta. Mixed in with these SEPs are particles accelerated by the shocks of corotating streams, some of which have recurred for several solar cycles due to the persistent coronal hole sources. The SEP events are analyzed together with the upstream solar wind observations from the MAVEN Solar Wind Ion Analyzer (SWIA) and magnetometer (MAG). The sources of the SEP events are determined from Earth-based solar imagery and the MAVEN Extreme Ultra-violet Monitor (EUVM) together with numerical simulations of the inner heliospheric conditions. A comparison with the radiation dose rate measurements from the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) reveals a lack of ground signatures during the onset of the highest energy SEPs for the events observed by MAVEN, indicating that the SEPs fully deposit their energies into the Martian atmosphere. Using measurements made from the ensemble of instruments onboard MAVEN, we investigate the consequences of SEPs at Mars for a number of events observed during the primary science mapping phase of the MAVEN mission.

  4. Observations of Pluto-Charon mutual events

    SciTech Connect

    Blanco, C.; Di Martino, M.; Ferreri, W.; Osservatorio Astronomico, Turin )

    1989-07-01

    As part of the planned 'Pluto-Charon Mutual Eclipse Season Campaign', one mutual event was observed at the ESO Observatory on July 10, 1986 and seven mutual events were observed at the Serra La Nave stellar station of Catania Astrophysical Observatory from April 29 to July 21, 1987. At ESO the measurements were performed at the 61-cm Bochum telescope equipped with a photon-counting system and U, B, V, filters; at Serra La Nave the Cassegrain focus of the 91-cm reflector was equipped with a photon-counting system and B and V filters. The observed light losses and contact times do not show relevant systematic deviations from the predicted ones. An examination of the behavior of the B and V light curves gives slight indications of a different slope of the B and V light loss of the same event for a superior or an inferior event, and shows that the superior events are shallower at wavelengths longer than B. 6 refs.

  5. Molecular clouds and periodic events in the geologic past

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Thaddeus, P.

    1986-01-01

    The suggestion that a claimed 30 Myr period in the geologic past resulted from cometary impacts following encounters with molecular clouds as the solar system oscillates about the galactic plane poses a well-defined problem in the theory of shot noise. All recent CO surveys of the Galaxy clearly indicate that the concentration of molecular clouds in the galactic plane is not sufficient to allow a statistically significant period to be extracted from the small number of dated events. Of the order of 1000 events is probably required to obtain a credible period.

  6. Conditions for Recurrence of a Flow of Physical Events with Unextendable Dead Time Period

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Nezhel'skaya, L. A.

    2016-04-01

    A flow of physical events (photons, electrons, etc.) is studied. One of the mathematical models of such flows is the modulated MAP flow of events circulating under conditions of unextendable dead time period. The explicit form of the probability density of interarrival interval of the flow is presented together with the explicit form of the joint probability density of two adjacent intervals in the observed flow. The conditions for recurrence of the observable flow of events are presented.

  7. [Period-tripling in Multiscale Physical and Biological Events].

    PubMed

    Bondar, A T; Fedorov, M V; Kolombet, V A

    2015-01-01

    A recent paper by S.J. Puetz et al. (Chaos, Solitons -& Fractals, v. 62-63, p. 55, 2014) described a fundamental period-tripled model. It involves periods of different astronomical (quasars, Sun), geophysical (geomagnetic, climatic, volcanic) and some biological processes. This work contains statistics for sixteen pairs of a period-tripled sequence. These periods range from -50 years to 1.5 billion years and no signs of the timescale limitations are found. We believe that the universal scope of the fundamental period-tripled model can be used for the development of new methodology of research data analysis: the main idea is that the spectrum of the periods of the studied event should be tested for the similarity with the spectrum of fundamental period-tripling pattern (because of the fundamental nature of the period-tripled model). Using this method, in this study we complement an already described period-tripled model with periods of human memory performance ranging from one minute to one month also adding seven relevant periods/frequencies of the period-tripled model in the range of human hearing. We make a conclusion that these characteristic frequencies may form the basis for music and singing phenomena. The new methodology is particularly appropriate for being applied in medicine and engineering. PMID:26841519

  8. Multispacecraft observations of quasi-periodic emissions

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Nemec, Frantisek; Picket, Jolene S.; Santolik, Ondrej

    2014-05-01

    Quasi-periodic (QP) emissions are VLF electromagnetic waves in the frequency range of about 0.5-5 kHz which exhibit a periodic time modulation of the wave intensity. The modulation period is usually on the order of a few tens of seconds. The generation mechanism of these emissions is still not understood, but at least in some cases it appears to be related to ULF magnetic field pulsations which result in periodic modifications of the resonant conditions in the source region. We use multipoint measurements of QP emissions by the 4 Cluster spacecraft. The observations are obtained close to the equatorial region at radial distances of about 4 Earth radii, i.e. close to a possible generation region. A combined analysis of the high resolution data obtained by the WBD instruments and the ULF magnetic field data obtained by the FGM instruments allows for a detailed case-study analysis of these unique emissions. The presented analysis benefits from the recent close-separation configuration of three of the Cluster spacecraft (≡20-100 km) and a related timing analysis, which would be impossible otherwise.

  9. Events and Periods as Concepts for Organizing Historical Knowledge

    ERIC Educational Resources Information Center

    Shaw, Ryan Benjamin

    2010-01-01

    Events and periods are not objectively existing phenomena, but "concepts" we use to organize our knowledge of history. They make historical change comprehensible and help us orient ourselves with respect to the history of the culture in which we participate. Thus they are indispensable for describing both the content of history scholarship and the…

  10. Infrasonic observations of large scale HE events

    SciTech Connect

    Whitaker, R.W.; Mutschlecner, J.P.; Davidson, M.B.; Noel, S.D.

    1990-01-01

    The Los Alamos Infrasound Program has been operating since about mid-1982, making routine measurements of low frequency atmospheric acoustic propagation. Generally, we work between 0.1 Hz to 10 Hz; however, much of our work is concerned with the narrower range of 0.5 to 5.0 Hz. Two permanent stations, St. George, UT, and Los Alamos, NM, have been operational since 1983, collecting data 24 hours a day. This discussion will concentrate on measurements of large, high explosive (HE) events at ranges of 250 km to 5330 km. Because the equipment is well suited for mobile deployments, it can easily establish temporary observing sites for special events. The measurements in this report are from our permanent sites, as well as from various temporary sites. In this short report will not give detailed data from all sites for all events, but rather will present a few observations that are typical of the full data set. The Defense Nuclear Agency sponsors these large explosive tests as part of their program to study airblast effects. A wide variety of experiments are fielded near the explosive by numerous Department of Defense (DOD) services and agencies. This measurement program is independent of this work; use is made of these tests as energetic known sources, which can be measured at large distances. Ammonium nitrate and fuel oil (ANFO) is the specific explosive used by DNA in these tests. 6 refs., 6 figs.

  11. Automatic detection of iceberg calving events using seismic observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Andersen, M. L.; Larsen, T.; Hamilton, G. S.; Nettles, M.

    2014-12-01

    Iceberg calving at large, marine-terminating glaciers has been shown to be seismogenic. Seismic energy from these events is released slowly, resulting in characteristic low-frequency signals. The events therefore typically escape detection by traditional systematic methods. Here we show the results of a detection algorithm applied to data observed at two stations, both ~100 km from Helheim Glacier, South East Greenland, in 2007 and 2008 for the purpose of detecting calving-related seismic signals. The detector entails sliding a 150 s wide window over the observed vertical displacement seismograms at steps of one second. Relative power in the 1.1-3.3 s band is monitored, and the detector is activated when a pre-defined threshold is exceeded. We determine the threshold by calibrating the detector with a record of known events observed by time lapse cameras at Helheim Glacier and automatic detections of glacial earthquakes from the GSN (Global Seismic Network) stations. The resulting list of detections is then filtered for events overlapping with tectonic events, both local and global. We observe a clear periodicity in the detections, with most events occurring during the late summer and early fall, roughly coinciding with the end of the melt season. This apparent offset from peak melt intensity leads us to speculate that the pattern in calving is the result of a combination of the seasonal development of multiple physical properties of the glacier, i.e., surface crevassing, subglacial melt and crevassing, and the subglacial drainage system.

  12. Black Hole Observations - Towards the Event Horizon

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Britzen, Silke

    Black Holes are probably the most elusive solutions of Einstein's theory of General Relativity. Despite numerous observations of the direct galactic environment and indirect influence of astrophysical black holes (e.g. jets, variable emission across the wavelength spectrum, feedback processes, etc.) -- a direct proof of their existence is still lacking. This article highlights some aspects deduced from many observations and concentrates on the experimental results with regard to black holes with masses from millions to billions of solar masses. The focus will be on the challenges and remaining questions. The Event Horizon Telescopce (EHT) project to image the photon sphere of Sgr A* and its potential is briefly sketched. This instrumental approach shall lead to highest resolution observations of the supermassive black hole at the center of the Milky Way (Sgr A*).

  13. Plasma and field observations of a Pc 5 wave event

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Waite, J. H.; Gallagher, D. L.; Chappell, C. R.; Chandler, M. O.; Olsen, R. C.; Comfort, R. H.; Johnson, J. F. E.; Peterson, W. K.; Weimer, D.; Shawhan, S. D.

    1986-01-01

    The particle detector and electric field data collected by the Dynamo Explorer 1 on the Pc 5 wave event encounter on July 14, 1982 are presented, yielding a nearly complete picture of the event. The overall structure of the Pc 5 seems to order the event into two distinct halves, suggesting a temporal or spatial variation of the micropulsation. Thermal plasma measurements showed that the dominant ion throughout both lobes was H(+). Significant quantities of He(+), O(+), N(+), and O(2+) were also observed to be present and rotating together in a plane normal to the magnetic field direction, due to the Pc5 E x B drift. The plasma parameters determined for the two lobes were used in theoretical calculations to predict the period of the observed resonance.

  14. Validation in the Absence of Observed Events

    DOE PAGESBeta

    Lathrop, John; Ezell, Barry

    2015-07-22

    Here our paper addresses the problem of validating models in the absence of observed events, in the area of Weapons of Mass Destruction terrorism risk assessment. We address that problem with a broadened definition of “Validation,” based on “backing up” to the reason why modelers and decision makers seek validation, and from that basis re-define validation as testing how well the model can advise decision makers in terrorism risk management decisions. We develop that into two conditions: Validation must be based on cues available in the observable world; and it must focus on what can be done to affect thatmore » observable world, i.e. risk management. That in turn leads to two foci: 1.) the risk generating process, 2.) best use of available data. Based on our experience with nine WMD terrorism risk assessment models, we then describe three best use of available data pitfalls: SME confidence bias, lack of SME cross-referencing, and problematic initiation rates. Those two foci and three pitfalls provide a basis from which we define validation in this context in terms of four tests -- Does the model: … capture initiation? … capture the sequence of events by which attack scenarios unfold? … consider unanticipated scenarios? … consider alternative causal chains? Finally, we corroborate our approach against three key validation tests from the DOD literature: Is the model a correct representation of the simuland? To what degree are the model results comparable to the real world? Over what range of inputs are the model results useful?« less

  15. Validation in the Absence of Observed Events

    SciTech Connect

    Lathrop, John; Ezell, Barry

    2015-07-22

    Here our paper addresses the problem of validating models in the absence of observed events, in the area of Weapons of Mass Destruction terrorism risk assessment. We address that problem with a broadened definition of “Validation,” based on “backing up” to the reason why modelers and decision makers seek validation, and from that basis re-define validation as testing how well the model can advise decision makers in terrorism risk management decisions. We develop that into two conditions: Validation must be based on cues available in the observable world; and it must focus on what can be done to affect that observable world, i.e. risk management. That in turn leads to two foci: 1.) the risk generating process, 2.) best use of available data. Based on our experience with nine WMD terrorism risk assessment models, we then describe three best use of available data pitfalls: SME confidence bias, lack of SME cross-referencing, and problematic initiation rates. Those two foci and three pitfalls provide a basis from which we define validation in this context in terms of four tests -- Does the model: … capture initiation? … capture the sequence of events by which attack scenarios unfold? … consider unanticipated scenarios? … consider alternative causal chains? Finally, we corroborate our approach against three key validation tests from the DOD literature: Is the model a correct representation of the simuland? To what degree are the model results comparable to the real world? Over what range of inputs are the model results useful?

  16. Validation in the Absence of Observed Events.

    PubMed

    Lathrop, John; Ezell, Barry

    2016-04-01

    This article addresses the problem of validating models in the absence of observed events, in the area of weapons of mass destruction terrorism risk assessment. We address that problem with a broadened definition of "validation," based on stepping "up" a level to considering the reason why decisionmakers seek validation, and from that basis redefine validation as testing how well the model can advise decisionmakers in terrorism risk management decisions. We develop that into two conditions: validation must be based on cues available in the observable world; and it must focus on what can be done to affect that observable world, i.e., risk management. That leads to two foci: (1) the real-world risk generating process, and (2) best use of available data. Based on our experience with nine WMD terrorism risk assessment models, we then describe three best use of available data pitfalls: SME confidence bias, lack of SME cross-referencing, and problematic initiation rates. Those two foci and three pitfalls provide a basis from which we define validation in this context in terms of four tests-Does the model: … capture initiation? … capture the sequence of events by which attack scenarios unfold? … consider unanticipated scenarios? … consider alternative causal chains? Finally, we corroborate our approach against three validation tests from the DOD literature: Is the model a correct representation of the process to be simulated? To what degree are the model results comparable to the real world? Over what range of inputs are the model results useful? PMID:26198395

  17. Location of Tremor and Long Period Events Using Seismic Amplitudes

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Battaglia, J.; Battaglia, J.; Ferrazzini, V.; Okubo, P. G.

    2001-12-01

    Tremor and Long Period (LP) events are of particular interest for understanding the behavior of volcanoes as it is assumed that they directly involve fluids in their source mechanisms. However, those events are usually difficult or impossible to locate using traditional arrival times methods, because of their emergent onsets or because they are stationary for a long time. While techniques have been proposed using seismic arrays, this task remains problematic using data from classical short period volcano monitoring networks. A method based on the use of seismic amplitudes was developed on the Piton de la Fournaise (Réunion island) for locating tremor, LP events or rockfalls. For each event, seismic amplitudes are corrected for the site effects at each station using coda amplification factors. The spatial amplitude distributions are usually smooth and coherent, and the decay of the amplitude as a function of distance can be used to locate their source. In Réunion, this method was applied to locate the source(s) of eruption tremor. Those sources are usually found at shallow depth and close to the eruptive vents. An application of this characteristic is the possibility of using eruption tremor for locating the eruptive fissures at the beginning of eruptions. We apply this technique in Hawaii for locating LP events at Kilauea volcano. We calculated coda amplification factors for all stations of the network, and coherent and smooth amplitude distributions are also obtained after correcting for the site effect. We located about 150 events which occurred in January 1998 during an increased phase of LP activity. This seismicity, which peaked on January 15, was related to a surge of magma that reached the Pu`u`O`o vent on January 14, following a rapid inflation of Kilauea's summit. The use of the amplitude method provides a new image of the LP activity. The events appear to cluster in a single group, while they are much more scattered when located using arrival times

  18. 1 CFR 19.4 - Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2013 CFR

    2013-01-01

    ... special days or events. 19.4 Section 19.4 General Provisions ADMINISTRATIVE COMMITTEE OF THE FEDERAL... PROCLAMATIONS § 19.4 Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events. Except as may be... calling for the observance of special days, or other periods of time, or events, shall be assigned by...

  19. 1 CFR 19.4 - Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2010 CFR

    2010-01-01

    ... special days or events. 19.4 Section 19.4 General Provisions ADMINISTRATIVE COMMITTEE OF THE FEDERAL... PROCLAMATIONS § 19.4 Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events. Except as may be... calling for the observance of special days, or other periods of time, or events, shall be assigned by...

  20. 1 CFR 19.4 - Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2012 CFR

    2012-01-01

    ... special days or events. 19.4 Section 19.4 General Provisions ADMINISTRATIVE COMMITTEE OF THE FEDERAL... PROCLAMATIONS § 19.4 Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events. Except as may be... calling for the observance of special days, or other periods of time, or events, shall be assigned by...

  1. 1 CFR 19.4 - Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2014 CFR

    2014-01-01

    ... special days or events. 19.4 Section 19.4 General Provisions ADMINISTRATIVE COMMITTEE OF THE FEDERAL... PROCLAMATIONS § 19.4 Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events. Except as may be... calling for the observance of special days, or other periods of time, or events, shall be assigned by...

  2. 1 CFR 19.4 - Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2011 CFR

    2011-01-01

    ... special days or events. 19.4 Section 19.4 General Provisions ADMINISTRATIVE COMMITTEE OF THE FEDERAL... PROCLAMATIONS § 19.4 Proclamations calling for the observance of special days or events. Except as may be... calling for the observance of special days, or other periods of time, or events, shall be assigned by...

  3. Aerosol classification using EARLINET measurements for an intensive observational period

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Papagiannopoulos, Nikolaos; Mona, Lucia; Pappalardo, Gelsomina

    2016-04-01

    ACTRIS (Aerosols, Clouds and Trace gases Research Infrastructure Network) organized an intensive observation period during summer 2012. This campaign aimed at the provision of advanced observations of physical and chemical aerosol properties, at the delivery of information about the 3D distribution of European atmospheric aerosols, and at the monitoring of Saharan dust intrusions events. EARLINET (European Aerosol Research Lidar Network) participated in the ACTRIS campaign through the addition of measurements according to the EARLINET schedule as well as daily lidar-profiling measurements around sunset by 11 selected lidar stations for the period from 8 June - 17 July. EARLINET observations during this almost two-month period are used to characterize the optical properties and vertical distribution of long-range transported aerosol over the broader area of Mediterranean basin. The lidar measurements of aerosol intensive parameters (lidar ratio, depolarization, Angstrom exponents) are shown to vary with location and aerosol type. A methodology based on EARLINET observations of frequently observed aerosol types is used to classify aerosols into seven separate types. The summertime Mediterranean basin is prone to African dust aerosols. Two major dust events were studied. The first episode occurred from the 18 to 21 of the June and the second one lasted from 28 June to 6 July. The lidar ratio within the dust layer was found to be wavelength independent with mean values of 58±14 sr at 355 nm and 57±11 sr at 532 nm. For the particle linear depolarization ratio, mean values of 0.27±0.04 at 532 nm have been found. Acknowledgements. The financial support for EARLINET in the ACTRIS Research Infrastructure Project by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 654169 and previously under grant agreement no. 262254 in the Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) is gratefully acknowledged.

  4. Mars atmosphere pressure periodicities from Viking observations

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Sharman, R. D.; Ryan, J. A.

    1980-01-01

    The first Martian year of pressure data taken by the Viking landers on Mars is subjected to power spectrum analysis. The analysis suggests that strong periodicities are present in the Martian atmosphere, especially at the high-latitude (48 deg N) site of the second lander. Most of these periodicities are probably due to the passage of baroclinic waves. Inspection of individual segments of data shows that the periodicities of the dominant waves vary significantly with time of year. This may be related to the amount of dust in the atmosphere since the dominant frequencies of the waves during times of major dust storms are quite different than at other times.

  5. Protoplasmic Computing to Memorize and Recall Periodic Environmental Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Tero, Atsushi; Saigusa, Tetsu; Nakagaki, Toshiyuki

    Single-celled organisms might be more intelligent than previously envisaged [1]-[5]. The acts of anticipating and recalling events are higher functions performed by the brains of higher animals; their evolutionary origins and the way they self-organize, however, remain open questions. Here we show that an amoeboid organism can anticipate the timing of periodic events. The plasmodium of the true slime mold Physarum polycephalum moves rapidly under favorable conditions, but stops moving when transferred to less-favorable conditions. For example, plasmodia exposed to low temperature and low humidity, presented in three consecutive pulses at constant intervals, reduced their locomotive speed in response to each episode. When favorable conditions were subsequently reintroduced, the plasmodia spontaneously reduced their locomotive speed at the point in time when the next unfavorable episode would have occurred. This implies that the plasmodia are able to anticipate impending environmental change. After this anticipatory response had been evoked several times, the locomotion of the plasmodia returned to normal speed; however, the slowing down could subsequently be induced by a single unfavorable pulse, implying recall of the periodicity that had been memorized. We have explored the mechanisms underlying this behavior from a dynamical systems perspective. Our results suggest that this primitive intelligence is of cellular origin and that simple dynamics might be sufficient to explain its emergence. abstract environment.

  6. A new type of ion injection event observed by Viking

    SciTech Connect

    Yamauchi, M.; Lundin, R.; Woch, J. ); Shapshak, M. ); Elphinstone, R. )

    1993-05-07

    The authors report on the observation of a new type of ion injection event observed by Viking spacecraft several degrees equatorward of the cusp. Its signature seems considerably different than previously reported events such as flux transfer events or impulsive or transient magnetosheath plasma injection events. It consists of low energy ions, as the pattern drops sharply above 100 to 200 eV.

  7. Multiple Flux transfer events observed by Cluster

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Trenchi, Lorenzo; Trattner, Karlheinz; Fazakerley, Andrew; Fear, Robert; Mihaljcic, Branislav

    2016-07-01

    Time-varying reconnection at the Earth magnetopause generates magnetic structures called Flux Transfer Events (FTE) characterized by the typical bipolar variation in the magnetic field component normal to the magnetopause. Different generation mechanisms have been proposed: the original Russell and Elphic FTE model (1978) predicts a pair of elbow shaped flux tubes of reconnected field lines generated by intermittent and localized reconnection. Alternatively, Lee and Fu (1985) propose that FTEs are caused by reconnection along multiple extended X-lines while a third FTE model is based on bursty reconnection along a single X-line (Scholer et al. 1988; Southwood et al., 1988). In this presentation, we present the detailed analysis of several FTEs sequentially observed by Cluster on 27 March 2007. While the Grad Shafranov analysis gives FTE orientations completely different from each other that are more in agreement with the Russell and Elphic model, the FTE orientations obtained from multi-spacecraft timing, which are probably more reliable, have smaller deviations with respect to the X line orientation, and are therefore more consistent with the extended X line models. Most of these FTEs are associated with a single reconnection jet, moving in the same direction of the FTEs, which appears consistently at the trailing edge of the FTEs. This signature suggests a generation mechanism based on single X line reconnection. We also used the Grad Shafranov reconstruction to recover the field topology of a large FTE, which is not associated with reconnection jets. The reconstruction suggests that this FTE is a flux rope with nested helical field lines, which is expected in the multiple X line reconnection. A possible interpretation suggests that both single X line and multiple X line generation mechanisms contributed to the formation of the FTEs during this magnetopause crossing.

  8. Observation of monojet events and tentative interpretation

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Buskulic, D.; Casper, D.; de Bonis, I.; Decamp, D.; Ghez, P.; Goy, C.; Lees, J.-P.; Minard, M.-N.; Odier, P.; Pietrzyk, B.; Ariztazabal, F.; Chmeissani, M.; Crespo, J. M.; Efthymiopoulos, I.; Fernandez, E.; Fernandez-Bosman, M.; Gaitan, V.; Garrido, Ll.; Martinez, M.; Mattison, T.; Orteu, S.; Pacheco, A.; Padilla, C.; Palla, F.; Pascual, A.; Perlas, J. A.; Teubert, F.; Creanza, D.; de Palma, M.; Farilla, A.; Iaselli, G.; Maggi, G.; Marinelli, N.; Natali, S.; Nuzzo, S.; Ranieri, A.; Raso, G.; Romano, F.; Ruggieri, F.; Selvaggi, G.; Silvestris, L.; Tempesta, P.; Zito, G.; Chai, Y.; Huang, D.; Huang, X.; Lin, J.; Wang, T.; Xie, Y.; Xu, D.; Zhang, J.; Zhang, L.; Zhao, W.; Donvicini, G.; Boudreau, J.; Comas, P.; Coyle, P.; Drevermann, H.; Engelhardt, A.; Foà, L.; Forty, R. W.; Ganis, G.; Gay, C.; Girone, M.; Hagelberg, R.; Harvey, J.; Jacobsen, R.; Jost, B.; Knobloch, J.; Lehraus, I.; Maggi, M.; Markou, C.; Martin, E. B.; Mato, P.; Meinhard, H.; Minten, A.; Miquel, R.; Palazzi, P.; Pater, J. R.; Perrodo, P.; Pusztaszeri, J.-F.; Ranjard, F.; Rolandi, L.; Rothberg, J.; Saich, M.; Schlatter, D.; Schmelling, M.; Tejessy, W.; Tomalin, I. R.; Veenhof, R.; Venturi, A.; Wachsmuth, H.; Wasserbaech, S.; Wiedenmann, W.; Wildish, T.; Witzeling, W.; Wotschack, J.; Ajaltouni, Z.; Bardadin-Otwinowska, M.; Barres, A.; Boyer, C.; Falvard, A.; Gay, P.; Guicheney, C.; Henrard, P.; Jousset, J.; Michel, B.; Montret, J.-C.; Pallin, D.; Perret, P.; Podlyski, F.; Proriol, J.; Saadi, F.; Fearnley, T.; Hansen, J. B.; Hansen, J. D.; Hansen, J. R.; Hansen, P. H.; Johnson, S. D.; Møllerud, R.; Nilsson, B. S.; Kyriakis, A.; Simopoulou, E.; Siotis, I.; Vayaki, A.; Zachariadou, K.; Blondel, A.; Bonneaud, G.; Brient, J. C.; Bourdon, P.; Passalacqua, L.; Rougé, A.; Rumpf, M.; Tanaka, R.; Valassi, A.; Verderi, M.; Videau, H.; Candlin, D. J.; Parsons, M. I.; Veitch, E.; Focardi, E.; Parrini, G.; Corden, M.; Delfino, M.; Georgiopoulos, C.; Jaffe, D. E.; Levinthal, D.; Antonelli, A.; Bencivenni, G.; Bologna, G.; Bossi, F.; Campana, P.; Capon, G.; Cerutti, F.; Chiarella, V.; Felici, G.; Laurelli, P.; Mannocchi, G.; Murtas, F.; Murtas, G. P.; Pepe-Altarelli, M.; Salomone, S.; Colrain, P.; Ten Have, I.; Knowles, I. G.; Lynch, J. G.; Maitland, W.; Morton, W. T.; Raine, C.; Reeves, P.; Scarr, J. M.; Smith, K.; Smith, M. G.; Thompson, A. S.; Thorn, S.; Turnbull, R. M.; Becker, U.; Braun, O.; Geweniger, C.; Hanke, P.; Hepp, V.; Kluge, E. E.; Putzer, A.; Rensch, B.; Schmidt, M.; Stenzel, H.; Tittel, K.; Wunsch, M.; Beuselinck, R.; Binnie, D. M.; Cameron, W.; Cattaneo, M.; Colling, D. J.; Dornan, P. J.; Hassard, J. F.; Konstantinidis, N.; Moneta, L.; Moutoussi, A.; Nash, J.; Payne, D. G.; San Martin, G.; Sedgbeer, J. K.; Wright, A. G.; Girtler, P.; Kuhn, D.; Rudolph, G.; Vogl, R.; Bowdery, C. K.; Brodbeck, T. J.; Finch, A. J.; Foster, F.; Hughes, G.; Jackson, D.; Keemer, N. R.; Nuttall, M.; Patel, A.; Sloan, T.; Snow, S. W.; Whelan, E. P.; Galla, A.; Greene, A. M.; Kleinknecht, K.; Raab, J.; Renk, B.; Sander, H.-G.; Schmidt, H.; Walther, S. M.; Wanke, R.; Wolf, B.; Bencheikh, A. M.; Benchouk, C.; Bonissent, A.; Calvet, D.; Carr, J.; Diaconu, C.; Etienne, F.; Nicod, D.; Payre, P.; Roos, L.; Rousseau, D.; Schwemling, P.; Talby, M.; Abt, I.; Adlung, S.; Assmann, R.; Bauer, C.; Blum, W.; Brown, D.; Cattaneo, P.; Dehning, B.; Dietl, H.; Dydak, F.; Frank, M.; Halley, A. W.; Jakobs, K.; Kroha, H.; Lauber, J.; Lütjens, G.; Lutz, G.; Männer, W.; Moser, H.-G.; Richter, R.; Schröder, J.; Schwarz, A. S.; Settles, R.; Seywerd, H.; Stierlin, U.; Stiegler, U.; St. Denis, R.; Wolf, G.; Alemany, R.; Boucrot, J.; Callot, O.; Cordier, A.; Courault, F.; Davier, M.; Duflot, L.; Grivaz, J.-F.; Heusse, Ph.; Jacquet, M.; Janot, P.; Kim, D. W.; Le Diberder, F.; Lefrançois, J.; Lutz, A.-M.; Musolino, G.; Nikolic, I.; Park, H. J.; Park, I. C.; Schune, M.-H.; Simion, S.; Veillet, J.-J.; Videau, I.; Abbaneo, D.; Bagliwsi, G.; Batignani, G.; Bottigli, U.; Bozzi, C.; Calderini, G.; Carpinelli, M.; Ciocci, M. A.; Ciulli, V.; Dell'Orso, R.; Ferrante, I.; Fidecaro, F.; Forti, F.; Giassi, A.; Giorgi, M. A.; Gregorio, A.; Ligabue, F.; Lusiani, A.; Marrocchesi, P. S.; Messineo, A.; Rizzo, G.; Sanguinetti, G.; Spagnolo, P.; Steinberger, J.; Tenchini, R.; Tonelli, G.; Triggiani, G.; Vannini, C.; Verdini, P. G.; Walsh, J.; Betteridge, A. P.; Gao, Y.; Green, M. G.; Johnson, D. L.; March, P. V.; Medcalf, T.; Mir, Ll. M.; Quazi, I. S.; Strong, J. A.; Bertin, V.; Botterill, D. R.; Clifft, R. W.; Edgecock, T. R.; Haywood, S.; Edwards, M.; Norton, P. R.; Thompson, J. C.; Bloch-Devaux, B.; Colas, P.; Duarte, H.; Emery, S.; Kozanecki, W.; Lançon, E.; Lemaire, M. C.; Locci, E.; Marx, B.; Perez, P.; Rander, J.; Renardy, J.-F.; Rosowsky, A.; Roussarie, A.; Schuller, J.-P.; Schwindling, J.; Si Mohand, D.; Vallage, B.; Johnson, R. P.; Litke, A. M.; Taylor, G.; Wear, J.; Beddall, A.; Booth, C. N.; Cartwright, S.; Combley, F.; Dawson, I.; Koksal, A.; Rankin, C.; Thompson, L. F.; Böhrer, A.; Brandt, S.; Cowan, G.; Feigl, E.; Grupen, C.; Lutters, G.; Minguet-Rodriguez, J.; Rivera, F.; Saraiva, P.; Schäfer, U.; Smolik, L.; Bosisio, L.; Della Marina, R.; Giannini, G.; Gobbo, B.; Pitis, L.; Ragusa, F.; Bellantoni, L.; Conway, J. S.; Feng, Z.; Ferguson, D. P. S.; Gao, Y. S.; Grahl, J.; Harton, J. L.; Hayes, O. J.; Hu, H.; Nachtman, J. M.; Pan, Y. B.; Saadi, Y.; Schmitt, M.; Scott, I.; Sharma, V.; Turk, J. D.; Walsh, A. M.; Weber, F. V.; San Lan Wu; Wu, X.; Yamartino, J. M.; Zheng, M.; Zobernig, G.; Aleph Collaboration

    1994-08-01

    A data sample corresponding to almost two million hadronic Z decays collected by the ALEPH detector at LEP has been searched for monojet events. Three events were found, in agreement with the expectation from the process ee→γ*vvbar, with γ*→ffbar. Two events are hadronic, the third one being an e+e- pair. All monojet masses are in excess of 3 GeV/c2, and two of the event have large transverse momenta: 18.5 and 20.3 GeV/c. These kinematic characteristics are quite unlikely in the process ee→γ*vvbar. The probability of their occurence increases substantially when processes involving further Z or W exchanges are taken into account, but still remains at the 5% level.

  9. Determination of Main Periodicities in Solar Wind and Magnetosphere Data During HILDCAAs Events Using Wavelet Analysis

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    de Souza, A. M.; Echer, E.; Bolzam, M. J. A.

    2015-12-01

    The High-Intensity Long-Duration Continuous AE activity events (HILDCAAs) were first identified by Tsurutani and Gonzalez (1987), when they studied geomagnetic storms with a recovery phase longer than what is generally observed. They have used four criteria for defining the HILDCAA events, that are: First, the AE index must be 1000 nT at least once during the event; second, the event must be at last two days long; third, the AE index can not decay more than 200 nT for longer than two hours in each time; finally, the event must occurs outside of the main phase of the geomagnetic storm. Although several works have been done recently on HILCAAS, the main periodicities in solar wind and magnetosphere parameters during these events are still not well know. It is the aim of this work to determine these periods. In order to conduct this study, the global spectrum wavelet was used to determine the main periods of HILDCAA events. The 1-minute AE index and the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) were used to characterize the magnetosphic and solar wind. We have used data of events that occurred between 1975 and 2011 for the AE index, and between 1995 and 2011 for Bz component of the IMF (GSE and GSM coordinates systems). During HILDCAAs events, the main periods found in the AE index were between 4 and 12 hours, corresponding to 50% of the total periods identified. For the Bz component, the main periods were ≤ 8 hours, independently of the coordinate system used. We conjecture that those periods can be associates with Alfvén waves that present periods between 1 and 10 hours. These Alfven waves are associated to coronal holes because the HILDCAAs events occur more often in the descending phase of solar cycles, when the high speed streams are dominant and it are emitted from coronal holes. Cross-wavelet analysis results between IMF Bz and AE are also presented and discussed.

  10. IRIS and SDO Observations of Recurrent Explosive Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Gupta, G. R.; Tripathi, Durgesh

    2015-08-01

    Observations of recurrent explosive events (EEs) with timescales of 3–5 minutes are reported. These EEs have been observed with the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) and have a spatial dimension of ∼ 1\\buildrel{\\prime\\prime}\\over{.} 5 along the slit. The spectral line profiles of C ii 1335/1336 Å and Si iv 1394/1403 Å become highly broadened both in red as well as blue wings. Several absorption lines on top of the broadened profiles were identified. In addition, emission lines corresponding to neutral lines such as Cl i 1351.66 Å, C i 1354.29 Å, and C i 1355.84 Å were identified. The C i 1354.29 Å and C i 1355.84 Å lines were found only during the EEs, whereas Cl i 1351.66 Å broadens during the EEs. The estimated lower limit on electron number density obtained using the line ratios of Si iv and O iv is about {10}13.5 cm‑3, suggesting that the observed events are most likely occurring at heights corresponding to a lower chromosphere. To the best of our knowledge, for the first time we have detected short-period variability (30 s and 60–90 s) within the EE bursts. Observations of the photospheric magnetic fields underneath EEs indicate that a negative polarity field emerges in the neighborhood of oppositely directed positive fields that undergo repetitive reconnection (magnetic flux cancellation) events. The dynamic changes observed in AIA 1700 Å, 1600 Å, C ii 1330 Å, and Si iv 1400 Å intensity images corresponded very well with the emergence and cancellation of photospheric magnetic field (negative polarity) on a timescale of 3–5 minutes. The observations reported here suggest that these EEs are formed due to magnetic reconnection and are occurring in the lower chromosphere.

  11. Sensitivity analyses for partially observed recurrent event data.

    PubMed

    Akacha, Mouna; Ogundimu, Emmanuel O

    2016-01-01

    Recurrent events involve the occurrences of the same type of event repeatedly over time and are commonly encountered in longitudinal studies. Examples include seizures in epileptic studies or occurrence of cancer tumors. In such studies, interest lies in the number of events that occur over a fixed period of time. One considerable challenge in analyzing such data arises when a large proportion of patients discontinues before the end of the study, for example, because of adverse events, leading to partially observed data. In this situation, data are often modeled using a negative binomial distribution with time-in-study as offset. Such an analysis assumes that data are missing at random (MAR). As we cannot test the adequacy of MAR, sensitivity analyses that assess the robustness of conclusions across a range of different assumptions need to be performed. Sophisticated sensitivity analyses for continuous data are being frequently performed. However, this is less the case for recurrent event or count data. We will present a flexible approach to perform clinically interpretable sensitivity analyses for recurrent event data. Our approach fits into the framework of reference-based imputations, where information from reference arms can be borrowed to impute post-discontinuation data. Different assumptions about the future behavior of dropouts dependent on reasons for dropout and received treatment can be made. The imputation model is based on a flexible model that allows for time-varying baseline intensities. We assess the performance in a simulation study and provide an illustration with a clinical trial in patients who suffer from bladder cancer. PMID:26540016

  12. Earthquake nucleation mechanisms and periodic loading: Models, Experiments, and Observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Dahmen, K.; Brinkman, B.; Tsekenis, G.; Ben-Zion, Y.; Uhl, J.

    2010-12-01

    The project has two main goals: (a) Improve the understanding of how earthquakes are nucleated ¬ with specific focus on seismic response to periodic stresses (such as tidal or seasonal variations) (b) Use the results of (a) to infer on the possible existence of precursory activity before large earthquakes. A number of mechanisms have been proposed for the nucleation of earthquakes, including frictional nucleation (Dieterich 1987) and fracture (Lockner 1999, Beeler 2003). We study the relation between the observed rates of triggered seismicity, the period and amplitude of cyclic loadings and whether the observed seismic activity in response to periodic stresses can be used to identify the correct nucleation mechanism (or combination of mechanisms). A generalized version of the Ben-Zion and Rice model for disordered fault zones and results from related recent studies on dislocation dynamics and magnetization avalanches in slowly magnetized materials are used in the analysis (Ben-Zion et al. 2010; Dahmen et al. 2009). The analysis makes predictions for the statistics of macroscopic failure events of sheared materials in the presence of added cyclic loading, as a function of the period, amplitude, and noise in the system. The employed tools include analytical methods from statistical physics, the theory of phase transitions, and numerical simulations. The results will be compared to laboratory experiments and observations. References: Beeler, N.M., D.A. Lockner (2003). Why earthquakes correlate weakly with the solid Earth tides: effects of periodic stress on the rate and probability of earthquake occurrence. J. Geophys. Res.-Solid Earth 108, 2391-2407. Ben-Zion, Y. (2008). Collective Behavior of Earthquakes and Faults: Continuum-Discrete Transitions, Evolutionary Changes and Corresponding Dynamic Regimes, Rev. Geophysics, 46, RG4006, doi:10.1029/2008RG000260. Ben-Zion, Y., Dahmen, K. A. and J. T. Uhl (2010). A unifying phase diagram for the dynamics of sheared solids

  13. Testing Quantum Mechanics with Observations of Causally Disconnected Cosmological Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Friedman, Andrew S.; Kaiser, D. I.; Gallicchio, J.; Guth, A. H.

    2014-01-01

    We discuss a thought experiment which would leverage cosmology to test quantum mechanics using astronomical observations. Specifically, we aim to close the "settings-independence" loophole in experimental tests of Bell's inequality by choosing the detector settings (e.g. polarizer orientations) using real-time observations of causally disconnected cosmic sources. This would help close one of the most important remaining Bell test loopholes whereby a local hidden variable theory could mimic the quantum predictions if the experimental settings choices shared even a small correlation due to unknown local causal influences prior to the experiment. The talk will focus on the theoretical cosmology constraints needed to choose optimal sources for such an experiment, describing general conditions for pairs of cosmic events with arbitrary redshifts and angular separations to have shared causal pasts in Friedman-Lemaitre-Robertson-Walker universes with arbitrary curvature, including flat, dark energy dominated, accelerating universes like our own. While causally disjoint patches of the cosmic microwave background radiation at redshift z ~ 1090 could be used to set the detectors, z > 3.65 quasars observed at optical wavelengths are arguably the optimal candidate source pairs using present technology that meet the condition of having no shared causal past since the end of any period of inflation, 13.82 Gyr ago. Results are illustrated for our universe with causal structure animations to help visualize the intersections of past light cones for arbitrary event pairs.

  14. Long-period events and tremor at Popocatepetl volcano (1994-2000) and their broadband characteristics

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Arciniega-Ceballos, A.; Chouet, B.; Dawson, P.

    2003-01-01

    Following an initial phreatic eruption on 21 December 1994, activity at Popocatepetl has been dominated by fumarolic emissions interspersed with more energetic emissions of ashes and gases. A phase of repetitive dome-building and dome-destroying episodes began in March 1996 and is still ongoing at present. We describe the long-period (LP) seismicity accompanying eruptive activity at Popocatepetl from December 1994 through May 2000, using data from a three-component broadband seismometer located 5 km from the summit crater. The broadband records display a variety of signals, with periods ranging in the band 0.04-90 s. Long-period events and tremor with typical dominant periods in the range 0.3-2.0 s are the most characteristic signals observed at Popocatepetl. These signals appear to reflect volumetric sources driven by pressure fluctuations associated with the unsteady transport of gases beneath the crater. Very-long-period (VLP) signals are also observed in association with LP events and tremor. The VLP signals which accompany LP events display Ricker-like wavelets with periods near 36 s, whereas VLP signals associated with tremor waveforms typically show sustained oscillations at periods ranging up to 90 s. The spectra and particle motion patterns remain similar from event to event for the majority of LP and tremor signals analyzed during the time span of this study, suggesting a repeated, non-destructive activation of a common source. Hypocenters determined by phase pick analyses of selected LP events recorded by the seven-station, permanent Popocatepetl short-period network suggest that the majority of these events are confined to a source region in the top 1.5 km below the crater floor. The repetitive occurrences of VLP signals with closely matched waveform characteristics are consistent with a non-destructive reactivation of at least two sources. One source appears to coincide with the main source region of LP seismicity, whereas the second is a deeper source

  15. A flare event of the long-period RS Canum Venaticorum system IM Pegasi

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Buzasi, Derek L.; Ramsey, Lawrence W.; Huenemoerder, David P.

    1987-01-01

    The characteristics of a flare event detected on the long-period RS CVn system IM Pegasi are reported. The low-resolution spectrum show enhancements of up to a factor of five in some emission lines. All of the ultraviolet emission lines normally visible are enhanced significantly more than the normal 30 rotational modulation. Emission fluxes of both the quiescent and flare event are used to construct models of the density and temperature variation with height. These models reveal a downward shift of the transition region during the flare. Scaled models of the quiet and flaring solar outer atmosphere are used to estimate the filling factor of the flare event at about 30 percent of the stellar surface. The pattern of line enhancements in the flare is the same as a previous event in Lambda Andromeda observed previously.

  16. JCMT Observations of the Deep Impact Event

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Coulson, I. M.; Butner, H. M.; Moriarty-Schieven, G.; Woodney, L. M.; Charnley, S. B.; Rodgers, S. D.; Stüwe, J.; Schulz, R.; Meech, K. J.; Fernández, Y.; Vora, P.

    Spectroscopic observations were made from the James Clerk Maxwell Telescope of comet 9P/Tempel 1 before, during and after the impact by the NASA spacecraft Deep Impact on UT 04 July 2005. Several molecular species (HCN, CH3OH, CO, CS, HCO+) were targeted but none was detected. Nonetheless, upper limits on emission line strengths may weakly constrain the chemical composition of the ices in the excavated part of the comet nucleus. Preliminary analysis of the HCN data is presented here.

  17. Semi-Periodic Sequences and Extraneous Events in Earthquake Forecasting: I. Theory and Method, Parkfield Application

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Nava Pichardo, Fidencio Alejandro; Quinteros Cartaya, Claudia Beatriz; Glowacka, Ewa; Frez Cárdenas, José Duglas

    2014-07-01

    We present a new method to identify semi-periodic sequences in the occurrence times of large earthquakes, which allows for the presence of multiple semi-periodic sequences and/or events not belonging to any identifiable sequence in the time series. The method, based on the analytic Fourier transform, yields estimates of the departure from periodicity of an observed sequence, and of the probability that the sequence is not due to chance. These estimates are used to make and to evaluate forecasts of future events belonging to each sequence. Numerous tests with synthetic catalogs show that the method is surprisingly capable of correctly identifying sequences, unidentifiable by eye, in complicated time series. Correct identification of a given sequence depends on the number of events it contains, on the sequence's departure from periodicity, and, in some cases, on the choice of starting and ending times of the analyzed time window; as well as on the total number of events in the time series. Some particular data combinations may result in spectra where significant periods are obscured by large amplitudes artifacts of the transform, but artifacts can be usually recognized because they lack harmonics; thus, in most of these cases, true semi-periodic sequences may not be identified, but no false identifications will be made. A first example of an application of the method to real seismicity data is the analysis of the Parkfield event series. The analysis correctly aftcasts the September 2004 earthquake. Further applications to real data from Japan and Venezuela are shown in a companion paper.

  18. First observations of Trimpi events at Durban (L = 1. 69) using an OMSKI receiver

    SciTech Connect

    Friedel, R.H.W.; Hughes, A.R.W. ); Dowden, R.L.; Adams, C.D.D. )

    1993-02-01

    We report observations of transient ionospheric disturbances at VLF reflection heights, manifested as perturbations on sub-ionospherically propagating VLF transmitter signals: Trimpi events. Four VLF transmitter signals were monitored at Durban using an OM- SKI receiver. Both traditional Trimpi events and a new dome shaped event were observed at Durban. Occurrence of Trimpis at low L values can be interpreted as the precipitation of very high energy electrons which are capable of producing events during daylight, or as evidence of the fast Trimpi mechanism which could dominate at low L. The average winter event rate observed at Durban was quite low (7 per day on four transmitter signals) but during one very active period on the NAA-Durban signal 88 Trimpi events were observed in 2 hours. This activity was linked to an isolated thunderstorm occurring over the signal path over South Africa. 26 refs., 14 figs., 2 tabs.

  19. More Interesting Than You Thought: IRIS Observations of Explosive Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kankelborg, C. C.; Jaeggli, S.

    2013-12-01

    Transition region explosive events (EEs) are characterized by line broadenings (to the blue or red or both) with nonthermal velocity > 100 km/s. They are widely attributed to reconnection, though their nature is still obscure and some observers have reported rotary motion. The transition region is an excellent laboratory to study reconnection in a solar context, with high emission measure in the reconnection region, a high event rate, and optically thin spectral lines. The Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) has observed many explosive events in Si IV and C II. We describe the substructure of supersonic flows in EEs observed by IRIS, and their morphology as revealed by IRIS slit jaw images.

  20. Observations of hybrid seismic events at Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat: July 1995 to September 1996

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    White, R.A.; Miller, A.D.; Lynch, L.; Power, J.

    1998-01-01

    Swarms of small repetitive events with similar waveforms and magnitudes are often observed during the emplacement of lava domes. Over 300 000 such events were recorded in association with the emplacement of the lava dome at Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from August 1995 through August 1996. These events originated <2-3 km deep. They exhibited energy ranging over ??1.5-4.5 Hz and were broader band than typical long-period events. We term the events 'hybrid' between long-period and voclano-tectonic. The events were more impulsive and broader band prior to, compared with during and after, periods of inferred increased magma flux rate. Individual swarms contained up to 10 000 events often exhibiting very similar magnitudes and waveforms throughout the swarm. Swarms lasted hours to weeks, during which inter-event intervals generally increased, then decreased, often several times. Long-duration swarms began about every two months starting in late September 1995. We speculate that the events were produced as the magma column degassed into adjacent cracks.Swarms of small repetitive events with similar waveforms and magnitudes are often observed during the emplacement of lava domes. Over 300,000 such events were recorded in association with the emplacement of the lava dome at Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, from August 1995 through August 1996. These events originated <2-3 km deep. They exhibited energy ranging over approximately 1.5-4.5 Hz and were broader band than typical long-period events. We term the events `hybrid' between long-period and volcano-tectonic. The events were more impulsive and broader band prior to, compared with during and after, periods of inferred increased magma flux rate. Individual swarms contained up to 10,000 events often exhibiting very similar magnitudes and waveforms throughout the swarm. Swarms lasted hours to weeks, during which inter-event intervals generally increased, then decreased, often several times. Long-duration swarms

  1. Characteristics of Long-Period Events Associated With Volcanic Degassing at Popocatepetl Volcano, Mexico.

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Arciniega, A.; Chouet, B.; Dawson, P.

    2004-05-01

    Emissions of gas and ash dominate volcanic eruptive activity in Popocatepetl volcano since 1994. Volcanic eruptive activity consists of construction and destruction dome phases. Ash emissions ranged from small short-lived plumes rising a few hundred meters above the crater rim, to larger plumes reaching up to 15 km above the crater. Resulting tephra falls dusted the entire summit area. Bursts of volcanic degassing accompanied by long-period (LP) seismic signals observed as isolated events, or as sequences of discrete events with overall durations and amplitudes. Some gas emissions accompanied by persistent or spasmodic tremor. There are four families of LP events identified within the frequency range between 0.5 and 5 Hz. Family-one presents low-frequency emergent onsets with higher amplitudes at higher frequencies. Family-two includes emergent onsets with modulate amplitudes simulating tremor and dominant frequencies in defined picks in the band between 1 and 3 Hz. Family-three presents LP events with impulsive onset and decaying amplitude with time, these events present a wide range of amplitudes and dominant frequencies around 2 Hz. Family-four includes LP events with monochromatic appearance with sharp picks below 3 Hz. From thousands of LP events preliminary locations based on phase picks suggest that LP seismicity occur within uppermost 1000 m below the crater floor, consistently constrain defined clusters in the east-region of the crater and in the area where the domes growth. The network used to located LP events included 15 broadband stations distributed along radial profiles on the upper flanks of Popocatepetl. We report data collected during a broadband seismic experiment carried out at Popocatepetl Volcano as part of an international cooperative program between the GeoForschungsZentr um, Potsdam, Germany, the U.S. Geological Survey and the Institute of Geophysics, UNAM, MEXICO.

  2. Quasi-periodic emissions and related electron precipitation observed by the low-altitude DEMETER spacecraft

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Hayosh, M.; Nemec, F.; Pasmanik, D.; Santolik, O.; Demekhov, A. G.; Parrot, M.; Titova, L.

    2012-12-01

    We present a survey of quasi-periodic (QP) ELF/VLF emissions detected on board the DEMETER satellite (altitude of about 700 km, nearly Sun-synchronous orbit at 10:30/22:30 LT). Three years of data have been visually inspected for the presence of QP emissions. It is found that QP events occur in about 3 percents of daytime half-orbits, while they are basically absent during the night (note that we were likely to miss QP events with the modulation periods lower than about 10 s or the frequency bandwidth lower than about 400 Hz). The events occur predominantly during quiet geomagnetic conditions following the periods of enhanced geomagnetic activity. Their occurrence and properties are systematically analyzed. Three events with a simultaneous periodic modulation of wave intensity and energetic electron precipitation were analyzed in detail. All events are observed at quiet geomagnetic conditions. Most probably, they are not associated with geomagnetic pulsations. Energetic electron flux data measured by the NOAA-17 satellite are used to supplement DEMETER data in order to determine the spatial and temporal extent of the observed energetic electron precipitation events. Based on the observed correlation between bursts of wave intensity and energetic electron flux we estimate the location and the spatial extent of the source region of QP emissions.

  3. A brittle failure model for long-period seismic events recorded at Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Eyre, Thomas S.; Bean, Christopher J.; De Barros, Louis; Martini, Francesca; Lokmer, Ivan; Mora, Mauricio M.; Pacheco, Javier F.; Soto, Gerardo J.

    2015-03-01

    A temporary seismic network, consisting of 23 broadband and six short-period stations, was installed in a dense network at Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica, between 8 March and 4 May 2011. During this time 513 long-period (LP) events were observed. Due to their pulse-like waveforms, the hypothesis that the events are generated by a slow-failure mechanism, based on a recent new model by Bean et al. (2014), is tested. A significant number (107) of the LPs are jointly inverted for their source locations and mechanisms, using full-waveform moment tensor inversion. The locations are mostly shallow, with depths < 800 m below the active Southwest Crater. The results of the decompositions of the obtained moment tensor solutions show complex source mechanisms, composed of high proportions of isotropic and low, but seemingly significant, proportions of compensated linear vector dipole and double-couple components. It is demonstrated that this can be explained as mode I tensile fracturing with a strong shear component. The source mechanism is further investigated by exploring scaling laws within the data. The LPs recorded follow relationships very similar to those of conventional earthquakes, exhibiting frequency-magnitude and corner frequency versus magnitude relationships that can be explained by brittle failure. All of these observations indicate that a slow-failure source model can successfully describe the generation of short-duration LP events at Turrialba Volcano.

  4. Free-Choice Family Learning Experiences at Telescope Observing Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wenger, M. C.; Carter, K.; Harris, C. J.

    2011-09-01

    This study examines family experiences at nighttime telescope observing events. The goal was to observe family visitors and understand how they negotiate meaning and incorporate these experiences into their family culture. In this case study of one family's telescope observing experience, the participants' motivations and agenda are described as well as ways in which they negotiated identity and family-community membership at the same time as they were involved in the construction of meaning. The analysis revealed evidence of both meaning making and identity negotiation during, and related to, the educational leisure activity of attending a nighttime telescope observing event.

  5. Broadband moment-tensor inversion of long-period events on volcanoes: example from Turrialba volcano

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lokmer, Ivan; Thun, Johannes; Bean, Christopher

    2015-04-01

    Seismic events on volcanoes form a spectral continuum, from the high-frequency (> 10 Hz) tectonic-like events to ultra long period events with dominant periods longer than 100s of seconds. Long-period events (LP) are characterised by the dominant frequencies between 0.5 and 2Hz and relatively simple waveforms. They are mainly located within the first several hundred meters below volcano summit and are thought to reflect the dynamics of the shallow magmatic and/or hydrothermal plumbing system. It is still puzzling if they are generated by the pressure perturbations within fluid-filled cracks and conduits, or by a more classical faulting model in the extremely weak material, where the role of fluid is to modulate overall stress rather than being directly involved in the source generation process. So far, several moment-tensor (MT) inversions of LP events have been performed. A typical MT solution comprises a tensile crack source mechanism, and a pulsing or resonating source-time function (STF). However, due to generally small magnitudes of these events (a small S/N ratio), only the most energetic part of the signal is used in inversions. More precisely, the low frequency limit of the STF is determined by the lowest frequency of the most energetic part of the recorded waveform (usually about 0.3 - 0.5 Hz). Since it is extremely difficult to recover longer period ground displacements from such small-amplitude velocity records by using classical instrument response removal approach, it is almost impossible to infer if the obtained STF represents the real displacement in the source or it is just its band-limited representation. Here we used a good-quality dataset recorded near the summit of Turrialba volcano and applied some of the techniques used for the "baseline correction" in the strong motion seismology. In this way we managed to recover very low frequency part of LP signals, i.e. much lower than usual 0.3-0.5 Hz. Although the velocity records processed in this way

  6. Jiamusi Pulsar Observations: I. Abnormal emission events of PSR B0919+06

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Han, Jun; Han, J. L.; Peng, Ling-Xiang; Tang, De-Yu; Wang, Jun; Li, Jun-Qiang; Wang, Chen; Yu, Ye-Zhao; Dong, Bin

    2016-03-01

    PSR B0919+06 generally radiates radio pulses in a normal phase range. It is known for its occasional perplexing abnormal emission events wherein individual pulses come to an earlier phase range for a few tens of periods and then it returns to its usual phase. Heretofore, only a few such events have been available for study. We observed PSR B0919+06 for about 30 h using the Jiamusi 66-m telescope at the Jiamusi Deep Space Station at the S band, and we detected 92 abnormal emission events. We identify four types of events based on the abrupted or gradual phase-shifting of individual pulses. The abnormal emission events are seen to occur randomly about every 1000-3000 periods, and they affect the leading edge of the mean profile by up to 2 per cent in amplitude. The abnormal emission events are probably related to gradual changes of emission processing in the pulsar magnetosphere.

  7. Oval intensification event observed by STARE and Viking

    SciTech Connect

    Nielsen, E. ); Elphinstone, R.; Hearn, D.; Murphree, J.S. ); Potemra, T. )

    1993-04-01

    The existence of polar arcs has been accepted for a long time, though there is no clear nomenclature, nor is there a good explanation for the origin or time behavior of these objects. The authors report on a thirty minute observation of such an event and its associated ionospheric response. The event, in the region of the auroral oval was seen by ultraviolet imagers on the Viking spacecraft, which provided time and spatially resolved images. Ground based observations were made by the coherent radar system STARE, which can make measurements of the electron drift velocities in the ionosphere over a large area. The authors were able to follow the optical and electron drift properties of this event as it developed. The arc was observed in conjunction with a band of electrojet, and other arcs. Shortly after its observation another electojet appeared, and moved to replace the previous system which disappeared. Following this there was a major intensification observed, or a substorm.

  8. Event-by-event study of neutron observables in spontaneous and thermal fission

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Vogt, R.; Randrup, J.

    2011-10-01

    The event-by-event fission model freya is extended to spontaneous fission of actinides and a variety of neutron observables are studied for spontaneous fission and fission induced by thermal neutrons with a view toward possible applications for detection of special nuclear materials.

  9. Periodic Properties and Inquiry: Student Mental Models Observed during a Periodic Table Puzzle Activity

    ERIC Educational Resources Information Center

    Larson, Kathleen G.; Long, George R.; Briggs, Michael W.

    2012-01-01

    The mental models of both novice and advanced chemistry students were observed while the students performed a periodic table activity. The mental model framework seems to be an effective way of analyzing student behavior during learning activities. The analysis suggests that students do not recognize periodic trends through the examination of…

  10. Optimizing observing sequence design for periodic and non-periodic phenomena : a Bayesian approach

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Johnston, Mark D.; Knight, Russell

    2005-01-01

    In this paper we report on our progress on addressing these issues. We have developed an approximate expression for the uniformity of phase coverage that can be used when scheduling to assess candidate sample times. We describe the results obtained using this estimator, and compare them with detailed simulations. We describe our progress and plans for integrating optimizing criteria for both periodic and non-periodic observations into a single observation sequence.

  11. 7 CFR 760.1001 - Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster periods.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2010 CFR

    2010-01-01

    ... 7 Agriculture 7 2010-01-01 2010-01-01 false Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster..., disaster events, and disaster periods. (a) Except as provided in this subpart, FSA will provide assistance... eligible disaster events in eligible disaster counties provided in paragraph (c) of this section. (b)...

  12. 7 CFR 760.1001 - Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster periods.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2013 CFR

    2013-01-01

    ... 7 Agriculture 7 2013-01-01 2013-01-01 false Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster..., disaster events, and disaster periods. (a) Except as provided in this subpart, FSA will provide assistance... eligible disaster events in eligible disaster counties provided in paragraph (c) of this section. (b)...

  13. 7 CFR 760.1001 - Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster periods.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2012 CFR

    2012-01-01

    ... 7 Agriculture 7 2012-01-01 2012-01-01 false Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster..., disaster events, and disaster periods. (a) Except as provided in this subpart, FSA will provide assistance... eligible disaster events in eligible disaster counties provided in paragraph (c) of this section. (b)...

  14. 7 CFR 760.1001 - Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster periods.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2014 CFR

    2014-01-01

    ... 7 Agriculture 7 2014-01-01 2014-01-01 false Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster..., disaster events, and disaster periods. (a) Except as provided in this subpart, FSA will provide assistance... eligible disaster events in eligible disaster counties provided in paragraph (c) of this section. (b)...

  15. 7 CFR 760.1001 - Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster periods.

    Code of Federal Regulations, 2011 CFR

    2011-01-01

    ... 7 Agriculture 7 2011-01-01 2011-01-01 false Eligible counties, disaster events, and disaster..., disaster events, and disaster periods. (a) Except as provided in this subpart, FSA will provide assistance... eligible disaster events in eligible disaster counties provided in paragraph (c) of this section. (b)...

  16. A study of the equatorial signatures of long period transient events (600 - 7200 s)

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Santos, J.; Dutra, S.; Trivedi, N.; Vieira, L.; Echer, E.; Schuch, N.

    Transient variations in the H magnetic field component of magnetograms at high latitude are a common feature. They are associated with energy transference from solar wind to the magnetosphere. Abrupt changes in the solar wind generate Alfvén and fast mode waves through the magnetosphere. The Alfvén wave doesn't propagate in the direction perpendicular to the geomagnetic field, so equatorial signatures are probably caused by fast mode waves. On the other hand, complicated signatures observed at high latitudes represent a composition of Alfvén and fast mode waves. A second suggested propagation mechanism to low latitudes is the Earth-ionosphere wave-guide. In this work, geomagnetic data from the Brazilian magnetic stations at Belém (BLM), Eusébio (EUS), Ji-Paraná (JIP), São luis (SLZ) and São Martinho da Serra (SMS), all located near the geomagnetic equator, are used to look for equatorial signatures of transient events with periods of 600 - 7200s. This period range includes two special types of transient variations named Traveling convection vortices (TCV) and DP2 fluctuations. We try to identify their morphological characteristics and compare with the high latitude phenomena's characteristics. Satellite data (WIND, ACE and GOES) are used to see magnetosphere signatures and solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) conditions during the events. The main objective is try to find the contribution of each propagation mechanism of these transient events arriving at the equatorial latitudes.

  17. Analysis of recurrent event data with incomplete observation gaps.

    PubMed

    Kim, Yang-Jin; Jhun, Myoungshic

    2008-03-30

    In analysis of recurrent event data, recurrent events are not completely experienced when the terminating event occurs before the end of a study. To make valid inference of recurrent events, several methods have been suggested for accommodating the terminating event (Statist. Med. 1997; 16:911-924; Biometrics 2000; 56:554-562). In this paper, our interest is to consider a particular situation, where intermittent dropouts result in observation gaps during which no recurrent events are observed. In this situation, risk status varies over time and the usual definition of risk variable is not applicable. In particular, we consider the case when information on the observation gap is incomplete, that is, the starting time of intermittent dropout is known but the terminating time is not available. This incomplete information is modeled in terms of an interval-censored mechanism. Our proposed method is applied to the study of the Young Traffic Offenders Program on conviction rates, wherein a certain proportion of subjects experienced suspensions with intermittent dropouts during the study. PMID:17611955

  18. Discrete self-oscillation period branches observed in semiconductor superlattices

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wang, Jun; Hu, Bambi; Zheng, Zhigang; Li, Zhigang

    2011-04-01

    We investigate the self-sustained current oscillation of a weakly coupled semiconductor superlattice in the dynamical voltage band using a microscopic sequential tunneling model. With the voltage as a control parameter, two types of branches of current oscillation period versus voltage have been observed, which correspond to various oscillation scenarios. The first branch type consists of a series of period branches in accordance with how many charge dipoles need to be created at the emitter side to trigger a dipole-tripole oscillation scenario. For the second branch type, charge dipoles are generated periodically at the emitter, but all of them fail to develop completely and die out, thereby leading to a low-period oscillation scenario without the dipole-tripole process. The bistability between different branches is also observed by voltage up-sweeping and down-sweeping.

  19. Type 2 solar radio events observed in the interplanetary medium. Part 1: General characteristics

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Cane, H. V.; Stone, R. G.; Fainberg, J.; Steinberg, J. L.; Hoang, S.

    1980-01-01

    Twelve type 2 solar radio events were observed in the 2 MHz to 30 kHz frequency range by the radio astronomy experiment on the ISEE-3 satellite over the period from September 1978 to December 1979. These data provide the most comprehensive sample of type 2 radio bursts observed at kilometer wavelengths. Dynamic spectra of a number of events are presented. Where possible, the 12 events were associated with an initiating flare, ground based radio data, the passage of a shock at the spacecraft, and the sudden commencement of a geomagnetic storm. The general characteristics of kilometric type 2 bursts are discussed.

  20. OBSERVED CORE OF A GRADUAL SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENT

    SciTech Connect

    Kocharov, L.; Valtonen, E.; Reiner, M. J.; Thompson, B. J.; Klassen, A.

    2010-12-20

    Using space-borne particle and EUV detection and radio spectrograms from both ground-based and space-borne instruments, we study the first phase of the major solar energetic particle (SEP) event associated with the western solar flare and fast and wide coronal mass ejection (CME) on 2000 April 4. The SEP event being observed at the magnetic connection to the eruption's center starts with deka-MeV nucl{sup -1} helium- and relativistic electron-rich production from coronal sources identified with the electromagnetic diagnostics and the SEP event modeling. The broadband observations and modeling of the initial phase of the 'well-connected' major SEP event support the idea that acceleration of SEPs starts in the helium-rich plasma of the eruption's core in association with coronal shocks and magnetic reconnections caused by the CME liftoff, and that the coronal component dominates during the first hour of the SEP event considered, not yet being shielded by the CME bow shock in the solar wind. The first phase of the SEP event is followed by a second phase of SEP production associated with a decelerating CME-driven shock wave in the solar wind, which accelerates ions from a distinct, helium-poor seed particle population that may originate from the CME interaction with a coronal streamer.

  1. Stochastic Event Counter for Discrete-Event Systems Under Unreliable Observations

    SciTech Connect

    Tae-Sic Yoo; Humberto E. Garcia

    2008-06-01

    This paper addresses the issues of counting the occurrence of special events in the framework of partiallyobserved discrete-event dynamical systems (DEDS). First, we develop a noble recursive procedure that updates active counter information state sequentially with available observations. In general, the cardinality of active counter information state is unbounded, which makes the exact recursion infeasible computationally. To overcome this difficulty, we develop an approximated recursive procedure that regulates and bounds the size of active counter information state. Using the approximated active counting information state, we give an approximated minimum mean square error (MMSE) counter. The developed algorithms are then applied to count special routing events in a material flow system.

  2. Some observations on the periodate oxidation of amino compounds

    PubMed Central

    Clamp, J. R.; Hough, L.

    1966-01-01

    Various aliphatic and aromatic amines are oxidized by sodium metaperiodate and these reactions have been studied quantitatively in acidic, unbuffered and basic media. Significant differences have been observed between the behaviour of aliphatic and aromatic amines. Certain compounds also behaved differently under acidic and basic conditions. These reactions are related to the periodate oxidation of amino acids and, from observations on a number of glycine derivatives, a reaction mechanism is proposed for this process. PMID:4291354

  3. Simultaneous observation of monochromatic and variable period geomagnetic pulsations

    SciTech Connect

    McDiarmid, D.R.; Nielsen, E. )

    1987-05-01

    On February 4, 1983, following a storm sudden commencement, a monochromatic and a variable period pulsation were simultaneously observed by the Scandinavian Twin Auroral Radar Experiment (STARE) and Sweden and Britain Radar Experiment (SABRE) radar systems. Both pulsations differed from previously analyzed examples of their class. The phase of the monochromatic pulsation increased linearly with latitude rather than decreased. Its amplitude remained relatively constant over the latitude interval of linear phase change. The variable period pulsation experienced a change of orientation of its essentially linear polarization diagram in association with a discontinuity of its period. The variable period pulsation was thus manifest in both the toroidal and poloidal components. The results are discussed in terms of recent developments in theoretical pulsation modeling.

  4. Modelling of an explosive event observed by SUMER & TRACE

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Price, Daniel; Taroyan, Youra; Ishak, Bebe

    2016-07-01

    To fully understand coronal heating, we must first understand the different solar processes that move energy throughout the solar atmosphere. TRACE observations have revealed a short cold loop evolving over a small timescale, seemingly with multiple explosive events occurring along its length. An adaptive hydrodynamic radiation code was used to simulate the loop under non-equilibrium ionization. Footpoint heating and cold plasma injection were considered as possible scenarios to reproduce the observations. The simulation results were converted into synthetic observations through forward modelling, for comparison to SOHO/SUMER spectral observations of the loop.

  5. Analysis of Suprathermal Events Observed by STEREO/PLASTIC

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Barry, J. A.; Galvin, A. B.; Farrugia, C. J.; Popecki, M.; Klecker, B.; Ellis, L.; Lee, M. A.; Kistler, L. M.; Luhmann, J. G.; Russell, C. T.; Simunac, K.; Kucharek, H.; Blush, L.; Bochsler, P.; Möbius, E.; Thompson, B. J.; Wimmer-Schweingruber, R.; Wurz, P.

    2008-12-01

    Since the late 1960's, suprathermal and energetic ion events with energies ranging from just above the solar wind energies up to 2MeV and lasting for several minutes to hours, have been detected upstream of the Earth. Possible sources of these ions include magnetospheric ions, solar wind ions accelerated between the Earth's bow shock and hydromagnetic waves to energies just above the solar wind energies, and remnant ions from heliospheric processes (such as Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events or Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs)). The unique orbits of both STEREO spacecraft, STEREO-A (STA) drifting ahead in Earth's orbit and STEREO-B (STB) lagging behind in Earth's orbit, allow for analysis of upstream events in these unexamined regions. Using both the PLASTIC and IMPACT instruments on board STA/B we can examine protons in the energy range of solar wind energies up to 80keV, their spatial distribution, and determine if the spacecraft is magnetically connected to the Earth's bow shock. Suprathermal events observed by STEREO/PLASTIC during solar minimum conditions are examined for possible upstream events using anisotropy measurements, velocity dispersion, magnetic connection to the bow shock, and frequency of events as a function of time and distance.

  6. Analysis of suprathermal proton events observed by STEREO/PLASTIC focusing on the observation of bow shock/magnetospheric events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Barry, J. A.; Galvin, A. B.; Popecki, M.; Klecker, B.; Kucharek, H.; Simunac, K.; Farrugia, C. J.; Luhmann, J. G.; Jian, L. K.

    2013-06-01

    The topic of suprathermal and energetic ion events upstream of the Earth's bow shock has been investigated since the late 1960's. Over the past 50 years, these events have been characterized as having energies ranging from just above the solar wind energies on through 2MeV, time spans of minutes to hours, and particle distributions ranging from field aligned to isotropic. The seed particles of these events accelerated within the magnetosphere and/or at the Earth's bow shock have been shown to be of ions originating in the magnetosphere, solar wind, as well as ions energized in other heliospheric processes (such as solar energetic particle (SEP), corotating interaction regions (CIRs), Pick-up ions, etc.). In this study we utilize STEREO/PLASTIC to examine bow shock/magnetospheric energetic proton events observed throughout 2007 in the region far upstream of the Earth's ion foreshock. To do this, we first employ an automated procedure to identify suprathermal proton events in the energy range of 4keV up to 80keV. The occurrence of events, magnetic connection to the Earth, and Compton-Getting transformed energy spectra of 66 possible STA bow shock/magnetospheric events are investigated as a function of spacecraft-Earth separation.

  7. Broadband source inversion of Long-Period (LP) events on Turrialba volcano, Costa Rica

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lokmer, I.; Thun, J.; Bean, C. J.

    2015-12-01

    A typical moment-tensor (MT) solution of long-period (LP) volcanic signals comprises a tensile crack source mechanism and a pulsing or resonating source-time function (STF). However, due to the small magnitudes of LP events, only the most energetic part of the signals (as seen from velocity waveforms) is used in inversions. Ground displacement periods longer than 5 seconds - if they exist - are very difficult (if not impossible) to recover from such small signals due to the contamination of the signal by high-amplitude microseisms and the velocity signal base-line fluctuations (long-period instrumental noise). Consequently, the source-time functions (STF) obtained in LP inversions are band-limited representations of the true displacements in the source. Here we use a good-quality LP dataset recorded near the summit of Turrialba volcano. Aided by results from step table laboratory experiments we carefully recover the broadband ground motion displacement, containing frequencies much lower than 0.3 Hz observed on the velocity seismograms. The resulting MT solution that we recover is a classical earthquake "ramp" function, rather than a pulsing or oscillating waveform. We suggest that this new observation will contribute to a better understanding of LP seismicity.

  8. NOAA POES Observations of Relativistic Electron Precipitation during a Radiation Belt Depletion Event

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Millan, R. M.; Yando, K.; Green, J. C.

    2008-12-01

    We present POES observations of relativistic electron precipitation during an electron depletion event observed by GOES and GPS. On January 19, 2000 NOAA-15 passed very near the MAXIS balloon payload (L=4.7) which detected an intense duskside precipitation event (Millan et al., 2007). Recent work has shown that the NOAA MEPED proton detector responds to electrons above ~700 keV. We combine data from this high energy channel with data from the MEPED electron detector to examine the energy distribution and spatial extent of precipitation during this period. The results are compared with the MAXIS balloon observations.

  9. AGILE Observations of the Gravitational-wave Event GW150914

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Tavani, M.; Pittori, C.; Verrecchia, F.; Bulgarelli, A.; Giuliani, A.; Donnarumma, I.; Argan, A.; Trois, A.; Lucarelli, F.; Marisaldi, M.; Del Monte, E.; Evangelista, Y.; Fioretti, V.; Zoli, A.; Piano, G.; Munar-Adrover, P.; Antonelli, L. A.; Barbiellini, G.; Caraveo, P.; Cattaneo, P. W.; Costa, E.; Feroci, M.; Ferrari, A.; Longo, F.; Mereghetti, S.; Minervini, G.; Morselli, A.; Pacciani, L.; Pellizzoni, A.; Picozza, P.; Pilia, M.; Rappoldi, A.; Sabatini, S.; Vercellone, S.; Vittorini, V.; Giommi, P.; Colafrancesco, S.; Cardillo, M.; Galli, M.; Fuschino, F.

    2016-07-01

    We report the results of an extensive search through the AGILE data for a gamma-ray counterpart to the LIGO gravitational-wave (GW) event GW150914. Currently in spinning mode, AGILE has the potential of cover 80% of the sky with its gamma-ray instrument, more than 100 times a day. It turns out that AGILE came within a minute of the event time of observing the accessible GW150914 localization region. Interestingly, the gamma-ray detector exposed ∼65% of this region during the 100 s time intervals centered at ‑100 and +300 s from the event time. We determine a 2σ flux upper limit in the band 50 MeV–10 GeV, UL = 1.9 × 10‑8 erg cm‑2 s‑1, obtained ∼300 s after the event. The timing of this measurement is the fastest ever obtained for GW150914, and significantly constrains the electromagnetic emission of a possible high-energy counterpart. We also carried out a search for a gamma-ray precursor and delayed emission over five timescales ranging from minutes to days: in particular, we obtained an optimal exposure during the interval ‑150/‑30 s. In all these observations, we do not detect a significant signal associated with GW150914. We do not reveal the weak transient source reported by Fermi-GBM 0.4 s after the event time. However, even though a gamma-ray counterpart of the GW150914 event was not detected, the prospects for future AGILE observations of GW sources are decidedly promising.

  10. Wavefield properties of a shallow long-period event and tremor at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Saccorotti, G.; Chouet, B.; Dawson, P.

    2001-01-01

    The wavefields of tremor and a long-period (LP) event associated with the ongoing eruptive activity at Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii, are investigated using a combination of dense small-aperture (300 m) and sparse large-aperture (5 km) arrays deployed in the vicinity of the summit caldera. Measurements of azimuth and slowness for tremor recorded on the small-aperture array indicate a bimodal nature of the observed wavefield. At frequencies below 2 Hz, the wavefield is dominated by body waves impinging the array with steep incidence. These arrivals are attributed to the oceanic microseismic noise. In the 2-6 Hz band, the wavefield is dominated by waves propagating from sources located at shallow depths (<1 km) beneath the eastern edge of the Halemaumau pit crater. The hypocenter of the LP event, determined from frequency-slowness analyses combined with phase picks, appears to be located close to the source of tremor but at a shallower depth (<0.1 km). The wavefields of tremor and LP event are characterized by a complex composition of body and surface waves, whose propagation and polarization properties are strongly affected by topographic and structural features in the summit caldera region. Analyses of the directional properties of the wavefield in the 2-6 Hz band point to the directions of main scattering sources, which are consistent with pronounced velocity contrasts imaged in a high-resolution three-dimensional velocity model of the caldera region. The frequency and Q of the dominant peak observed in the spectra of the LP event may be explained as the dominant oscillation mode of a crack with scale length 20-100 m and aperture of a few centimeters filled with bubbly water. The mechanism driving the shallow tremor appears to be consistent with a sustained excitation originating in the oscillations of a bubbly cloud resulting from vesiculation and degassing in the magma. ?? 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

  11. ICME events at Mars: MAVEN observations and models

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Curry, Shannon; Luhmann, Janet; Dong, Chuanfei; Hara, Takuya; Leblanc, Francois; Modolo, Ronan; Fraenz, Markus; Holmstrom, Mats; Ramstad, Robin; Juan Ma, Ying; Halekas, Jasper; Gruesbeck, Jacob; Dong, Yaxue; Brain, David; McFadden, James; Connerney, Jack; Mitchell, David; Fillingim, Matt; Espley, Jared; Jakosky, Bruce

    2016-04-01

    The MAVEN spacecraft has observed the Mars upper atmosphere, ionosphere, magnetic topology and interactions with the Sun and solar wind during numerous Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection (ICME) impacts spanning from March 2015 to January 2016. Observations include dramatic changes in the bow shock and magnetosheath boundaries, open and closed magnetic field lines, and extreme enhancements of escaping and precipitating pick-up ions. We will compare three ICMEs using MAVEN and MEX observations at Mars, with an emphasis on the response of the planetary pick-up ions. Additionally, we will present global MHD and test particle simulations of the ICMEs using MAVEN and MEX observations as initial conditions, which show a significant enhancement in the nonthermal escape of planetary ions during these events. We also will put the observed ICME events in context with a model of an idealized extreme ICME interacting with Mars. Accordingly, atmospheric escape during extreme solar events in Mars' early history may have been a significant contributor to the evolution of the Martian atmosphere and may also have implications for exoplanets interacting with younger, more active stars.

  12. Long-term Spatial and Temporal Variations of Aurora Borealis Events in the Period 1700 - 1905

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Vázquez, M.; Vaquero, J. M.; Gallego, M. C.

    2014-05-01

    Catalogues and other records of aurora-borealis events were used to study the long-term spatial and temporal variation of these phenomena in the period from 1700 to 1905 in the Northern Hemisphere. For this purpose, geographic and geomagnetic coordinates were assigned to approximately 27 000 auroral events with more than 80 000 observations. They were analyzed separately in three large-scale areas: i) Europe and North Africa, ii) North America, and iii) Asia. There was a clear need to fill some gaps existing in the records so as to have a reliable proxy of solar activity, especially during the 18th century. In order to enhance the long-term variability, an 11-year smoothing window was applied to the data. Variations in the cumulative numbers of auroral events with latitude (in both geographic and geomagnetic coordinates) were used to discriminate between the two main solar sources: coronal mass ejections and high-speed streams from coronal holes. The characteristics of the associated auroras correlate differently with the solar-activity cycle.

  13. Transient Events in Archival VLA Observations of the Galactic Center

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Chiti, Anirudh; Chatterjee, S.; Wharton, R.; Cordes, J. M.; Lazio, J.; Kaplan, D. L.; Bower, G. C.; Croft, S.

    2014-01-01

    A number of different classes of stars, sub-stellar objects, and stellar remnants exhibit variability at radio wavelengths on time scales ranging from sub-seconds to hours. The direction toward the Galactic center not only has the highest stellar densities in the Galaxy, but also appears to have a range of interstellar scattering properties that may aid in the detection of new, radio-selected transient events. We have examined all archival VLA observations of the Galactic center field from 1985 to 2005 at 5 GHz and 8.4 GHz for a total of 214 hours of integration time, spanning 99 observations at 5 GHz with a typical area of 4.41E-4 square degrees and 116 observations at 8.4 GHz with a typical area of 8E-4 square degrees. We used a pipeline to search for transient events down to the shortest time scales allowed by the data (typically 10 seconds) by generating model-subtracted visibility data for each observation and then imaging the residual visibilities over short time intervals to search for outlier events. We present one radio transient event and at least 7 other promising candidates with significances ranging from 5.6 to 10.2 sigma that have passed all our tests, and discuss the possible source classes for these candidates and the event rate implications. We acknowledge support from the National Science Foundation for this work. Part of this research was carried out at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. The National Radio Astronomy Observatory is a facility of the National Science Foundation operated under cooperative agreement by Associated Universities, Inc.

  14. Semi-Periodic Sequences and Extraneous Events in Earthquake Forecasting. II: Application, Forecasts for Japan and Venezuela

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Quinteros Cartaya, Claudia Beatriz; Nava Pichardo, Fidencio Alejandro; Glowacka, Ewa; Frez Cárdenas, José Duglas

    2014-07-01

    In order to analyze observed seismicity in central Japan and Venezuela, we applied a new method to identify semi-periodic sequences in the occurrence times of large earthquakes, which allows for the presence of multiple periodic sequences and/or events not belonging to any sequence in the time series. We also explored a scheme for diminishing the effects of a sharp cutoff magnitude threshold in selecting the events to analyze. A main four-event sequence with probability P c = 0.991 of not having occurred by chance was identified for earthquakes with M ≥ 8.0 in central Japan. Venezuela is divided, from West to East, into four regions; for each of these, the magnitude ranges and identified sequences are as follows. Region 1: M ≥ 6.0, a six-event sequence with P c = 0.923, and a four-event sequence with P c = 0.706. Region 2: M ≥ 5.6, a five-event sequence with P c = 0.942. Region 3: M ≥ 5.6, a four-event sequence with P c = 0.882. Region 4: M ≥ 6.0, a five-event sequence with P c = 0.891. Forecasts are made and evaluated for all identified sequences having four or more events and probabilities ≥0.5. The last event of all these sequences was satisfactorily aftcast by previous events. Whether the identified sequences do, in fact, correspond to physical processes resulting in semi-periodic seismicity is, of course, an open question; but the forecasts, properly used, may be useful as a factor in seismic hazard estimation.

  15. Fast and Statistically Optimal Period Search in Uneven Sampled Observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Schwarzenberg-Czerny, A.

    1996-04-01

    The classical methods for searching for a periodicity in uneven sampled observations suffer from a poor match of the model and true signals and/or use of a statistic with poor properties. We present a new method employing periodic orthogonal polynomials to fit the observations and the analysis of variance (ANOVA) statistic to evaluate the quality of the fit. The orthogonal polynomials constitute a flexible and numerically efficient model of the observations. Among all popular statistics, ANOVA has optimum detection properties as the uniformly most powerful test. Our recurrence algorithm for expansion of the observations into the orthogonal polynomials is fast and numerically stable. The expansion is equivalent to an expansion into Fourier series. Aside from its use of an inefficient statistic, the Lomb-Scargle power spectrum can be considered a special case of our method. Tests of our new method on simulated and real light curves of nonsinusoidal pulsators demonstrate its excellent performance. In particular, dramatic improvements are gained in detection sensitivity and in the damping of alias periods.

  16. Quantitative analysis of long-period events recorded during hydrofracture experiments at Fenton Hill, New Mexico

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Ferrazzini, Valerie; Chouet, Bernard; Fehler, Mike; Aki, Keiiti

    1990-12-01

    A three-dimensional fluid-filled crack model recently developed by Chouet is used to reproduce and explain the spectral characteristics of different classes of long-period events recorded during a hydrofracture experiment conducted at Fenton Hill, New Mexico. We study the dependence on the model parameters of the far-field P-wave radiation due to the vibration of the fluid-filled crack. Those parameters are given by the properties of the fluid and solid, the crack dimensions, the area and location of the crack surface over which the excess pressure is applied, the time history of this excess pressure, and the station location. In this model, the resonance of the crack is sustained by a very slow and dispersive wave called "crack wave". The phase velocity of the crack wave depends critically on the impedance contrast between fluid and solid and on the crack dimensions. We are able to fit the dominant features of the Fenton Hill data in the time and frequency domains and draw inferences on the impedance contrast between the fluid and solid. The various classes of events observed can be modeled by a single crack over which the geometry of the applied excess pressure changes. The length, width, and thickness of the crack are estimated to be on the order of 3 m, 1 m, and 3 mm, respectively. The observed spectral roll-off can be explained by a ramp function time dependence of the pressure transient. The rise time necessary to simulate the observed data varies between 2 and 4 ms, depending on the event considered. Assuming the source-receiver distance of 700 m, the amplitude of displacement of the data agree with the model's prediction if the excess pressure applied on the crack is on the order of 20 bars.

  17. Infrasound observation of seismic events occurring in North Korea

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Park, Y.; Che, I.; Nam, S.; Kim, Y.; Lee, J.

    2012-12-01

    Seismic events of North Korea were analyzed by using data set from the regional network including 31 seismic stations and 5 seismo-acoustic arrays of Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources(KIGAM) and 7 Korea-China joint seismic stations in China. Infrasonic data were analysed using the PMCC method, to detect blast-associated infrasonic signals. Phase velocity and back-azimuth of infrasound signals varied between 250 to 400 m/s and ±10° respectively. Seismo-acoustic analysis was conducted to discriminate 375 events which are 38.1 percent of the total seismic events. More than 60 percent of seismo-acoustic events occurred around the Pyeongyang and Wonsan area of North Korea. In the case of the events occurred in the southeastern part of North Korea, the percentage was relatively small. The seismo-acoustic location were improved by using grid-search method. This method was based the observed travel times and azimuths of infrasonic signals and seismic parameter.

  18. Coordinated Solar Observation and Event Searches using the Heliophysics Events Knowledgebase (HEK)

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Timmons, R.; Hurlburt, N. E.

    2014-12-01

    We present new capabilities of the HEK allowing for joint searches, returning overlapping data from multiple instruments (IRIS, SOT, XRT, EIS) that also include particular solar features and events (active regions, (large) flares, sunspots, etc.). The new search tools aid the process of finding particular observations from non-synotpic instruments.

  19. Observations of Waves with Observed Periods less than the Buoyancy Period in the Winter Polar Mesopause Region

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Williams, B. P.; Fritts, D. C.

    2009-12-01

    The sodium wind-temperature lidar at the ALOMAR observatory (69N,16E) can measure the sodium density from 85-100km altitude with 150m height and 15 sec time resolution during winter under good conditions. Radial winds and temperatures can be measured with 1-2 m/s and 1-2 K error after averaging to 1 min in time and 1-2 km in altitude. This allows determination of the short period wave spectrum down to 30sec in Na density and 2min in wind and temperature. Preliminary analysis shows a number of oscillations with observed periods that are less than the buoyancy period. We have also observed an oscillation in the height of a strong summertime sodium sporadic layer with 500m amplitude and 45sec period. We will show the short period spectrum for the full high-resolution database and investigate the sources of these oscillations. Some possibilities include Doppler shifting of the intrinsic frequencies, acoustic waves, or advection of horizontal gradients through our lidar beam.

  20. Quantifying the influence of observed global warming on the probability of unprecedented extreme climate events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Diffenbaugh, N. S.; Rajaratnam, B.; Charland, A.; Haugen, M.; Horton, D. E.; Singh, D.; Swain, D. L.; Tsiang, M.

    2014-12-01

    Now that observed global warming has been clearly attributed to human activities, there has been increasing interest in the extent to which that warming has influenced the occurrence and severity of individual extreme climate events. However, although trends in the extremes of the seasonal- and daily-scale distributions of climate records have been analyzed for many years, quantifying the contribution of observed global warming to individual events that are unprecedented in the observed record presents a particular scientific challenge. We will describe a modified method for leveraging observations and large climate model ensembles to quantify the influence of observed global warming on the probability of unprecedented extreme events. In this approach, we first diagnose the causes of the individual event in order to understand which climate processes to target in the probability quantification. We then use advanced statistical techniques to quantify the uncertainty in the return period of the event in the observed record. We then use large ensembles of climate model simulations to quantify the distribution of return period ratios between the current level of climate forcing and the pre-industrial climate forcing. We will compare the structure of this approach to other approaches that exist in the literature. We will then examine a set of individual extreme events that have been analyzed in the literature, and compare the results of our approach with those that have been previously published. We will conclude with a discussion of the observed agreement and disagreement between the different approaches, including implications for interpretation of the role of human forcing in shaping unprecedented extreme events.

  1. Infrasonic observations of large-scale HE events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Whitaker, Rodney W.; Mutschlecner, J. Paul; Davidson, Masha B.; Noel, Susan D.

    1990-01-01

    The Los Alamos Infrasound Program has been operating since about mid-1982, making routine measurements of low frequency atmospheric acoustic propagation. Generally, the authors work between 0.1 Hz to 10 Hz; however, much of the work is concerned with the narrower range of 0.5 to 5.0 Hz. Two permanent stations, St. George, UT, and Los Alamos, NM, have been operational since 1983, collecting data 24 hours a day. For the purposes of this discussion, the authors concentrate on their measurements of large, high explosive (HE) events at ranges of 250 km to 5330 km. Because their equipment is well suited for mobile deployments, they can easily establish temporary observing sites for special events. The measurements are from the permanent sites, as well as from various temporary sites. A few observations that are typical of the full data set are given.

  2. Polarimetric radar observations during an orographic rain event

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Frech, M.; Steinert, J.

    2015-03-01

    An intense orographic precipitation event on 5 January 2013 is analyzed using a polarimetric C-band radar situated north of the Alps. The radar is operated at the meteorological observatory Hohenpeißenberg (MHP, 1006 m a.s.l. - above sea level) of the German Meteorological Service (DWD). The event lasted about 1.5 days and in total 44 mm precipitation was measured at Hohenpeißenberg. Detailed high resolution observation on the vertical structure of this event is obtained through a birdbath scan at 90° elevation which is part of the operational scanning. This scan is acquired every 5 min and provides meteorological profiles at high spatial resolution which are often not available in other radar networks. In the course of this event, the melting layer (ML) descends until the transition from rain into snow is observed at ground level. This transition from rain into snow is well documented by local weather observers and a present-weather sensor. The orographic precipitation event reveals mesoscale variability above the melting layer which can be attributed to a warm front. This variability manifests itself through substantially increased hydrometeor fall velocities. Radiosounding data indicate a layered structure in the thermodynamic field with increased moisture availability in relation to warm air advection. Rimed snowflakes and aggregation in a relatively warm environment lead to a signature in the radar data which is attributed to wet snow. The passage of the warm front leads to a substantial increase in rain rate at the surface. We use the newly implemented hydrometeor classification scheme "Hymec" to illustrate issues when relating radar products to local observations. For this, we employ data from the radar near Memmingen (MEM, 65 km west of MHP, 600 m a.s.l.) which is part of DWD's operational radar network. The detection, in location and timing, of the ML agrees well with the Hohenpeißenberg radar data. Considering the size of the Memmingen radar sensing

  3. The Search for Periodic Components in Observational Data

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Baluev, R. V.

    2014-09-01

    This review is devoted to the problem of searching for periodicities in observational data using periodograms based on the general statistical likelihood ratio test and special variants of it, including the classical Lomb-Scargle periodogram. Primary emphasis is on the problem of estimating the statistical significance of the periodicities detected in this manner. We assume that a universal solution of this problem exists involving an effective method in which the periodogram is regarded as a random process (or random field), while an approximation for the required "false alarm probability" is constructed by a generalized Rice method. Besides a unified method for determining the expected noise levels (or significance levels) of these periodograms, we also examine some important special cases with different models of periodic signals (linear and nonlinear). The false alarm probability associated with an observed signal is approximated in most cases by a formula of the type , where z is the observed maximum readout in the periodogram and P is an algebraic polynomial with coefficients that depend on the conditions of the problem. We also examine the problem of separating composite signals with several frequencies from noise. In this case correct analysis of the data requires the use of so-called multifrequency periodograms based on models of signals containing several periodic components. We show that a complete solution to this problem requires construction of 2n-1 such periodograms, where n is the total number of possible frequencies. Finally, we describe some program packages that we have developed which make it easier to perform practical frequency analysis of series using this theory.

  4. Solar energetic particles events observed by Prognoz-10 Intercosmos (May-October 1985)

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Lutserko, V.; Fischer, S.; Vandas, M.; Kudela, K.; Stivka, M.

    1987-01-01

    On 26 April 1985, Intershock began observation of a solar energetic particle (SEP) event, resulting from a 3B solar flare which originated on 24 April. The following observation period was quiet with only a few weak increases of low-energy protons of several days duration. Two prominent SEP events occurred on 9 July 1985 (start 0133 UT, position S13, W25) and 17 July (no optical data, type II radio burst from 0333 to 0348 UT). These mass ejection and particle propagation episodes were studied on the basis of X-ray, radio, and energetic particle emissions.

  5. Solar energetic particles events observed by Prognoz-10 Intercosmos (May-October 1985)

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lutserko, V.; Fischer, S.; Vandas, M.; Kudela, K.; Stivka, M.

    1987-09-01

    On 26 April 1985, Intershock began observation of a solar energetic particle (SEP) event, resulting from a 3B solar flare which originated on 24 April. The following observation period was quiet with only a few weak increases of low-energy protons of several days duration. Two prominent SEP events occurred on 9 July 1985 (start 0133 UT, position S13, W25) and 17 July (no optical data, type II radio burst from 0333 to 0348 UT). These mass ejection and particle propagation episodes were studied on the basis of X-ray, radio, and energetic particle emissions.

  6. The source of infrasound associated with long-period events at mount St. Helens

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Matoza, R.S.; Garces, M.A.; Chouet, B.A.; D'Auria, L.; Hedlin, M.A.H.; De Groot-Hedlin, C.; Waite, G.P.

    2009-01-01

    During the early stages of the 2004-2008 Mount St. Helens eruption, the source process that produced a sustained sequence of repetitive long-period (LP) seismic events also produced impulsive broadband infrasonic signals in the atmosphere. To assess whether the signals could be generated simply by seismic-acoustic coupling from the shallow LP events, we perform finite difference simulation of the seismo-acoustic wavefield using a single numerical scheme for the elastic ground and atmosphere. The effects of topography, velocity structure, wind, and source configuration are considered. The simulations show that a shallow source buried in a homogeneous elastic solid produces a complex wave train in the atmosphere consisting of P/SV and Rayleigh wave energy converted locally along the propagation path, and acoustic energy originating from , the source epicenter. Although the horizontal acoustic velocity of the latter is consistent with our data, the modeled amplitude ratios of pressure to vertical seismic velocity are too low in comparison with observations, and the characteristic differences in seismic and acoustic waveforms and spectra cannot be reproduced from a common point source. The observations therefore require a more complex source process in which the infrasonic signals are a record of only the broadband pressure excitation mechanism of the seismic LP events. The observations and numerical results can be explained by a model involving the repeated rapid pressure loss from a hydrothermal crack by venting into a shallow layer of loosely consolidated, highly permeable material. Heating by magmatic activity causes pressure to rise, periodically reaching the pressure threshold for rupture of the "valve" sealing the crack. Sudden opening of the valve generates the broadband infrasonic signal and simultaneously triggers the collapse of the crack, initiating resonance of the remaining fluid. Subtle waveform and amplitude variability of the infrasonic signals as

  7. Substorms observations over Apatity during geomagnetic storms in the period 2012 - 2016

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Guineva, Veneta; Werner, Rolf; Despirak, Irina; Kozelov, Boris

    2016-07-01

    In this work we studied substorms, generated during enhanced geomagnetic activity in the period 2012 - 2016. Observations of the Multiscale Aurora Imaging Network (MAIN) in Apatity have been used. Solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field parameters were judged by the 1-min sampled OMNI data base. Substorm onset and further development were verified by the 10-s sampled data of IMAGE magnetometers and by data of the all-sky camera at Apatity. Subject of the study were substorms occurred during geomagnetic storms. The so-called "St. Patrick's day 2015 event" (17-21 March 2015), the events on 17-18 March 2013 and 7-17 March 2012 (a chain of events generated four consecutive storms) which were among the events of strongest geomagnetic activity during the current solar cycle 24, were part of the storms under consideration. The behavior of the substorms developed during different phases of the geomagnetic storms was discussed.

  8. The Incubation Period of Primary Epstein-Barr Virus Infection: Viral Dynamics and Immunologic Events

    PubMed Central

    Dunmire, Samantha K.; Grimm, Jennifer M.; Schmeling, David O.; Balfour, Henry H.; Hogquist, Kristin A.

    2015-01-01

    Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is a human herpesvirus that causes acute infectious mononucleosis and is associated with cancer and autoimmune disease. While many studies have been performed examining acute disease in adults following primary infection, little is known about the virological and immunological events during EBV’s lengthy 6 week incubation period owing to the challenge of collecting samples from this stage of infection. We conducted a prospective study in college students with special emphasis on frequent screening to capture blood and oral wash samples during the incubation period. Here we describe the viral dissemination and immune response in the 6 weeks prior to onset of acute infectious mononucleosis symptoms. While virus is presumed to be present in the oral cavity from time of transmission, we did not detect viral genomes in the oral wash until one week before symptom onset, at which time viral genomes were present in high copy numbers, suggesting loss of initial viral replication control. In contrast, using a sensitive nested PCR method, we detected viral genomes at low levels in blood about 3 weeks before symptoms. However, high levels of EBV in the blood were only observed close to symptom onset–coincident with or just after increased viral detection in the oral cavity. These data imply that B cells are the major reservoir of virus in the oral cavity prior to infectious mononucleosis. The early presence of viral genomes in the blood, even at low levels, correlated with a striking decrease in the number of circulating plasmacytoid dendritic cells well before symptom onset, which remained depressed throughout convalescence. On the other hand, natural killer cells expanded only after symptom onset. Likewise, CD4+ Foxp3+ regulatory T cells decreased two fold, but only after symptom onset. We observed no substantial virus specific CD8 T cell expansion during the incubation period, although polyclonal CD8 activation was detected in concert with viral

  9. The Incubation Period of Primary Epstein-Barr Virus Infection: Viral Dynamics and Immunologic Events.

    PubMed

    Dunmire, Samantha K; Grimm, Jennifer M; Schmeling, David O; Balfour, Henry H; Hogquist, Kristin A

    2015-12-01

    Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is a human herpesvirus that causes acute infectious mononucleosis and is associated with cancer and autoimmune disease. While many studies have been performed examining acute disease in adults following primary infection, little is known about the virological and immunological events during EBV's lengthy 6 week incubation period owing to the challenge of collecting samples from this stage of infection. We conducted a prospective study in college students with special emphasis on frequent screening to capture blood and oral wash samples during the incubation period. Here we describe the viral dissemination and immune response in the 6 weeks prior to onset of acute infectious mononucleosis symptoms. While virus is presumed to be present in the oral cavity from time of transmission, we did not detect viral genomes in the oral wash until one week before symptom onset, at which time viral genomes were present in high copy numbers, suggesting loss of initial viral replication control. In contrast, using a sensitive nested PCR method, we detected viral genomes at low levels in blood about 3 weeks before symptoms. However, high levels of EBV in the blood were only observed close to symptom onset-coincident with or just after increased viral detection in the oral cavity. These data imply that B cells are the major reservoir of virus in the oral cavity prior to infectious mononucleosis. The early presence of viral genomes in the blood, even at low levels, correlated with a striking decrease in the number of circulating plasmacytoid dendritic cells well before symptom onset, which remained depressed throughout convalescence. On the other hand, natural killer cells expanded only after symptom onset. Likewise, CD4+ Foxp3+ regulatory T cells decreased two fold, but only after symptom onset. We observed no substantial virus specific CD8 T cell expansion during the incubation period, although polyclonal CD8 activation was detected in concert with viral

  10. Periodic impact cratering and extinction events over the last 260 million years

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Rampino, Michael R.; Caldeira, Ken

    2015-12-01

    The claims of periodicity in impact cratering and biological extinction events are controversial. A newly revised record of dated impact craters has been analyzed for periodicity, and compared with the record of extinctions over the past 260 Myr. A digital circular spectral analysis of 37 crater ages (ranging in age from 15 to 254 Myr ago) yielded evidence for a significant 25.8 ± 0.6 Myr cycle. Using the same method, we found a significant 27.0 ± 0.7 Myr cycle in the dates of the eight recognized marine extinction events over the same period. The cycles detected in impacts and extinctions have a similar phase. The impact crater dataset shows 11 apparent peaks in the last 260 Myr, at least 5 of which correlate closely with significant extinction peaks. These results suggest that the hypothesis of periodic impacts and extinction events is still viable.

  11. 313 new asteroid rotation periods from Palomar Transient Factory observations

    SciTech Connect

    Chang, Chan-Kao; Ip, Wing-Huen; Lin, Hsing-Wen; Cheng, Yu-Chi; Ngeow, Chow-Choong; Yang, Ting-Chang; Waszczak, Adam; Kulkarni, Shrinivas R.; Levitan, David; Sesar, Branimir; Prince, Thomas A.; Laher, Russ; Surace, Jason

    2014-06-10

    A new asteroid rotation period survey has been carried out by using the Palomar Transient Factory (PTF). Twelve consecutive PTF fields, which covered an area of 87 deg{sup 2} in the ecliptic plane, were observed in the R band with a cadence of ∼20 minutes during 2013 February 15-18. We detected 2500 known asteroids with a diameter range of 0.5 km ≤D ≤ 200 km. Of these, 313 objects had highly reliable rotation periods and exhibited the 'spin barrier' at ∼2 hr. In contrast to the flat spin-rate distribution of the asteroids with 3 km ≤D ≤ 15 km shown by Pravec et al., our results deviated somewhat from a Maxwellian distribution and showed a decrease at the spin rate greater than 5 rev day{sup –1}. One superfast rotator candidate and two possible binary asteroids were also found in this work.

  12. Event-by-event study of neutron observables in spontaneous and thermal fission

    SciTech Connect

    Vogt, R; Randrup, J

    2011-09-14

    The event-by-event fission model FREYA is extended to spontaneous fission of actinides and a variety of neutron observables are studied for spontaneous fission and fission induced by thermal neutrons with a view towards possible applications for SNM detection. We have shown that event-by-event models of fission, such as FREYA, provide a powerful tool for studying fission neutron correlations. Our results demonstrate that these correlations are significant and exhibit a dependence on the fissioning nucleus. Since our method is phenomenological in nature, good input data are especially important. Some of the measurements employed in FREYA are rather old and statistics limited. It would be useful to repeat some of these studies with modern detector techniques. In addition, most experiments made to date have not made simultaneous measurements of the fission products and the prompt observables, such as neutron and photons. Such data, while obviously more challenging to obtain, would be valuable for achieving a more complete understanding of the fission process.

  13. Skylab ATM/S-056 X-ray event analyzer observations versus solar flare activity: An event compilation. [tables (data)

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Wilson, R. M.

    1977-01-01

    An event compilation is presented which correlates ATM/S-056 X-ray event analyzer solar observations with solar flare activity. Approximately 1,070 h of pulse height analyzed X-ray proportional counter data were obtained with the X-ray event analyzer during Skylab. During its operation, 449 flares (including 343 flare peaks) were observed. Seventy events of peak X-ray emission or = Cl were simultaneously observed by ground based telescopes, SOLRAD 9 and/or Vela, and the X-ray event analyzer. These events were observed from preflare through flare rise to peak and through flare decline.

  14. Space based observations for monitoring extreme weather and climate events

    SciTech Connect

    Rao, P.K.

    1996-12-31

    Observations are essential for monitoring, understanding, and predicting the potential for extreme weather and climate events. These events occur on all time and spatial scales. Current NOAA operational satellites have a unique capability of providing many of the observations that are critical for monitoring these events. These observations and derived geophysical quantities can also be used for diagnostics and prediction purposes. Extreme weather conditions such as severe thunderstorms and flash floods, occur very quickly, may last for a short time, and create a considerable amount of damage. Advance warnings of the order of a few minutes are needed to alert the public so they may take adequate precautions. Some extreme weather conditions such as tropical storms (hurricanes) may last for days, and in order to predict the exact track, intensity of the storm and forecast the land fall, frequent observations are critical. Examples of satellite data that are obtained from the NOAA satellites are presented to demonstrate their ability to monitor the extreme weather phenomena. Examples of extreme climate conditions are droughts over continents and the annual depletion of ozone over the Antarctic. Data derived from NOAA satellites were used to monitor the severe drought over Texas and Southwestern U.S.A. in early 1996. Similar data are being used by other countries to monitor the drought in their regions. The development of the ozone hole over the Antarctic during the last fifteen years has been a major scientific and environmental concern. Data from NOAA operational satellites have been extensively used to show the yearly development and dissipation of the ozone hole during the Southern Hemisphere springtime.

  15. Equatorial Emissions Events in the Inner Magnetosphere from THEMIS Observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wang, K.; Chen, R.; Tam, W. Y.; Chen, L.; Jan, Y.; Yang, Y.

    2013-12-01

    Two specific emission events near equator are found by analyzing wave data from SCM (Search Coil Magnetometer) and EFI (Electric Field Instrument) of THEMIS mission in the local afternoon sector for the year of 2008. These events are both with emissions of frequencies at about 70Hz and 110Hz, between the local proton gyrofrequency fcH+ and the lower hybrid frequency flhr, around 5RE. The analyzed wave vectors are shown to be nearly perpendicular to the ambient geomagnetic fields. The observed ion velocity distributions at the same time exhibit ring features at about 3600 km/sec in perpendicular velocity, which is larger than the local Alfvén velocity. Wave growth rates over different frequencies are calculated to compare with the emission intensity at different frequencies based on dispersion relation of magnetosonic waves.

  16. Limb Event Brightenings and Fast Ejection Using IRIS Mission Observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Tavabi, E.; Koutchmy, S.; Golub, L.

    2015-10-01

    The Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) of the recently commissioned NASA small explorer mission provides significantly more complete and higher resolution spectral coverage of the dynamical conditions inside the chromosphere and transition region (TR) than has been available ever before. High temporal, spatial (0.3'') and spectral resolution observations from the ultraviolet IRIS spectra near the solar limb reveal high-energy limb event brightenings (LEBs) at low chromospheric heights at about 1 Mm above the limb. They can be characterized as explosive events producing jets. We selected two events showing spectra of a confined eruption just off or near the quiet-Sun limb, the jet part showing obvious moving material with short-duration large Doppler shifts in three directions that were identified as macrospicules on slit-jaw (SJ) images in Si iv and He ii 304 Å. The events were analyzed from a sequence of very close rasters taken near the central meridian and the South Pole limb. We analyzed the processed SJ images and the simultaneously observed fast spectral sequences, which have large Doppler shifts, with a pair of redshifted elements together with a faster blueshifted element from almost the same position. Shifts correspond to velocities of up to 100 km s^{-1} in projection on the plane of the sky. Erupting spicules and macrospicules from these regions are visible in images taken before and after the spectra. The cool low first ionization potential (FIP) element simultaneous line emissions of the Mg ii h and k resonance lines do not clearly show a similar signature because of optical thickness effects, but the Si iv broadband SJ images do. The bidirectional plasma jets ejected from a small reconnection site are interpreted to be the result of coronal loop-loop interactions that lead to reconnection in nearby sites.

  17. Coordinated Solar Observation and Event Searches using the Heliophysics Events Knowledgebase (HEK)

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Timmons, Ryan; Hurlburt, Neal E.; De Pontieu, Bart

    2016-05-01

    We present capabilities of the HEK for joint searches, returning overlapping data from multiple instruments (IRIS, Hinode) that also include particular solar features and events (active regions, (large) flares, sunspots, etc.). The new search tools aid the process of finding observations of particular interest from non-synoptic instruments. They also include new data products: processed cutout cubes of SOT-FG and AIA data co-aligned with IRIS.

  18. VLP-Discriminated Strombolian Event Families and Video Observations at Mount Erebus, Antarctica

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Aster, R. C.; Mah, S. Y.; McNamara, S.; Ruiz, M.; Kyle, P.; McIntosh, W.; Dunbar, N.

    2002-12-01

    Strombolian eruptive activity from the phonolitic lava lake of Mt. Erebus generates VLP (Very Long Period) signals with spectral components as grave as 20 s. These signals have been observed on a seasonal basis with broadband seismometers during three Antarctic field seasons in targeted PASSCAL deployments and, more recently, with permanently installed broadband seismometers. Associated eruptive and other lava lake behavior has also been observed since 2000 with a time-stamped crater surveillance video camera. VLP signals persist for several minutes during lava lake refilling following eruptions and have highly similar waveform characteristics from event to event. The initial few seconds of signal associated with the pre-eruptive phase, however, exhibit significant variations and can be readily classified into 3 families, two simply based on initial polarity. A third event family, infrequently observed, shows a very different pulse-like shape and different frequency content. Video observation of eruptions suggest a correlation between the eruptive character and the initial polarity of the event. Positive polarity events have a vertical, jet-like eruptive style, while negative polarity events feature more radial ejecta. All lava lake eruptions are due to simple Strombolian gas slugs nucleating in the near-summit conduit system, becoming dislodged from buoyancy forces, and rising nearly intact to the lake surface. Distinct families of eruptive styles from a single vent and their correlation with VLP signals generated by ascent forces suggest distinct source zones and/or delivery paths of gas slugs to the lava lake surface.

  19. Substorms observations during two geomagnetically active periods in March 2012 and March 2015

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Guineva, V.; Despirak, I.; Kozelov, B.

    2016-05-01

    In this work two events of strong geomagnetic activity were examined: the period 7-17 March 2012, which is one of the most disturbed periods during the ascending phase of Solar Cycle 24, and the severe geomagnetic storm on 17-20 March 2015. During the first period four consecutive magnetic storms occurred on 7, 9, 12, and 15 March. These storms were caused by Sheath, MC and HSS, and the detailed scenarios for the storms were different. The second event is a storm of fourth level with Kp = 8, the strongest one during the last four years, the so-called "St. Patrick's Day 2015 Event". A geomagnetic storm of such intensity was observed in September 2011. Our analysis was based on the 10-s sampled IMAGE magnetometers data, the 1-min sampled OMNI solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data and observations of the Multiscale Aurora Imaging Network (MAIN) in Apatity. The particularities in the behaviours of substorms connected with different storms during these two interesting strongly disturbed periods are discussed.

  20. Solar particle events observed at Mars: dosimetry measurements and model calculations

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Cleghorn, Timothy F.; Saganti, Premkumar B.; Zeitlin, Cary J.; Cucinotta, Francis A.

    2004-01-01

    During the period from March 13, 2002 to mid-September, 2002, six solar particle events (SPE) were observed by the MARIE instrument onboard the Odyssey Spacecraft in Martian Orbit. These events were observed also by the GOES 8 satellite in Earth orbit, and thus represent the first time that the same SPE have been observed at these separate locations. The characteristics of these SPE are examined, given that the active regions of the solar disc from which the event originated can usually be identified. The dose rates at Martian orbit are calculated, both for the galactic and solar components of the ionizing particle radiation environment. The dose rates due to galactic cosmic rays (GCR) agree well with the HZETRN model calculations. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of COSPAR.

  1. Solar particle events observed at Mars: dosimetry measurements and model calculations.

    PubMed

    Cleghorn, Timothy F; Saganti, Premkumar B; Zeitlin, Cary J; Cucinotta, Francis A

    2004-01-01

    During the period from March 13, 2002 to mid-September, 2002, six solar particle events (SPE) were observed by the MARIE instrument onboard the Odyssey Spacecraft in Martian Orbit. These events were observed also by the GOES 8 satellite in Earth orbit, and thus represent the first time that the same SPE have been observed at these separate locations. The characteristics of these SPE are examined, given that the active regions of the solar disc from which the event originated can usually be identified. The dose rates at Martian orbit are calculated, both for the galactic and solar components of the ionizing particle radiation environment. The dose rates due to galactic cosmic rays (GCR) agree well with the HZETRN model calculations. PMID:15791734

  2. MESSENGER Observations of Large Flux Transfer Events at Mercury

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Slavin, James A.; Lepping, Ronald P.; Wu, Chin-Chun; Anderson, Brian J.; Baker, Daniel N.; Benna, Mehdi; Boardsen, Scott A.; Killen, Rosemary M.; Korth, Haje; Krimigis, Stamatios M.; McClintock, William E.; McNutt, Ralph L., Jr.; Sarantos, Menelaos; Schriver, David; Solomon, Sean C.; Travnicek, Pavel; Zurbuchen, Thomas H.

    2010-01-01

    Six flux transfer events (FTEs) were encountered during MESSENGER's first two flybys of Mercury (M1 and M2). For M1 the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was predominantly northward and four FTEs with durations of 1 to 6 s were observed in the magnetosheath following southward IMF turnings. The IMF was steadily southward during M2, and an FTE 4 s in duration was observed just inside the dawn magnetopause followed approx. 32 s later by a 7 s FTE in the magnetosheath. Flux rope models were fit to the magnetic field data to determine FTE dimensions and flux content. The largest FTE observed by MESSENGER had a diameter of approx. 1 R(sub M) (where R(sub M) is Mercury s radius), and its open magnetic field increased the fraction of the surface exposed to the solar wind by 10 - 20 percent and contributed up to approx. 30 kV to the cross-magnetospheric electric potential.

  3. MESSENGER Observations of Large Flux Transfer Events at Mercury

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Slavin, James A.; Lepping, Ronald P.; Wu, Chin-Chun; Anderson, Brian J.; Baker, Daniel N.; Benna, Mehdi; Boardsen, Scott A.; Killen, Rosemary M.; Korth, Haje; Krimigis, Stamatios M.; McClintock, William E.; McNutt, Ralph L., Jr.; Sarantos, Menelaos; Schriver, David; Solomon, Sean C.; Travnicek, Pavel; Zurbuchen, Thomas H.

    2010-01-01

    Six flux transfer events (FTEs) were encountered during MESSENGER's first two flybys of Mercury (MI and M2). For MI the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was predominantly northward and four FTEs with durations of 1 to 6 s were observed in the magnetosheath following southward 1M F turnings. The IMF was steadily southward during M2, and an FTE 4 s in duration was observed just inside the dawn magnetopause followed approx.32 s later by a 7-s FTE in the magnetosheath. Flux rope models were fit to the magnetic field data to detem11ne PTE dimensions and flux content The largest FTE observed by MESSENGER had a diameter of approx. 1 R(sub M) (where R(sub M) is Mercury's radius), and its open magnetic field increased the fraction of the surface exposed to the solar wind by 10 - 20 percent and contributed up to approx.30 kV to the cross-magnetospheric electric potential.

  4. 35 Cascadia Episodic Tremor and Slip events observed on GPS, seismic, and strain/tiltmeter arrays

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Melbourne, T. I.; Aguiar, A. C.; Santillan, V. M.; Szeliga, W.; Miller, M.

    2007-12-01

    Several rapidly expanding GPS networks along the greater Cascadia forearc have enabled identification of 36 isolated Episodic Tremor and Slip (ETS) events since 1997, including two in 2007. ETS events are observed throughout the forearc, from northern California to southwestern British Columbia, with station density generally increasing towards the north. Events located in well-instrumented regions can be tracked as they migrate laterally north-south along the plate boundary, but increasing station density has resolved many smaller transients that could not previously be confidently identified. At the specific latitude of the northern Washington State and southwestern British Columbia, the 14-month average recurrence interval still holds true, 5 events after first recognition. Elsewhere, this periodicity is not observed. Along central Vancouver Island, a host of smaller events distinct from the 14-month recurrence occur with an aperiodic fashion. Sporadic smaller events also appear throughout the subduction zone to the south, including within the region known for the 14-month periodicity. In southern Washington State, some of the largest transient displacements are observed, but lack any obvious periodicity in their recurrence. Along central Oregon, an 18-month recurrence is evident, while in northern California (Yreka) the 11-month periodicity previously documented still holds true. We invert estimated GPS offsets for the largest 14 events using non-negative thrust faulting along a plate interface divided into roughly 500 subfaults. Those events have equivalent moment magnitudes ranging from 6.3 (smallest resolvable with GPS) to 6.8, and typically 2-3 cm of slip. The largest spatial extent of the events resolved to date is just under 500 km along strike, and maximum duration is seven weeks, which lies in marked contrast to other subduction zones. Averaged over many ETS events, the upper limit of transient slip in the vicinity of Seattle, WA lies just west of the

  5. Quantifying uncertainties in location and source mechanism for Long-Period events at Mt Etna, Italy.

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Cauchie, Léna; Saccorotti, Gilberto; Bean, Christopher

    2014-05-01

    The manifestation of Long-Period events is documented at many volcanoes worldwide. However the mechanism at their origin is still object of discussion. Models proposed so far involve (i) the resonance of fluid-filled cracks or conduits that are triggered by fluid instabilities or the brittle failure of high viscous magmas and (ii) the slow-rupture earthquakes in the shallow portion of volcanic edifices. Since LP activity usually precedes and accompanies volcanic eruption, the understanding of these sources is important in terms of hazard assessment and eruption early warning. The work is thus primarily aimed at the assessment of the uncertainties in the determination of LP source properties as a consequence of poor knowledge of the velocity structure and location errors. We used data from temporary networks deployed on Mt Etna in 2005. During August, 2005, about 13000 LP events were detected through a STA/LTA approach, and were classified into two families on the basis of waveform similarity. For each family of events, we located the source using three different approaches: (1) a single-station-location method based on the back-propagation of the polarization vector estimated from covariance analysis of three-component signals; (2) multi-channel analysis of data recorded by two seismic arrays; (3) relative locations based on inversion of differential times obtained through cross-correlation of similar waveforms. For all these three different methods, the solutions are very sensitive to the chosen velocity model. We thus iterated the location procedure for different medium properties; the preferred velocity is that for which the results obtained with the three different methods are consistent each other. For each family, we then defined a volume of possible source location and performed a full-waveform, moment tensor (MT) inversion for the entire catalog of events. In this manner, we obtained a MT solution for each grid node of the investigated volume. The MT

  6. Current reduction in a pseudo-breakup event: THEMIS observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Yao, Z. H.; Pu, Z. Y.; Owen, C. J.; Fu, S. Y.; Chu, X. N.; Liu, J.; Angelopoulos, V.; Rae, I. J.; Yue, C.; Zhou, X.-Z.; Zong, Q.-G.; Cao, X.; Shi, Q. Q.; Forsyth, C.; Du, A. M.

    2014-10-01

    Pseudo-breakup events are thought to be generated by the same physical processes as substorms. This paper reports on the cross-tail current reduction in an isolated pseudo-breakup observed by three of the THEMIS probes (THEMIS A (THA), THEMIS D (THD), and THEMIS E (THE)) on 22 March 2010. During this pseudo-breakup, several localized auroral intensifications were seen by ground-based observatories. Using the unique spatial configuration of the three THEMIS probes, we have estimated the inertial and diamagnetic currents in the near-Earth plasma sheet associated with flow braking and diversion. We found the diamagnetic current to be the major contributor to the current reduction in this pseudo-breakup event. During flow braking, the plasma pressure was reinforced, and a weak electrojet and an auroral intensification appeared. After flow braking/diversion, the electrojet was enhanced, and a new auroral intensification was seen. The peak current intensity of the electrojet estimated from ground-based magnetometers, ~0.7 × 105 A, was about 1 order of magnitude lower than that in a typical substorm. We suggest that this pseudo-breakup event involved two dynamical processes: a current-reduction associated with plasma compression ahead of the earthward flow and a current-disruption related to the flow braking/diversion. Both processes are closely connected to the fundamental interaction between fast flows, the near-Earth ambient plasma, and the magnetic field.

  7. OMI Tropospheric NO2 from Lightning in Observed Convective Events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Pickering, Kenneth; Bucsela, Eric; Gleason, James; Levelt, Pieternel

    2007-01-01

    Lightning is responsible for an estimated 10-20% of NO(x) emissions in the troposphere. In this study, we present evidence of lightning-generated NO2 (LNO2) using data from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), which has observed tropospheric NO2 since its launch in 2004. Although LNO2 has been also reported in previous satellite studies from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME) and SCIAMACHY, OMI is better suited for such measurements by virtue of its higher resolution and daily global coverage. The LNO2 signal is clearly seen in OMI data on two days over and downwind of convective systems in the US Midwest in 2006. We also present an analysis of OMI data over northern Australia during the SCOUT-O3/ACTIVE field campaigns in November and December 2005. Both single- and multi-day averages are presented to examine possible LNO2 signals from individual diurnally recurrent convective events. In these events we compare the OMI signals with aircraft observations from the storm anvils.

  8. Characteristics of extreme rainfall events in northwestern Peru during the 1982-1983 El Nino period

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Goldberg, R. A.; Tisnado, G. M.; Scofield, R. A.

    1987-01-01

    Histograms and contour maps describing the daily rainfall characteristics of a northwestern Peru area most severely affected by the 1982-1983 El Nino event were prepared from daily rainfall data obtained from 66 stations in this area during the El Nino event, and during the same 8-month intervals for the two years preceding and following the event. These data were analyzed, in conjunction with the anlysis of visible and IR satellite images, for cloud characteristics and structure. The results present a comparison of the rainfall characteristics as a function of elevation, geographic location, and the time of year for the El Nino and non-El Nino periods.

  9. Calculation of 239Pu fission observables in an event-by-event simulation

    SciTech Connect

    Vogt, R; Randrup, J; Pruet, J; Younes, W

    2010-03-31

    The increased interest in more exclusive fission observables has demanded more detailed models. We describe a new computational model, FREYA, that aims to meet this need by producing large samples of complete fission events from which any observable of interest can then be extracted consistently, including any interesting correlations. The various model assumptions are described and the potential utility of the model is illustrated. As a concrete example, we use formal statistical methods, experimental data on neutron production in neutron-induced fission of {sup 239}Pu, along with FREYA, to develop quantitative insights into the relation between reaction observables and detailed microscopic aspects of fission. Current measurements of the mean number of prompt neutrons emitted in fission taken together with less accurate current measurements for the prompt post-fission neutron energy spectrum, up to the threshold for multi-chance fission, place remarkably fine constraints on microscopic theories.

  10. Long period pulsation events in electron precipitation and magnetic fields at the South Pole

    SciTech Connect

    Paquette, J.A.

    1992-01-01

    Geomagnetic pulsation events with long (100-1000 second) periods that are accompanied by electron precipitation pulsations at the same frequency were reported at various latitudes. A search of the data from South Pole station for the period from 1982 to 1989 revealed over 200 such events. A comparison of these events with the predictions of Coroniti and Kennel was undertaken, including examination of VLF data, interplanetary magnetic field data, DMSP satellite data, and data from South Pole's conjugate station at Iqaluit, as well as the riometer and magnetometer data from South Pole used in the original search. Data from the IRIS Imaging Radiometer were also used when available. A consideration of the respective wave and particle transit times from the magnetic equator to the ground leads to an expectation that the onset of pulsations in the magnetometer data will lag the onset of pulsations in the riometer data by several minutes. This disparity in onset times, together with VLF modulation in the proper frequency range, serve as important indicators of whether or not an event can be explained by the above-cited theory. While about a third of the events fit the prediction of Coroniti and Kennel, another third cannot be explained by this theory, and possible alternative mechanisms are explored. The remaining third of the events appear at first to be inexplicable in terms of any transit time argument, but analysis of the IRIS data shows that this third class of events arises from differences in the spatial coverage of the instruments.

  11. W-band spaceborne radar observations of atmospheric river events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Matrosov, S. Y.

    2010-12-01

    While the main objective of the world first W-band radar aboard the CloudSat satellite is to provide vertically resolved information on clouds, it proved to be a valuable tool for observing precipitation. The CloudSat radar is generally able to resolve precipitating cloud systems in their vertical entirety. Although measurements from the liquid hydrometer layer containing rainfall are strongly attenuated, special retrieval approaches can be used to estimate rainfall parameters. These approaches are based on vertical gradients of observed radar reflectivity factor rather than on absolute estimates of reflectivity. Concurrent independent estimations of ice cloud parameters in the same vertical column allow characterization of precipitating systems and provide information on coupling between clouds and rainfall they produce. The potential of CloudSat for observations atmospheric river events affecting the West Coast of North America is evaluated. It is shown that spaceborne radar measurements can provide high resolution information on the height of the freezing level thus separating areas of rainfall and snowfall. CloudSat precipitation rate estimates complement information from the surface-based radars. Observations of atmospheric rivers at different locations above the ocean and during landfall help to understand evolutions of atmospheric rivers and their structures.

  12. Event-based internet biosurveillance: relation to epidemiological observation

    PubMed Central

    2012-01-01

    Background The World Health Organization (WHO) collects and publishes surveillance data and statistics for select diseases, but traditional methods of gathering such data are time and labor intensive. Event-based biosurveillance, which utilizes a variety of Internet sources, complements traditional surveillance. In this study we assess the reliability of Internet biosurveillance and evaluate disease-specific alert criteria against epidemiological data. Methods We reviewed and compared WHO epidemiological data and Argus biosurveillance system data for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 (April 2009 – January 2010) from 8 regions and 122 countries to: identify reliable alert criteria among 15 Argus-defined categories; determine the degree of data correlation for disease progression; and assess timeliness of Internet information. Results Argus generated a total of 1,580 unique alerts; 5 alert categories generated statistically significant (p < 0.05) correlations with WHO case count data; the sum of these 5 categories was highly correlated with WHO case data (r = 0.81, p < 0.0001), with expected differences observed among the 8 regions. Argus reported first confirmed cases on the same day as WHO for 21 of the first 64 countries reporting cases, and 1 to 16 days (average 1.5 days) ahead of WHO for 42 of those countries. Conclusion Confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009 cases collected by Argus and WHO methods returned consistent results and confirmed the reliability and timeliness of Internet information. Disease-specific alert criteria provide situational awareness and may serve as proxy indicators to event progression and escalation in lieu of traditional surveillance data; alerts may identify early-warning indicators to another pandemic, preparing the public health community for disease events. PMID:22709988

  13. Pluvial Period over NE Brazil linked to Heinrich Stadial Event 1

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wendt, Kathleen A.; Berry, Akemi; Häuselmann, Anamaria; Fleitmann, Dominik; Wang, Xianfeng; Auler, Augusto S.; Cheng, Hai; Edwards, R. Lawrence

    2016-04-01

    The precise timing of Heinrich Stadial (HS) 1 and its impact on tropical regions remain a topic of active debate. We present a high-resolution precipitation record of HS-1 using a stalagmite collected from Toca da Barriguda cave located in the interior of NE Brazil (40o51'39"W 10o09'36"S, 600m asl). Stalagmite growth in this region is caused by increased rainfall due to a southerly displacement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) during HS Events. Stalagmite TBR14 includes a 107mm calcitic growth phase 230Th dated from 17070 ±40 to 15640 ±65 BP, which we interpret to be the period of rainfall maximum over NE Brazil in association with HS-1. Oxygen isotope analysis reveals a two-stepped structure to the HS-1 pluvial period: starting with a 970-year period of δ18O values averaging -5‰ followed by an abrupt 2.5‰ drop between 16100 to 16080 BP (±20). We infer that rainfall amount increased during this time, as supported by the modern day observation of anti-correlated δ18O values and precipitation amount. A second step of the HS-1 growth phase shows a gradual increase from -7‰ over 440 years followed by the termination of stalagmite growth. Fluorescent banding was discovered throughout the stalagmite using confocal laser fluorescence microscopy. If annual, band counts may add additional constrains to the duration of the abrupt decrease in δ18O values observed at 16100 BP (±20). The two-stepped δ18O pattern observed in our stalagmite record may correlate in detail with other low-latitude high-resolution records of HS-1 such as the Hulu Cave record (Wang et al. 2001) from China, in which an abrupt (2.2) weakening of the East Asian Monsoon at 16070 BP (±40) is followed by a 600 year recovery (decreasing) of δ18O values. The possible anti-phase relationship between these two distant records is concurrent with the hypothesis of a southward migrating ITCZ, and suggests rapid transmission of atmospheric signals during HS-1.

  14. Pattern of cryospheric seismic events observed at Ekström Ice Shelf, Antarctica

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Hammer, Conny; Ohrnberger, Matthias; Schlindwein, Vera

    2015-05-01

    Mobility of glaciers such as rapid retreat or disintegration of large ice volumes produces a large variety of different seismic signals. Thus, evaluating cryospheric seismic events (e.g., changes of their occurrence in space and time) allows to monitor glacier dynamics. We analyze a 1 year data span recorded at the Neumayer seismic network in Antarctica. Events are automatically recognized using hidden Markov models. In this study we focused on a specific event type occurring close to the grounding line of the Ekström ice shelf. Observed waveform characteristics are consistent with an initial fracturing followed by the resonance of a water-filled cavity resulting in a so-called hybrid event. The number of events detected strongly correlates with dominant tide periods. We assume the cracking to be driven by existing glacier stresses trough bending. Voids are then filled by seawater, exciting the observed resonance. In agreement with this model, events occur almost exclusively during rising tides where cavities are opened at the bottom of the glacier, i.e., at the sea/ice interface.

  15. Observations of ozone depletion associated with solar proton events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Mcpeters, R. D.; Jackman, C. H.; Stassinopoulos, E. G.

    1981-01-01

    Ozone profiles from the solar proton events (SPE) of January and September 1971 and August 1972 were obtained after the backscattered ultraviolet (BUV) measured radiances were corrected for the direct effects of protons on the instrument. The SPE of August 1972 produced an ozone depletion of 15% at 42 km that persisted for one month in both northern and southern polar regions. This long recovery time indicates that NO(x) was produced in a quantity sufficient to alter the ozone chemistry. The two SPE in 1971 were of moderate size, but produced ozone depletions of 10-30% at 50 km with a 36 hour recovery time. This rapid recovery is consistent with the assumption that HO(x) is responsible for altering the ozone chemistry (Weeks et al., 1972). The magnitude of the observed depletion, however, exceeds that predicted by the chemical models.

  16. Fermi-LAT Observations of the LIGO Event GW150914

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Ackermann, M.; Ajello, M.; Albert, A.; Anderson, B.; Arimoto, M.; Atwood, W. B.; Axelsson, M.; Baldini, L.; Ballet, J.; Barbiellini, G.; Baring, M. G.; Bastieri, D.; Becerra Gonzalez, J.; Bellazzini, R.; Bissaldi, E.; Blandford, R. D.; Bloom, E. D.; Bonino, R.; Bottacini, E.; Brandt, T. J.; Bregeon, J.; Britto, R. J.; Bruel, P.; Buehler, R.; Burnett, T. H.; Buson, S.; Caliandro, G. A.; Cameron, R. A.; Caputo, R.; Caragiulo, M.; Caraveo, P. A.; Casandjian, J. M.; Cavazzuti, E.; Charles, E.; Chekhtman, A.; Chiang, J.; Chiaro, G.; Ciprini, S.; Cohen-Tanugi, J.; Cominsky, L. R.; Condon, B.; Costanza, F.; Cuoco, A.; Cutini, S.; D’Ammando, F.; de Palma, F.; Desiante, R.; Digel, S. W.; Di Lalla, N.; Di Mauro, M.; Di Venere, L.; Domínguez, A.; Drell, P. S.; Dubois, R.; Dumora, D.; Favuzzi, C.; Fegan, S. J.; Ferrara, E. C.; Franckowiak, A.; Fukazawa, Y.; Funk, S.; Fusco, P.; Gargano, F.; Gasparrini, D.; Gehrels, N.; Giglietto, N.; Giomi, M.; Giommi, P.; Giordano, F.; Giroletti, M.; Glanzman, T.; Godfrey, G.; Gomez-Vargas, G. A.; Granot, J.; Green, D.; Grenier, I. A.; Grondin, M.-H.; Grove, J. E.; Guillemot, L.; Guiriec, S.; Hadasch, D.; Harding, A. K.; Hays, E.; Hewitt, J. W.; Hill, A. B.; Horan, D.; Jogler, T.; Jóhannesson, G.; Kamae, T.; Kensei, S.; Kocevski, D.; Kuss, M.; La Mura, G.; Larsson, S.; Latronico, L.; Lemoine-Goumard, M.; Li, J.; Li, L.; Longo, F.; Loparco, F.; Lovellette, M. N.; Lubrano, P.; Madejski, G. M.; Magill, J.; Maldera, S.; Manfreda, A.; Marelli, M.; Mayer, M.; Mazziotta, M. N.; McEnery, J. E.; Meyer, M.; Michelson, P. F.; Mirabal, N.; Mizuno, T.; Moiseev, A. A.; Monzani, M. E.; Moretti, E.; Morselli, A.; Moskalenko, I. V.; Murgia, S.; Negro, M.; Nuss, E.; Ohsugi, T.; Omodei, N.; Orienti, M.; Orlando, E.; Ormes, J. F.; Paneque, D.; Perkins, J. S.; Pesce-Rollins, M.; Piron, F.; Pivato, G.; Porter, T. A.; Racusin, J. L.; Rainò, S.; Rando, R.; Razzaque, S.; Reimer, A.; Reimer, O.; Reposeur, T.; Ritz, S.; Rochester, L. S.; Romani, R. W.; Saz Parkinson, P. M.; Sgrò, C.; Simone, D.; Siskind, E. J.; Smith, D. A.; Spada, F.; Spandre, G.; Spinelli, P.; Suson, D. J.; Tajima, H.; Thayer, J. G.; Thayer, J. B.; Thompson, D. J.; Tibaldo, L.; Torres, D. F.; Troja, E.; Uchiyama, Y.; Venters, T. M.; Vianello, G.; Wood, K. S.; Wood, M.; Zaharijas, G.; Zhu, S.; Zimmer, S.

    2016-05-01

    The Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT) has an instantaneous field of view (FoV) covering ∼ 1/5 of the sky and it completes a survey of the entire sky in high-energy gamma-rays every 3 hr. It enables searches for transient phenomena over timescales from milliseconds to years. Among these phenomena could be electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational wave (GW) sources. In this paper, we present a detailed study of the LAT observations relevant to Laser Interferometer Gravitational-wave Observatory (LIGO) event GW150914, which is the first direct detection of gravitational waves and has been interpreted as being due to the coalescence of two stellar-mass black holes. The localization region for GW150914 was outside the LAT FoV at the time of the GW signal. However, as part of routine survey observations, the LAT observed the entire LIGO localization region within ∼70 minutes of the trigger and thus enabled a comprehensive search for a γ-ray counterpart to GW150914. The study of the LAT data presented here did not find any potential counterparts to GW150914, but it did provide limits on the presence of a transient counterpart above 100 MeV on timescales of hours to days over the entire GW150914 localization region.

  17. The discovery of 50 minute periodic absorption events from 4U1915-05

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    White, N. E.; Swank, J. H.

    1981-01-01

    The steady flux from 4U1916-05 which undergoes periodic absorption dips every 50 minutes was demonstrated. This period represents the underlying orbital period of the system. It is suggested that variations in the depth and duration of these events are caused by a bulge in the edge of the accretion disk, at the point where the gas stream impacts the disk. The mass losing star in this system is probably a low mass white dwarf. The spectrum of the dips indicates that the metallicity of the absorbing material is at least a factor 17 below solar values.

  18. Periodicity in the spatial-temporal earthquake distributions for the Pacific region: observation and modeling.

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Sasorova, Elena; Levin, Boris

    2014-05-01

    In the course of the last century a cyclic increasing and decreasing of the Earth's seismic activity (SA) was marked. The variations of the SA for the events with M>=7.0 from 1900 up to date were under study. The two subsets of the worldwide NEIC (USGS) catalog were used: USGS/NEIC from 1973 to 2012 and catalog of the significant worldwide earthquakes (2150 B.C. - 1994 A.D.), compiled by USGS/NEIC from the NOAA agency. The preliminary standardization of magnitudes and elimination of aftershocks from list of events was performed. The entire period of observations was subdivided into 5-year intervals. The temporal distributions of the earthquake (EQ) density and released energy density were calculated separately for the Southern hemisphere (SH), and for the Northern hemisphere (NH) and for eighteen latitudinal belts: 90°-80°N, 80°-70°N, 70°-60°N, 60°-50°N and so on (the size of each belt is equal to 10°). The periods of the SA was compared for different latitudinal belts of the Earth. The peaks and decays of the seismicity do not coincide in time for different latitudinal belts and especially for the belts located in NH and SH. The peaks and decays of the SA for the events (with M>=8) were marked in the temporal distributions of the EQ for all studied latitudinal belts. The two-dimension distributions (over latitudes and over time) of the EQ density and released energy density highlighted that the periods of amplification of the SA are equal to 30-35 years approximately. Next, we check the existence of a non-random component in the EQ occurrence between the NH and the SH. All events were related to the time axis according to their origin time. We take into consideration the set of the EQs in the studied catalog as the sequence of events if each event may have only one of two possible outcome (occurrence in the NH or in the SH). A nonparametric run test was used for testing of hypothesis about an existence the nonrandom component in the examined sequence of

  19. The Use of Ensemble-Based Sensitivity with Observations to Improve Predictability of Severe Convective Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Ancell, B. C.; Hill, A. J.; Burghardt, B.

    2014-12-01

    Ensemble sensitivity can reveal important weather features early in a forecast window relevant to the predictability of high-impact events later in time. Sensitivity has been shown on synoptic scales with simulated observations to be useful in identifying ensemble subsets that are more likely than the full ensemble mean, which may potentially add value to operational guidance of high-impact events. On convective scales, with highly nonlinear ensemble perturbation evolution and very non-Gaussian distributions of severe weather responses (e.g., simulated reflectivity above some threshold), it becomes more difficult to apply linear-based ensemble sensitivity to improve predictability of severe events. Here we test the ability of ensemble sensitivity to improve predictability of a severe convective event through identifying errors in sensitive regions of different members early in a forecast period using radar and surface-based observations. In this case, through the inspection of a number of operational models, an overnight mesoscale convective system (MCS) and its associated cold pool appeared to strongly influence whether or not severe convection would occur the following afternoon. Since both the overnight MCS and next-day convection are associated with strong nonlinearity and non-Gaussian distributions in the ensemble, this case allows a rigid test of using ensemble sensitivity and related techniques with observations for convective events. The performance of the sensitivity-based technique will be presented, and integration into an operational tool for severe convection will be discussed.

  20. The first massive astronomical observation event in Mexico City

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Espinosa, Mariana; Hernandez, Xavier

    2011-06-01

    On the night of the 20th of February 2008 there was a total eclipse of the moon visible from Mexico City, with a total duration from 19:42 hrs to 23:09 hrs. At the Instituto de Astronomía, UNAM, we took this opportunity to organise a massive astronomical party on the central plaza of the city, the Zocalo. Over a period of about 6 hrs. we set up a huge astro-party, with free use of over 100 telescopes, where we estimate over 40,000 persons looked through an astronomical telescope at the moon and Saturn, most for the first time in their lives. Numerous stands including a children's games, an Astronomy conference room, and the free distribution of Astronomical material were organised. Here we describe some of the issues associated with the planning and implementation of the event. Coordination issues were complex, involving interaction with divers and numerous authorities, city, national, police, traffic, medical assistance in readiness, aide from other universities, and amateur astronomical societies, which supplied most of the telescopes. An extensive publicity campaign was launched with several weeks of anticipation, and although we had no way of estimating the public response, we were ready with over 800 volunteers at the Zócalo on the 20th of February. The public response was massive and overwhelmingly positive, thousands swarmed the square in a completely peaceful and well organised interaction between Astronomy and society at large, over many complementary levels

  1. Correlation between tectonic events in the most recent period of earth evolution

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kukina, N. V.; Makarov, V. I.; Trifonov, V. G.; Volchkova, G. I.

    Methods used in correlating various neotectonic events are described, together with a general discussion of short-lived changes in tectonic activity. Neotectonic events in the Carpathian-Caucasus-Kopetdag segment and in ancient folded areas (including Tien Shan and segments of Rhodope mountains) of the Alpine-Asian orogenic belt are analyzed. Correlation of neotectonic events of the earth's mobile belts revealed the presence in the earth crust of segments which are characterized by the synchronism of the most important events in tectonic activity. Common activating phases disclosed in these areas indicate the presence of global rhythmicity in tectogenesis. In addition, the studies have uncovered some specificities in the neotectonic stage of the Mesozoic-Cenozoic period of the earth evolution.

  2. Oscillation of a Shallow Hydrothermal Fissure Inferred from Long-Period Seismic Events at Taal Volcano, the Philippines

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Maeda, Y.; Kumagai, H.; Lacson, R.; Figueroa, M. S.; Yamashina, T.

    2012-12-01

    We installed a multi-parameter monitoring network including five broadband seismometers at Taal volcano, the Philippines, where a high risk of near-future eruption is expected. The network detected more than 40,000 long-period (LP) seismic events which have a peak frequency of 0.8 Hz and a Q value of 6. Most of the events occurred in a 2-month-long swarm period of ~600 events/day. Our travel time analysis pointed to a shallow source (100-200 m) beneath the northeastern flank of the active volcanic island. To determine the source mechanism of the LP events, we performed waveform inversion. We first fixed the source location to that obtained by the travel time analysis, and performed inversion using waveforms with and without site amplification corrections and assuming four simple source geometries (a vertical crack, a horizontal crack, a vertical pipe, and a sphere). We obtained the minimum AIC value for the vertical crack source geometry using the corrected waveforms. We next performed a grid search for dip, azimuth, and the location of the tensile crack source using the corrected waveforms. We obtained small residuals for crack dips between 30 and 60 degrees at similar locations to that of the travel time analysis. We used the fluid-filled crack model to interpret the observed complex frequencies of the events. The observed waveforms of the events show a small Q value (= 6), which may be explained by bubbly basalt, bubbly water, or gas. However, since the source location is estimated to be shallow (100-200 m) and we have no evidence for an ascent of magma to such a shallow depth in the swarm period, bubbly basalt seems to be unrealistic. It seems difficult to maintain bubbly water in the inclined crack. For bubbly water, a peak frequency variation is expected to occur due to a variation of the bubble content, whereas the observed peak frequencies of the events are almost constant. The constant frequency is more easily realized by gas in a crack. We therefore

  3. Recurrent event data analysis with intermittently observed time-varying covariates.

    PubMed

    Li, Shanshan; Sun, Yifei; Huang, Chiung-Yu; Follmann, Dean A; Krause, Richard

    2016-08-15

    Although recurrent event data analysis is a rapidly evolving area of research, rigorous studies on estimation of the effects of intermittently observed time-varying covariates on the risk of recurrent events have been lacking. Existing methods for analyzing recurrent event data usually require that the covariate processes are observed throughout the entire follow-up period. However, covariates are often observed periodically rather than continuously. We propose a novel semiparametric estimator for the regression parameters in the popular proportional rate model. The proposed estimator is based on an estimated score function where we kernel smooth the mean covariate process. We show that the proposed semiparametric estimator is asymptotically unbiased, normally distributed, and derives the asymptotic variance. Simulation studies are conducted to compare the performance of the proposed estimator and the simple methods carrying forward the last covariates. The different methods are applied to an observational study designed to assess the effect of group A streptococcus on pharyngitis among school children in India. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. PMID:26887664

  4. Combining EarthScope Long Period Magnetotelluri and Geomagnetic Observatory Data: Hypothetical Events at Continental Scale

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Egbert, G. D.

    2015-12-01

    The EarthScope USArray project has been collecting long period (1 hz) MT data on a quasi-uniform 70 km grid since 2006, using a "rolling" array of approximately 20 long period MT sensors. Up to this point over 700 sites have been occupied (each for ~3-4 weeks) covering almost half the continental US. Seven "backbone" EarthScope MT sites were deployed (but did not fully operate) continuously from 2008-2011. At the same time, continuous high-quality 1 hz vector magnetic field data are available from eight geomagnetic observatories spread over the continental US/southern Canada since 2007. These data can be supplemented with long term (but again not always continuous) magnetometer deployments used for space physics research—e.g., up to 25 sites are available from the Themis project. I will discuss application of multivariate array processing methods to these datasets, with the goal of merge the large scale synoptic observatory, with the other sites, including the spatially dense, but short duration, partially overlapping EarthScope arrays. The merged array can be used to create true hypothetical events -- maps of the electromagnetic that would be observed for highly idealized sources—both plane wave and gradient. These maps can provide a unique perspective on the internal induced fields within the Earth, and suggest novel strategies for extracting reliable information about crust and mantle conductivity. The synthesis may also provide new insights into external source characteristics, and their interaction with the conducting Earth. Application of these results to development and validation of methods for modeling and predicting geomagnetically induced currents (GIC) will also be discussed.

  5. The variations of long time period slow slip events along the Ryukyu subduction zone

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Tu, Y. T.; Heki, K.

    2014-12-01

    Slow slip events (SSEs) are a type of slow earthquakes that can be observed with Global Positioning System (GPS) networks in the world. Those events are detected on intensely coupled plate boundaries such as Cascadia subduction zone (Dragert et al., 2001), western North America, Mexico (Kostoglodov et al., 2003), Alaska (Ohta et al., 2007) and Tokai and Boso areas (Ozawa et al., 2002, 2003), central Japan and are considered to have relations to large subduction thrust earthquakes. However, in southwestern Ryukyu trench where most of researchers believe that it should be a decoupled plate boundary, SSEs recur regularly and are located at a patch that is as deep as 20 to 40 km (Heki and Kataoka, 2008). For comprehending the characteristics and time variations of SSEs in this area, the GEONET GPS data of 16 years are used in this study. During 1997 to 2014, more than thirty SSEs are identified near Hateruma Island, Ryukyu. The average recurrence interval is calculated to be 6.3 months and release seismic moment is Mw 6.6 on average. However, the values of recurrence interval are not invariable. From 1997 to 2002, interval period of SSEs is 7.5 months, but during 2002 to 2008, the interval period decreases suddenly to 5.5 months. After 2008, the value restores to 7.2 months again. Furthermore, the slip amount of SSEs in this area varies with time. From 1997 to 2002, the slip is 9.5 cm/year; and during 2002 to 2008, the value slightly increases to 10.5 cm/year. However, in 2008 to 2013, the slip drops to 6.6 cm/year, but accord to the trend of cumulative slip, the slip value would increase in 2014. Considering these data, we find the slip values increase conspicuously in 2002 and 2013. Coincidentally, one Mw 7.1 thrust earthquake occurred in 2002 and earthquake swarm activity started in the Okinawa trough approximately 50km north of the SSE patch. In 2013, another earthquake swarm activity occurred in nearly the same area as the 2002 activity. This suggests that the

  6. Observed high aerosol loading during dust events in Delhi

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Singh, Khem; Aggarwal, Shankar G.; Jha, Arvind K.; Singh, Nahar; Soni, Daya; Gupta, Prabhat K.

    2012-07-01

    The present study reports aerosol mass loadings and their chemical property during integrated campaign for aerosol and radiation budget (ICARB) in the month of March to May 2006, at NPL, New Delhi. The Thar Desert in Rajasthan is located on the western end of India and south-west of Delhi is hot and arid region with intense aeolian activity and transport of aerosol by the prevailing southwest-west summer wind. Several dust episodes were observed in Delhi during summer 2006. The dust storm peaked on 29th April, 1 ^{st} and 8 ^{th} May 2006, with very high suspended particulate matter (SPM) concentrations 1986μg/m ^{3}, 1735μg/m ^{3} and 1511μg/m ^{3}, respectively. The average concentration of SPM in the month of March, April and May 2006 was 338 μg/m ^{3}, 698 μg/m ^{3} and 732 μg/m ^{3}, respectively. The SPM filter samples were analysed for water-soluble major cations (Na ^{+}, Ca ^{2+}, K ^{+}, and Mg ^{2+}) by atomic absorption spectrophotometry (AAS). Na ^{+} and Ca ^{2+} contribute about 54% and 20%, respectively of the total identified cation mass, indicating that they were most abundant cations. Strong correlations between Na ^{+}, Ca ^{2+}, K ^{+}, and Mg ^{2+} suggest their soil and dust origin. Such a high particle concentration observed during dust events may also be useful for study the effect of these aerosols on communication medium.

  7. Field observations of a debris flow event in the Dolomites

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Berti, Matteo; Genevois, Rinaldo; Simoni, Alessandro; Tecca, Pia Rosella

    1999-09-01

    A debris flow event occurred in June 1997 in the Dolomites (Eastern Alps, Italy). The phenomenon was directly observed in the field and recorded by a video camera near its initiation area. The debris flow originated shortly after an intense rainstorm (25 mm in 30 min) whose runoff mobilised the loose coarse debris that filled the bottom of the channel in its upper part. The analysis of the steep headwater basin indicates a very short concentration time (9-14 min) that fits the quick hydrological response observed in the field. The debris flow mobilisation was not contemporaneous with the arrival of the peak water discharge in the initiation area probably due to the time required for the saturation of the highly conductive channel-bed material. Channel cross-section measurements taken along the flow channel indicate debris flow peak velocity and discharge ranging from 3.1 to 9.0 m/s and from 23 to 71 m 3/s, respectively. Samples collected immediately after deposition were used to determine the water content and bulk density of the material. Channel scouring, fines enrichment and transported volume increase testify erosion and entrainment of material along the flow channel. Field estimates of the rheological properties based on open channel flow of Bingham fluid indicate a yield strength of 5000±400 Pa and relatively low viscosity (60-326 Pa s), probably due to a high percentage of fines (approx. 30%).

  8. Examining Periodic Solar-Wind Density Structures Observed in the SECCHI Heliospheric Imagers

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Viall, Nicholeen M.; Spence, Harlan E.; Vourlidas, Angelos; Howard, Russell

    2010-01-01

    We present an analysis of small-scale, periodic, solar-wind density enhancements (length scales as small as approximately equals 1000 Mm) observed in images from the Heliospheric Imager (HI) aboard STEREO-A. We discuss their possible relationship to periodic fluctuations of the proton density that have been identified at 1 AU using in-situ plasma measurements. Specifically, Viall, Kepko, and Spence examined 11 years of in-situ solar-wind density measurements at 1 AU and demonstrated that not only turbulent structures, but also nonturbulent, periodic density structures exist in the solar wind with scale sizes of hundreds to one thousand Mm. In a subsequent paper, Viall, Spence, and Kasper analyzed the alpha-to-proton solar-wind abundance ratio measured during one such event of periodic density structures, demonstrating that the plasma behavior was highly suggestive that either temporally or spatially varying coronal source plasma created those density structures. Large periodic density structures observed at 1 AU, which were generated in the corona, can be observable in coronal and heliospheric white-light images if they possess sufficiently high density contrast. Indeed, we identify such periodic density structures as they enter the HI field of view and follow them as they advect with the solar wind through the images. The smaller, periodic density structures that we identify in the images are comparable in size to the larger structures analyzed in-situ at 1 AU, yielding further evidence that periodic density enhancements are a consequence of coronal activity as the solar wind is formed.

  9. Distortion of the seismic radiation pattern in a long period band: Absence of clear node observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Sakai, T.; Kumagai, H.

    2015-12-01

    Sakai et al. (2014, 10th ASC) estimated the source amplitudes in a long-period band of 50 - 100 s using broadband seismic records of earthquakes that occurred in the Philippine and Indonesia, and showed that the source amplitudes fell within a constant band against the moment magnitudes (Mw). Long-period waveforms are thought to be less influenced by structural heterogeneities, and the radiation pattern in a long-period band may not be distorted. However, the results of Sakai et al. (2014) suggest that the nodes are not clearly observed in the long-period band. In this study, we analyzed seismic data from the Japan broadband seismograph network (F-net), which is denser than the networks in the Philippine and Indonesia, and carried out numerical tests using synthetic waveforms to investigate the characteristics of long-period wavefields. We used earthquakes that occurred in Japan with Mw between 4 and 8 since 2003, and estimated their source amplitudes in a long-period band of 50 - 100 s using waveform data from F-net. In each event, we calculated the ratios of the minimum source amplitude to other source amplitudes. We found that the ratios for most of events had values ranging up to roughly 10 regardless of their moment magnitudes and the nodes were also not clearly observed in the F-net data. Using the discrete wavenumber method, we calculated synthetic seismograms assuming uniform station distributions with horizontal intervals of 50 and 100 km as well as the Philippine and F-net station distributions. We assumed an earthquake located in the center of the distributed stations, and systematically changed the dip, strike, and rake angels. We estimated the source amplitudes in the long-period band from the seismograms synthesized with these different fault angles. Our numerical tests indicated that the ratios of the source amplitudes become larger as the density of stations is higher and the ratios depend on the mechanisms. These estimated ratios were larger than

  10. Viking magnetic and electric field observations of periodic Pc 1 waves: Pearl pulsations

    SciTech Connect

    Erlandson, R.E.; Anderson, B.J.; Zanetti, L.J.

    1992-10-01

    Pearl pulsations, with an average repetition period of 60 s, were recorded using the magnetic and electric field experiments on the polar-orbiting Viking satellite. The wave event occurred on September 30, 1986, during Viking orbit 1212 at 1030 MLT, from L=3.6 to L=4.1, and at an altitude of 13,500 km. Electron density observations obtained from Viking show that the waves were generated at the plasmapause and at lower amplitudes in the plasmasphere. The wave Poynting flux, calculated using the magnetic and electric field, indicated that the waves generally were propagating downward toward the ionosphere, although upward Poynting fluxes were observed. Clear evidence of upward propagating waves, associated with downward propagating waves reflected at the ionosphere, was not observed. Linear convective growth rates suggest that the anisotropic ions which provide the free energy have a perpendicular temperature around 15 keV. The repetition period, calculated using the measured electron density and magnetic field strength at Viking, is consistent with the double-hop transit time for ion cyclotron waves which propagate along field lines from one hemisphere to the other. However, the absence of upward propagating waves packets implies that the upper limit of the wave ionospheric reflection coefficient is on the order of 10 to 20%. Alternative mechanism for producing the observed repetition are also investigated and include a periodic generation model of pearl pulsations at the ion bounce period. 42 refs., 5 figs., 4 tabs.

  11. Photometric Observations of the η Carinae 2009.0 Spectroscopic Event

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Landes, H.; Fitzgerald, M.

    2010-09-01

    We have observed η Carinae over 34 nights between 2009 January 4 and 2009 March 27 covering the estimated timeframe for a predicted spectroscopic event related to a suspected binary system concealed within the homunculus nebula. A photometric minimum feature was confirmed to be periodic and comparison to a previous event indicated that the period to within our error was 2022.6+/-1.0d. Using the E-region standard star system, the apparent V magnitudes determined for the local comparison stars were HD 303308 8.14+/-0.02, HD 93205 7.77+/-0.03, and HD 93162 8.22+/-0.05. The latter star was found to be dimmer than previously reported.

  12. Nucleation events at a coastal city during the warm period: Kerbside versus urban background measurements

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Siakavaras, D.; Samara, C.; Petrakakis, M.; Biskos, G.

    2016-09-01

    Number size distributions of atmospheric aerosol particles were simultaneously measured at a kerbside and an urban background site in the city of Thessaloniki, Greece, from June to October 2009. New particle formation events were observed ca. 27% of the days at the urban kerbside site and 29% of the days at the urban background site. In almost all the cases the events started between 10:00 and 12:00, and continued for several hours. The total number concentration (TNC) of the particles having diameters from 10 to ca. 500 nm during the events increased from 1.4 × 104 to 6.5 × 104 #/cm3 at the urban kerbside site, and from 0.2 × 104 to 2.4 × 104 #/cm3 at the urban background site. At the urban kerbside site, 9% of the days exhibited class I events (i.e., events followed by a clear growth of the newly formed particles), 10% class II (i.e., events during which the concentration of nucleation mode particles were high but their growth was not continuous), 67% were characterised as non-event days, and 14% of the days exhibited no clear particle formation pattern (undefined). At the urban background site, 15% of the days were classified as class I, 5% as class II, 75% of the days showed no nucleation, whereas only 5% of the days were undefined. While the fraction of event days (both class I and class II) at both sites was similar (ca. 20%), the higher fraction of class I events observed at Eptapyrgio can be attributed to the cleaner environment of the urban background site that allows better identification of the particle concentration increase. The nucleation bursts show a similar pattern at both sites, with the newly formed particles reaching a final size of ca. 80-100 nm. A distinct difference between the two stations was that the smallest particles observed during the new-particle formation events had a diameter of ca. 10 nm (i.e., the smallest particles we could observe) at the kerbside site and ca. 20 nm at the urban background site. This is an indication that

  13. Characteristics of extreme rainfall events in northwestern Peru during the 1982-1983 El Niño period

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Goldberg, R. A.; Tisnado M., G.; Scofield, R. A.

    1987-12-01

    Using rainfall data from 66 stations within the Chira-Piura Project of northwestern Peru, we have prepared an atlas of histograms and contour maps describing the daily rainfall characteristics of the region during the El Niño period from November 1982 to June 1983. We have compared these data with those for the same 8-month intervals during the 2 years preceding and following the designated period. Uniquely during the El Niño period, these data often exhibit localized storms of high rainfall intensity (>100 mm/d) which may then disperse over wider areas of the region during the following 2-3 days. The region nearby and to the east of Chulucanas (5.10°S, 80.17°W) appears to be a focal point for the initiation of such events, particularly during the 1983 months of the period. Case studies for a few of the most severe events have been performed and compared with an analysis using GOES satellite cloud imagery in conjunction with upper air and surface weather maps, to arrive at a possible scenario for the cause and evolution of such events. Statistically, a high percentage of the storms are found to be multicellular with scale sizes approaching 250 km, with minimum cloud temperatures colder than -60°C, and of durations exceeding 6 hours. Such storm systems are consistent with the extreme and disastrous rainfall events observed from ground stations. The satellite analysis has also permitted us to identify significant storms beyond the range of the ground-based stations during this same time period, demonstrating the complementary value of satellite coverage for developing a more comprehensive view of the processes in effect.

  14. High upwind concentrations observed during an upslope tracer event

    SciTech Connect

    Ciolek, J.T. Jr.

    1993-10-01

    In February of 1991 the Rocky Flats Plant conducted twelve tracer experiments to validate an emergency response dispersion model known as the Terrain-Responsive Atmospheric Code (TRAC) (Hodgin 1985). Experimenters released 140 to 260 kilograms of inert tracer gas (sulfur hexafloride) from the plant over an 11 hour period. During each release, one hundred and sixty-five samples, most of which formed concentric rings of 8 and 16 km radius from the plant, recorded cumulative hourly concentrations of the tracer at one meter above ground level (AGL). Figure 1 contains a depiction of the sampler location, the terrain, and the meteorological stations available within the tracer study area. Brown (1991) describes the experimental setup in more detail. The subject of this paper is an event that occurred early in the fifth experiment, on February 9, 1991. In this experiment, tracer material released from 13:00 to 17:00 LST appeared both downwind and upwind of the source, with the highest concentrations upwind. During the fifth experiment, high pressure in Utah produced mostly sunny skis around Rocky Flats. For most of the day, one could find moderate (5 to 10 ms{sup {minus}1}) northerly (from the North) flow within the 700 to 500 mb level of the atmosphere (approximately 3000 to 5500 meters above Mean Sea Level (MSL)). Synoptic scale motions were isolated enough from the surface layer and heating was great enough to produce a 1 km deep upslope flow (flow from the East to the West) by late afternoon. The winds reversed and became downslope at approximately 17:30 LST.

  15. Summary of types of precipitation events observed by BARREL during storms.

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Halford, A. J.; Millan, R. M.; Chakrabarti, S.; Woodger, L. A.; Kavanagh, A. J.

    2015-12-01

    In this poster we summarize the types of storm time precipitation observed by BARREL. One storm will be specifically highlighted which occurred on 26 January 2013 when a solar wind shock hit the Earth. After impact, electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves, observed both on the ground and with the Van Allen Probes, and relativistic electron precipitation (REP) were observed. A few hours later a substorm injection, observed by GOES and LANL, led to 100s keV electron precipitation. Throughout the substorm microbursts were clearly observed. Both during the REP as well as during the substorm precipitation, ULF time scale modulation of the X-rays was observed. This storm period also covered a time period where ~150 keV electron precipitation was observed to correlate well with drift echoes at 300 keV. This last event has not yet been fully explained. We will also present new results from storm periods during the second and third (Swedish) BARREL campaigns. We hope to be able to include results from conjunctions with EISCAT Tromso radar and HiT&MIS, a day time auroral imager, along with the current heliospheric fleet of satellites.

  16. Observation of neutrino-induced neutral current charm events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Alton, Andrew Knight

    We report results from the analysis of wrong sign muon (WSM) events in deep inelastic nmN and nmN scattering with the NuTeV experiment at the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory. These measurements are made possible by the high-purity NuTeV sign-selected beams. Using the anti-neutrino mode (WSM) sample we extract the normalizations for all known sources of beam impurities. The corrected charm production at the target measures the cross section, sp+p-->cc using linear atomic mass dependence. Using a boson-gluon fusion model and the neutrino mode WSM sample open neutral current charm production in neutrino scattering has been observed, and the charm mass is determined to be mc=1.40+0.83- 0.36+/-0.2 6 GeV/c2. The average energy of neutrinos which produce a pair of charm quarks is 154 GeV, and at this energy the cross section is sn+N-->cc =(2.14+1.76- 1.54)×10 -1fb . A search for Flavor-Changing Neutral-Current (FCNC) production of bottom and charm has demonstrated a new method of placing limits on FCNC. These limits are of comparable sensitivity to the current best limits, and effectively limit other decay modes.

  17. Constraints on Cumulus Parameterization from Simulations of Observed MJO Events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Del Genio, Anthony; Wu, Jingbo; Wolf, Audrey B.; Chen, Yonghua; Yao, Mao-Sung; Kim, Daehyun

    2015-01-01

    Two recent activities offer an opportunity to test general circulation model (GCM) convection and its interaction with large-scale dynamics for observed Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) events. This study evaluates the sensitivity of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) GCM to entrainment, rain evaporation, downdrafts, and cold pools. Single Column Model versions that restrict weakly entraining convection produce the most realistic dependence of convection depth on column water vapor (CWV) during the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement MJO Investigation Experiment at Gan Island. Differences among models are primarily at intermediate CWV where the transition from shallow to deeper convection occurs. GCM 20-day hindcasts during the Year of Tropical Convection that best capture the shallow–deep transition also produce strong MJOs, with significant predictability compared to Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission data. The dry anomaly east of the disturbance on hindcast day 1 is a good predictor of MJO onset and evolution. Initial CWV there is near the shallow–deep transition point, implicating premature onset of deep convection as a predictor of a poor MJO simulation. Convection weakly moistens the dry region in good MJO simulations in the first week; weakening of large-scale subsidence over this time may also affect MJO onset. Longwave radiation anomalies are weakest in the worst model version, consistent with previous analyses of cloud/moisture greenhouse enhancement as the primary MJO energy source. The authors’ results suggest that both cloud-/moisture-radiative interactions and convection–moisture sensitivity are required to produce a successful MJO simulation.

  18. Continental seismic events observed by the MPL vertical DIFAR array

    SciTech Connect

    Harris, D.B.; D`Spain, G.

    1993-11-01

    The vertical DIFAR array, an underwater acoustic sensor system, deployed by the Marine Physical Laboratory (MPL) was in place over the continental shelf off of Southern California and recorded the HUNTERS TROPHY nuclear test and nearly a score of after-shocks of the Landers/Big Bear earthquakes. Data from this array raise the possibility that detection thresholds for continental events may be significantly lower for arrays over the continental shelf than for arrays in the deep ocean basins. Offshore stations could be used to fill gaps in land-based seismic networks for monitoring the NPT and a CTBT, especially for monitoring non-cooperating nations with large coastlines. This preliminary report provides an analysis of the HUNTERS TROPHY observation as well as one of the Landers aftershocks. The analysis suggests detection thresholds for vertical hydrophone arrays below mb 3.0 at ranges between 3 and 4 degrees, and below mb 4.4 out to 6 degrees. This report also describes two signal processing techniques that enhance the detection potential of short vertical arrays. These methods are deterministic null steering to suppress horizontally propagating ambient ocean noise, and matched field processing for vertically-incident acoustic fields. The latter technique is ideally suited for acoustic fields derived from incident seismic waves, and may be viewed as a {open_quotes}synthetic aperture{close_quotes} approach to increase the effective aperture of the array.

  19. Measurements of temporal and spatial sequences of events in periodic precipitation processes

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kai, Shoichi; Müller, Stefan C.; Ross, John

    1982-02-01

    A series of new experiments on Liesegang ring (or band) formation is presented which is concerned with the temporal and spatial evolution of the process of structure formation. We have chosen NH4OH and MgSO4 to form rings of Mg(OH)2 precipitate in a gelatin gel, as well as KI and Pb(NO3)2 for periodic precipitation of PbI2 in an agar gel. A temporal sequence of events during the entire period from the start of a Liesegang experiment in a test tube to the completion of the final ring pattern has been determined at many locations in the tube by visual observations and by measurements of transmitted light, of scattered light, of deflection of the transmitted light beam, and of gravity effects. After diffusion of one electrolyte into the gel medium containing the second electrolyte results in an ion product larger than three times the solubility product, at any and all points in space, we observe the onset of homogeneous nucleation of colloidal particles by a steplike increase of the index of refraction. The colloid concentration and the particle number density at the nucleation site are estimated to be 10-2 mol/l and 1015 to 1016 cm-3, respectively. Nucleation is followed by the growth of colloidal particles which gives rise to distinct light scattering (turbidity). Both nucleation and colloid formation take place in space continuously; the fronts of these phenomena move through the system and obey a simple diffusion law. A substantial time interval after their passage, there arises a localized gradient of the index of refraction at the prospective ring positions which indicates onset of structure formation by means of a focusing mechanism. While the localized gradient becomes more pronounced and narrower in space, the turbidity in the regions on either side of the ring location decreases, which indicates a depletion in colloidal material in the neighboring zones. Eventually, a sharp band of visible precipitate appears, which is clearly separated from the preceding

  20. Forbush Decrease events in Lunar Radiation Environment observed by the LRO/CRaTER

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Sohn, J.; Oh, S.; Yi, Y.; Kim, E.; Lee, J.; Spence, H. E.

    2012-12-01

    The Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) launched on June 16, 2009 has six experiments including of the Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation (CRaTER) onboard. The CRaTER instrument characterizes the radiation environment to be experienced by humans during future lunar missions. The CRaTER instrument measures the effects of ionizing energy loss in matter specifically in silicon solid-state detectors due to penetrating solar energetic protons (SEP) and galactic cosmic rays (GCR) after interactions with tissue-equivalent plastic (TEP), a synthetic analog of human tissue. The CRaTER instrument houses a compact and highly precise microdosimeter. It measures dose rates below one micro-Rad/sec in lunar radiation environment. Forbush decrease (FD) event is the sudden decrease of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux. The FD event is considered to be caused by exclusion of GCR due to intense interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) structures of interplanetary shock (IP) sheath region and/or the interplanetary coronal mass ejection (CME) following the IP shocks as a shock driver. We use the data of cosmic ray flux and dose rates observed by the CRaTER instrument. We also use the CME list of STEREO SECCHI inner, outer coronagraph and the IMF (Interplanetary CME) data of the ACE/MAG instrument. We examine the origins and the characteristics of the FD-like events in lunar radiation environment. We also compare these events with the FD events on the Earth. We find that whenever the FD events are recorded at ground Neutron Monitor stations, the FD-like events also occur on the lunar environments. The flux variation amplitude of FD-like events on the Moon is approximately two times larger than that of FD events on the Earth. We compare time profiles of GCR flux with of the dose rate of FD-like events in the lunar environment. We figure out that the distinct FD-like events correspond to dose rate events in the CRaTER on lunar environment during the event period.

  1. Periodic waves in the lower thermosphere observed by OI630 nm airglow images

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Paulino, I.; Medeiros, A. F.; Vadas, S. L.; Wrasse, C. M.; Takahashi, H.; Buriti, R. A.; Leite, D.; Filgueira, S.; Bageston, J. V.; Sobral, J. H. A.; Gobbi, D.

    2016-02-01

    Periodic wave structures in the thermosphere have been observed at São João do Cariri (geographic coordinates: 36.5° W, 7.4° S; geomagnetic coordinates based on IGRF model to 2015: 35.8° E, 0.48° N) from September 2000 to November 2010 using OI630.0 nm airglow images. During this period, which corresponds to almost one solar cycle, characteristics of 98 waves were studied. Similarities between the characteristics of these events and observations at other places around the world were noted, primarily the spectral parameters. The observed periods were mostly found between 10 and 35 min; horizontal wavelengths ranged from 100 to 200 km, and phase speed from 30 to 180 m s-1. These parameters indicated that some of the waves, presented here, are slightly faster than those observed previously at low and middle latitudes (Indonesia, Carib and Japan), indicating that the characteristics of these waves may change at different places. Most of observed waves have appeared during magnetically quiet nights, and the occurrence of those waves followed the solar activity. Another important characteristic is the quasi-monochromatic periodicity that distinguish them from the single-front medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbances (MSTIDs) that have been observed previously over the Brazilian region. Moreover, most of the observed waves did not present a phase front parallel to the northeast-southwest direction, which is predicted by the Perkins instability process. It strongly suggests that most of these waves must have had different generation mechanisms from the Perkins instability, which have been pointed out as being a very important mechanism for the generation of MSTIDs in the lower thermosphere.

  2. Inferring Rotation Periods of Young Stars from Synoptic Observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Hartigan, Patrick; Johns-Krull, Christopher M.; Scowen, Paul

    2012-04-01

    Using known distributions for the periods, amplitudes and light-curve shapes of young stars, we examine how well one could measure periods of these objects in the upcoming era of large synoptic surveys. Surveys like the LSST should be able to recover accurate rotation periods for over 90% of targets of interest in regions near to massive-star formation. That information will usher in a new era in our understanding of how the angular momentum of a young star/disk system evolves with time.

  3. Examining Insurance Loss Return Periods with Extreme Event Intensity Thresholds across the US: 1980-2010

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Smith, A. B.

    2010-12-01

    To improve the “effectiveness” of NOAA storm event information for risk managers, planners, policy makers and public safety, NOAA’s NCDC is integrating U.S. hazards/exposure data with respective insurance loss return periods. This is performed by calculating county-level extreme event intensity thresholds using these data types: hurricanes (NHC), winter storms (NESIS/RESIS), tornadoes (SPC; SWDI), hail (SPC; SWDI), high winds (SPC), drought (USDM/NIDIS), and U.S. insurance loss datasets (Munich Re, USDA-RMA, PCS, FEMA). This research also utilizes NWS warning data, socioeconomic data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), and U.S. Census data (e.g., gridded population/density, mean housing value, per capita income, production wealth) to normalize for increases in population, inflation, and wealth. This work seeks to establish county-level U.S. extreme event economic risk climatologies for the period 1980-2010. This research will inform a new derived risk data product to improve information on extreme event loss frequencies and clustering across time and space horizons. Acronyms: FEMA: Federal Emergency Management Administration NESIS: Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale NHC: (NOAA) National Hurricane Center NIDIS: National Integrated Drought Information System PCS: Property Claim Services RESIS: Regional Snowfall Impact Scale SPC: (NOAA) Storm Prediction Center SWDI: (NOAA) Severe Weather Data Inventory USDA-RMA: U.S. Department of Agriculture - Risk Management Agency USDM: U.S. Drought Monitor

  4. Estimating interevent time distributions from finite observation periods in communication networks

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kivelä, Mikko; Porter, Mason A.

    2015-11-01

    A diverse variety of processes—including recurrent disease episodes, neuron firing, and communication patterns among humans—can be described using interevent time (IET) distributions. Many such processes are ongoing, although event sequences are only available during a finite observation window. Because the observation time window is more likely to begin or end during long IETs than during short ones, the analysis of such data is susceptible to a bias induced by the finite observation period. In this paper, we illustrate how this length bias is born and how it can be corrected without assuming any particular shape for the IET distribution. To do this, we model event sequences using stationary renewal processes, and we formulate simple heuristics for determining the severity of the bias. To illustrate our results, we focus on the example of empirical communication networks, which are temporal networks that are constructed from communication events. The IET distributions of such systems guide efforts to build models of human behavior, and the variance of IETs is very important for estimating the spreading rate of information in networks of temporal interactions. We analyze several well-known data sets from the literature, and we find that the resulting bias can lead to systematic underestimates of the variance in the IET distributions and that correcting for the bias can lead to qualitatively different results for the tails of the IET distributions.

  5. Superconducting gravimeter observation for identifying slow slip events at Ryukyu Trench

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Imanishi, Y.; Nawa, K.; Tamura, Y.; Ikeda, H.; Miyaji, T.; Tanaka, Y.

    2012-12-01

    Analysis of the data from the dense GPS network of Japan (GEONET) revealed quasi-periodic occurrences of long-term slow slip events at the Ryukyu Trench (Heki and Kataoka, 2008). The recurrence period of the events is about half a year, much shorter than typically found in other regions where slow slips are known to take place. Therefore, this region provides an interesting field for investigating the nature of slow slip events. In February 2012, we started gravity observation using a superconducting gravimeter (SG) at the VERA Ishigakijima Station, National Astronomical Observatory of Japan. The Ishigakijima island is located slightly east off the presumed fault area of the slow slip events. Our purpose is to detect gravity changes associated with the slow slip events by making full use of the high resolution of the SG. Of particular interest is the possible effect of water on the slow slip events, which might be identified from gravity observations. In addition to the SG, we installed an FG5 absolute gravimeter at the Iriomotejima island, located about 10 km west of the Ishigakijima island. The SG used in this study (serial number CT36) is the one which was in operation at the Inuyama Seismological Observatory, Nagoya University for about ten years. Before moving it to Ishigakijima, we made a thorough examination of the instruments. Because we found a serious problem in transferring liquid helium because of the ice inside, we warmed up the Dewar to initialize it. This not only solved the ice problem but also resulted in a significant decrease of the heater power for the gravity sensor. As of this writing, we have about six months worth of data from the SG. The condition of the gravimeter is good except for the first month when temperature control was unstable. Because of the ground vibrations caused by the movement of the 20-m VLBI antenna (about 30 m apart from the SG), the noise level is significantly enhanced compared with other domestic SG stations. Also we

  6. Locations and focal mechanisms of deep long period events beneath Aleutian Arc volcanoes using back projection methods

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lough, A. C.; Roman, D. C.; Haney, M. M.

    2015-12-01

    Deep long period (DLP) earthquakes are commonly observed in volcanic settings such as the Aleutian Arc in Alaska. DLPs are poorly understood but are thought to be associated with movements of fluids, such as magma or hydrothermal fluids, deep in the volcanic plumbing system. These events have been recognized for several decades but few studies have gone beyond their identification and location. All long period events are more difficult to identify and locate than volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes because traditional detection schemes focus on high frequency (short period) energy. In addition, DLPs present analytical challenges because they tend to be emergent and so it is difficult to accurately pick the onset of arriving body waves. We now expect to find DLPs at most volcanic centers, the challenge lies in identification and location. We aim to reduce the element of human error in location by applying back projection to better constrain the depth and horizontal position of these events. Power et al. (2004) provided the first compilation of DLP activity in the Aleutian Arc. This study focuses on the reanalysis of 162 cataloged DLPs beneath 11 volcanoes in the Aleutian arc (we expect to ultimately identify and reanalyze more DLPs). We are currently adapting the approach of Haney (2014) for volcanic tremor to use back projection over a 4D grid to determine position and origin time of DLPs. This method holds great potential in that it will allow automated, high-accuracy picking of arrival times and could reduce the number of arrival time picks necessary for traditional location schemes to well constrain event origins. Back projection can also calculate a relative focal mechanism (difficult with traditional methods due to the emergent nature of DLPs) allowing the first in depth analysis of source properties. Our event catalog (spanning over 25 years and volcanoes) is one of the longest and largest and enables us to investigate spatial and temporal variation in DLPs.

  7. Determining the Return Period of Storm Surge Events in the Philippines

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Santiago, Joy; Suarez, John Kenneth; Lapidez, John Phillip; Mendoza, Jerico; Caro, Carl Vincent; Tablazon, Judd; Ladiero, Christine; Mahar Francisco Lagmay, Alfredo

    2015-04-01

    The devastating damages generated by the Tropical Cyclone Haiyan storm surges in Eastern Samar, Philippines prompted the Department of Science and Technology-Project NOAH (Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards) to calculate the return period and storm surge exceedance probability of these events. The recurrence interval or the period of return of a storm surge event is the estimated likelihood that that event would occur again. Return periods are measured through historical data denoting the interval of recurrence in average over a period of time. The exceedance probability however, is a graphical representation that describes the probability that some various levels of loss will be exceeded over a future time period or will be surpassed over a given time. DOST-Project NOAH simulates storm surge height time series using JMA storm surge model which is a numerical model based on shallow water equations. To determine the period of recurrence of storm surges with this type of intensity, the agency intends to compute the estimation of storm surge heights generated by tropical cyclones for 2-year, 5-year, 10-year, 25-year, 50-year and 100-year return periods for the Philippine coast. The storm surge time series generated from JMA combined with WXTide simulation, a software containing archives/catalogues of world-wide astronomical tides, and 5-meter resolution DEM were used as input parameters for the inundation model, which shows probable extent of flooding at a specific storm surge return period. Flo-2D two-dimensional flood routing model, a GIS integrated software tool that facilitates the creation of the flood model grid system, was used for flood hazard model. It is a simple volume conservation model composed of processor program that facilitate graphical editing and mapping of flooding details which uses continuity equation and the dynamic wave momentum equations. The measurements of storm surge return period and probable extent of coastal flooding in the

  8. Cascadia Episodic Tremor and Slip events observed on GPS, seismic, and strain/tiltmeter arrays

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Melbourne, T.

    2008-12-01

    The rapidly expanding GPS networks along the greater Cascadia forearc have enabled identification of nearly 40 isolated Episodic Tremor and Slip (ETS) events from 1992 through 2008. ETS events are observed throughout the forearc, from northern California to southwestern British Columbia, with station density generally increasing towards the north. Events located in well-instrumented regions can be tracked as they migrate laterally north-south along the plate boundary, but increasing station density has resolved many smaller transients that could not previously be confidently identified. At the specific latitude of the northern Washington State and southwestern British Columbia, the 14-month average recurrence interval still holds true, 6 events after first recognition. Elsewhere, this periodicity is not observed. Along central Oregon, an 18-month recurrence is evident, while in northern California (Yreka) the 11-month periodicity previously documented still holds true. Sporadic smaller events appear frequently throughout the subduction zone, including within the region known for the 14-month periodicity. For the most recent events that have the best GPS and seismic coverage, there is an increasingly strong correspondence between GPS-inversions for slip and tremor epicentral locations. Moreover, the 2007 and 2008 ETS events were also recorded by the PBO borehole strain and PANGA long-baseline tiltmeter arrays. These instruments show up to 200 nr of induced tilts and strain signals whose evolution are temporally coincident with tremor and whose total amplitudes are consistent with that predicted by GPS inversions for slip. GPS offsets for the largest 23 events inverted for slip show moment magnitudes ranging from 6.3 (smallest resolvable with GPS) to 6.8, and typically 2-3 cm of slip. The largest spatial extent of the events resolved to date is just under 500 km along strike, and maximum duration is seven weeks, which lies in marked contrast to other subduction zones

  9. Strains by Geodetic Observations Associated with Seismic Events in Latin America

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Marotta, G. S.; Franca, G. S.; Galera Monico, J. F.; Fuck, R. A.

    2012-12-01

    In this study, we investigate surface strains related to seismic events and their relationship with pre- and post-seismic events in in Latin America, by analyzing the variation of estimated earth coordinates using GNSS positioning techniques supplied by a continuous monitoring geodetic network called SIRGAS-CON. That network consists of points in the South American lithospheric plates, Antarctica, Nazca, Cocos, North American and Caribbean. Based on data provided by the USGS for the period 2000-2011, and after the Global Congruency test, we selected four events associated with unstable geodetic network points. The determination of the resulting strain was estimated based on the finite element method using networks of points considered unstable connected to neighboring points with the method by Delaunay. It was possible to determine the strains along with the resulting guidelines for pre- and post-seismic, considering each triangular lattice formed for analysis as a homogeneous solid body. Using Global Congruency Test, from the 23 chosen events, 4 were associated to unstable points in the geodetic network. Those events were located in Northern Chile (Mw = 7.8 on 06/13/2005), Costa Rica (Mw = 6.1 on 01/08/2009), Off-shore Bio-Bio - Chile (Mw = 8.8 on 02/27/2010) and Baja - Mexico (Mw = 7.2 on 04/04/2010). The instability analysis detected displacements of the vector components of the points between 1cm and 3m approximately. The calculation of strains and verification of the results to the 4 events found allowed to analyze the interactions between lithospheric plates from the contraction and extension directions between points located in different plates. Despite the association between seismic events and the strain of geodetic network, events of Mw ≥ 5.8 were excluded because it does not show the surface strain, which is located at great depths. It was confirmed that events of greater magnitude provide increased surface strain rate when compared with other similar

  10. Dust storm events over Delhi: verification of dust AOD forecasts with satellite and surface observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Singh, Aditi; Iyengar, Gopal R.; George, John P.

    2016-05-01

    Thar desert located in northwest part of India is considered as one of the major dust source. Dust storms originate in Thar desert during pre-monsoon season, affects large part of Indo-Gangetic plains. High dust loading causes the deterioration of the ambient air quality and degradation in visibility. Present study focuses on the identification of dust events and verification of the forecast of dust events over Delhi and western part of IG Plains, during the pre-monsoon season of 2015. Three dust events have been identified over Delhi during the study period. For all the selected days, Terra-MODIS AOD at 550 nm are found close to 1.0, while AURA-OMI AI shows high values. Dust AOD forecasts from NCMRWF Unified Model (NCUM) for the three selected dust events are verified against satellite (MODIS) and ground based observations (AERONET). Comparison of observed AODs at 550 nm from MODIS with NCUM predicted AODs reveals that NCUM is able to predict the spatial and temporal distribution of dust AOD, in these cases. Good correlation (~0.67) is obtained between the NCUM predicted dust AODs and location specific observations available from AERONET. Model under-predicted the AODs as compared to the AERONET observations. This may be mainly because the model account for only dust and no anthropogenic activities are considered. The results of the present study emphasize the requirement of more realistic representation of local dust emission in the model both of natural and anthropogenic origin, to improve the forecast of dust from NCUM during the dust events.

  11. Observations of Single Event Failure in Power MOSFETS

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Nichols, D.; McCarty, K.; Coss, J.

    1994-01-01

    The first compendium of single event test data for power MOSFETs provides failure thresholds from burnout or gate rupture for over 100 devices of eight manufacturers. Ordering the data has also provided some useful insights.

  12. On quasi-periodic variations of low-energy cosmic rays observed near earth.

    PubMed

    Kudela, Karel; Langer, Ronald

    2015-06-01

    Cosmic ray (CR) may partially, especially at high altitudes, contribute to the dosimetric characteristics. Along with irregular CR variations as Forbush decreases and solar particle events are, the quasi-periodic variations may be of some relevance too. A very short review (with references to original papers) of the present knowledge of various types of such variations is presented, namely (i) diurnal wave, (ii) ~27 d variability due to the solar rotation, (iii) Rieger-type periodicity, and (iv) quasi-biennial oscillations as well as waves on longer time scales related to solar activity and to polarity of magnetic field of the Sun. Variability is illustrated in measurements of secondary CR on the ground including the high-altitude observations at Lomnický štít. PMID:25979741

  13. Recurrence times and periodicities in 4U 1608-52 as observed by Vela 5B

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Lochner, James C.; Roussel-Dupre, Diane

    1994-01-01

    We report on the Vela 5B 10 year history of the soft X-ray transient 4U 1608-52, and on the characteristics of its soft X-ray outbursts. The Vela 5B satellite observed the four known outbursts in 1975, 1977, and 1979, and four new outbursts in 1970 and 1971, altering the recurrence pattern of outbursts from this source. One of the 1970 outbursts is symmetric in its intensity profile, while the two outbursts in 1971 have short exponential profiles separated by 80 days. Despite suggestive recurrence periods of approximately 85 and approximately 150 days evident in the time intervals between the outbursts, there is no single statistically significant recurrence time on which the outbursts recur consistently. In the 1970 symmetric event, there is evidence for a period of either 4.10 or 5.19 days. Drawing upon the analogy with SU Ursa Majoris dwarf novae, we suggest that the short period is orbital and any longer period would be associated with a precession period of the accretion disk.

  14. Concentric waves and short-period oscillations observed in the ionosphere after the 2013 Moore EF5 tornado

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Nishioka, Michi; Tsugawa, Takuya; Kubota, Minoru; Ishii, Mamoru

    2013-11-01

    We detected clear concentric waves and short-period oscillations in the ionosphere after an Enhanced Fujita scale (EF)5 tornado hit Moore, Oklahoma, U.S., on 20 May 2013 using dense wide-coverage ionospheric total electron content (TEC) observations in North America. These concentric waves were nondispersive, with a horizontal wavelength of ~120 km and a period of ~13 min. They were observed for more than 7 h throughout North America. TEC oscillations with a period of ~4 min were also observed to the south of Moore for more than 8 h. A comparison between the TEC observations and infrared cloud image from the GOES satellite indicates that the concentric waves and short-period oscillations are caused by supercell-induced atmospheric gravity waves and acoustic resonances, respectively. This observational result provides the first clear evidence of a severe meteorological event causing atmospheric waves propagating upward in the upper atmosphere and reaching the ionosphere.

  15. Total ozone and Umkehr observations at Hoher Sonnblick 1994-2011: Climatology and extreme events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Fitzka, M.; Hadzimustafic, J.; Simic, S.

    2014-01-01

    Umkehr and total ozone measurements have been carried out at Hoher Sonnblick (47.05°N, 12.95°E; 3106 m above sea level) since 1994 with the Brewer MkIV #093 spectrophotometer. These measurements are used to investigate trends in total and vertically resolved ozone in the period 1994-2011 and for establishing an Umkehr climatology. A method to estimate daily thresholds for extreme events in total ozone (TO3) based on skewed log-Weibull distributions is presented and applied to the record. An analysis of the such defined extreme events reveals a significant decline in the number of low events, whereas the high events increased by about the same amount. However, no significant trend is observed in the magnitude of extreme events. Solar activity and equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine show weak to no correlation with vertically resolved ozone, presumably due to the record's limited extent, while tropopause pressure and quasi-biennial oscillation show a significant influence. Trend analysis of total and vertically resolved ozone indicates a significant increase in TO3 of 2.0% per decade since 1994, whereas no recovery is observed in the upper stratosphere. While ozone concentrations continue to decrease or stagnate in the upper stratosphere, the loss is overcompensated by large gains in the lowest layers during winter, leading to a significant overall increase in TO3. During events with extremely low TO3, the largest deficiencies are found in the bottommost layers with a marked seasonal component. The topmost layers mainly contribute to TO3 reductions during late winter and fall.

  16. Conjugate observations of a remarkable quasiperiodic event by the low-altitude DEMETER spacecraft and ground-based instruments

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Bezdekova, Barbora; Nemec, Frantisek; Manninen, Jyrki; Parrot, Michel; Santolik, Ondrej; Hayosh, Mykhaylo

    2016-04-01

    Quasiperiodic (QP) events are electromagnetic waves observed in the inner magnetosphere at frequencies between about 0.5 and 4 kHz that exhibit a nearly periodic modulation of the wave intensity. The modulation periods may range from tens of seconds up to minutes. We present a detailed multipoint analysis of a remarkable QP event observed consecutively for several hours on 26 February 2008. The event was detected by ground-based instruments of Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory (Finland) and by the low-altitude DEMETER spacecraft, both in the same and conjugate hemispheres. The time intervals when the event was observed on board the satellite/on the ground provide us with an estimate of the event dimensions. When the event is detected simultaneously by the satellite and on the ground, its observed frequency-time structure is generally the same. However, the ratio of detected intensities varies significantly as a function of the spacecraft latitude. Moreover, there is a delay as large as about 10 s between the times when individual QP elements are detected by the spacecraft/on the ground. This appears to be related to the azimuthal separation of the instruments, and it is highly relevant to the identification of a possible source mechanism. Finally, we find that the intensity of the QP event is correlated with the amplitude of Alfvenic ULF pulsations measured on the ground.

  17. Multi-Spacecraft Observations of Interplanetary Shock Accelerated Particle Events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Ho, G. C.; Lario, D.; Decker, R. B.; Desai, M. I.; Hu, Q.; Kasper, J.

    2006-01-01

    We use simultaneous measurements from the Wind and ACE spacecraft to determine the spatial properties of both interplanetary (IP) shocks and the shock-associated energetic particle events. We combine plasma, magnetic field and energetic particle data from ACE and Wind for 124 energetic storm particle (ESP) events from 1998 to 2003 and examine the spatial and temporal variations of these events in the Earth's vicinity. We find that even though the two spacecraft were occasionally separated by more than 400 RE, the plasma, field, and energetic particle time-intensity profiles during the events were very similar. In addition, we find that the ion composition and energy spectra in individual IP shock events are identical at the two spacecraft locations. We also use the fitted shock velocity along the normal from ACE and estimate the shock transit time to Wind location. In general, there is poor agreement between the estimated transit time and the actual measured transit time. Hence, our assumptions that a) the IP shock at 1 AU propagates radially, and/or b) the IP shock is spherically symmetric at 1 AU are not valid. In this paper, we will also study, for the first time, the anisotropy measurements of low-energy IP shock-associated ions at both ACE and Wind. We will then compare these new anisotropy analyses with locally measured shock parameters and identify possible signatures of different shock acceleration processes as predicted by the first-order Fermi and shock-drift models.

  18. Survey of DMSP Charging Events During the Period Preceding Cycle 23 Solar Maximum

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Parker, Linda Neergaard; Minow, Joseph I.

    2013-01-01

    It has been well established that POLAR orbiting satellites can see mild to severe charging levels during solar minimum conditions (Frooninckx and Sojka, 1992, Anderson and Koons, 1996, Anderson, 2012). However, spacecraft operations during solar maximum cannot be considered safe from auroral charging. Recently, we have seen examples of high level charging during the recent approach to solar maximum. We present here a survey of charging events seen by the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites (F16, F17) during the solstices of 2011 and 2012. In this survey, we summarize the condition necessary for charging to occur in this environment, we describe how the lower than normal maximum conditions are conducive to the environment conditions necessary for charging in the POLAR orbit, and we show examples of the more extreme charging events, sometimes exceeding 1 kV, during this time period. We also show examples of other interesting phenomenological events seen in the DMSP data, but which are not considered surface charging events, and discuss the differences.

  19. Large geomagnetic storms of extreme solar event periods in solar cycle 23

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wang, R. G.; Wang, J. X.

    At the duration of extreme solar events solar eruption associated with big flares or and energetic coronal mass ejections CMEs can not only make high energy particles acceleration but also give rise to large geomagnetic storms which have significant effects on the Earth s environment and human life Around 14 solar cosmic ray ground level enhancement GLE events in solar cycle 23 we examine the cosmic ray variations solar wind speeds ion densities interplanetary magnetic fields and geomagnetic disturbance storm time indices Dst We find that all but one of GLEs are always followed by a geomagnetic storm with Dst leq -50 nT within 1-5 days later Most 10 14 geomagnetic storms have Dst index leq -100 nT suggesting that GLE event prediction of geomagnetic storms is 93 for moderate storms and 71 for large storms More than half 57 Dst depressions are simultaneously accompanied by cosmic ray decreases and other Dst variabilities are without clear cosmic ray deceases We also investigated the interplanetary plasma features during GLE events Most geomagnetic storm correspond significant periods of southward B z and in close to 80 of the cases that the B z was first northward then turning southward after storm sudden commencement SSC Plasma flow speed ion number density and interplanetary plasma temperature near 1 AU also have a peak at interplanetary shock arrival Solar cause and energetic particle signatures of large geomagnetic storms are discussed

  20. Specific features of the generation of long-periodic geomagnetic pulsations in the event on June 25, 2008

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Moiseev, A. V.; Baishev, D. G.; Barkova, E. S.; Du, A.; Yumoto, K.

    2015-03-01

    The event of the generation of long-periodic geomagnetic Pc5 pulsations occurring on June 25, 2008 under undisturbed geomagnetic conditions is considered using data from ground-based and satellite observations. Two maxima in the frequency bands 1.9-2.2 and 2.9-3.3 mHz are revealed in the spectra of oscillations in the interplanetary medium, magnetosphere, and on the Earth. Pulsations with frequency 1.9-2.2 mHz were detected in all time sectors from low to high latitudes. The maximum amplitude of the oscillations was recorded in the longitude sector coinciding with position of the ion foreshock region. It is assumed that the event under consideration was caused both by variations of the solar wind dynamic pressure (amplified by the foreshock region) and by the direct penetration of ultra-low-frequency waves from solar wind to the magnetosphere.

  1. Characterization And State-Of-The-Art Modeling Of Extreme Precipitation Events Over Africa During The Historical Period

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Gibba, P.; Sylla, M. B.

    2015-12-01

    The ability of the state-of-the-art climate models to reproduce the mean spatial characteristics of extreme precipitation indices over Africa is evaluated. The ensembles of eight precipitation-based indices as defined by ETCCDI were extracted from seventeen CMIP5 GCMs and twelve CORDEX RCMs simulations based on absolute and percentile (95th) thresholds and computed from the 1975 to 2004 historical period. Daily precipitation indices calculated from GPCP and TRMM satellite-derived observation datasets during the period 1997 to 2012 and 1998 to 2011 respectively were also employed in this study for model validation. Results of spatial representation of the frequency of extreme precipitation events (R1mm, CDD, CWD and R95p) highlight a generally good consistency between the two observations. Equally, in the regional analysis some similarities exist in their median and interquartile (25th and 75th percentile) spread especially for CDD, CWD and R95p for most regions. In the associated intensities (SDII, RX5day, R95 and R95ptot), results indicate large spatial differences between the two observational datasets, with finer resolution TRMM generating higher rainfall intensities than the coarser resolution GPCP. TRMM has also demonstrated higher median and interquartile range as compared to GPCP. The CORDEX RCMs and CMIP5 GCMs simulations have estimated more number of extreme precipitation events, while underestimated the intensities. The differences between the models and observations can be as large as the typical model interquartile spread of the ensembles for some indices (R1mm, CWD, SDII and R95) in some regions. Meanwhile, CORDEX estimations are generally closer to the observations than CMIP5 in reproducing the frequency of extreme rainfall indices. For the estimation of rainfall intensities, CORDEX simulations are in most cases more consistence with TRMM observations whilst the CMIP5 GCMs simulations are closer to GPCP observations.

  2. Tests of ionospheric control of young injection events identified from magnetometer observations at Saturn

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kivelson, M.; Jia, X.

    2015-12-01

    Kennelly et al. (2013) reported that young plasma injection events observed in Saturn's nightside magnetosphere and identified from plasma wave signatures are modulated at the period associated with the winter hemisphere. In a system unstable to interchange, radial motion of flux tubes is constrained by the "line-tying" effect of high ionospheric conductance (Southwood and Kivelson, 1989). Slippage of a flux tube would then occur initially in the hemisphere in which the ionospheric conductance is lowest. Saturn's ionospheric conductances vary not only with season, but also with rotation phase because of the presence of a pattern of rotating field-aligned currents that drive "planetary period oscillations" (Jia and Kivelson, 2012). The conductance should minimize near the center of the downward current region and, at this rotation phase in the winter hemisphere, the growth rate of the instability would be largest, accounting for control by the northern period. With motion starting in the winter hemisphere, the flux tube would develop a tilt of predictable sense and the initial inward motion of the interchanging flux tube would occur at a specific rotation phase of the winter ionosphere. For a subset of the Kennelly events, we found that the tilt and phase are consistent with expectations based on the control of displacement by ionospheric conductance. Many additional young interchange events have been identified by K. K. Khurana [personal communication, 2015] whom we thank for making the list available. We examine this more extensive set of events and use them to investigate the proposed mechanism more fully. __________ Jia, X., and M. G. Kivelson (2012), J. Geophys. Res., 117, A11219. Kennelly, T. J., J. S. Leisner, G. B. Hospodarsky, and D. A. Gurnett (2013), J. Geophys. Res. Space Physics, 118, 832-838. Kivelson, M., and X. Jia (2014), , AGU Fall meeting, 2014, SM51E-4295. Southwood, D. J., and M. G. Kivelson (1989), J. Geophys. Res., 94, 299-308.

  3. Reconnection events in Saturn's magnetotail: Dependence of plasmoid occurrence on planetary period oscillation phase

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Jackman, C. M.; Provan, G.; Cowley, S. W. H.

    2016-04-01

    During its exploration of Saturn's magnetotail the Cassini magnetometer has detected many in situ examples of magnetic reconnection, in the form of plasmoids, traveling compression regions (TCRs), and dipolarizations. Meanwhile, many magnetospheric phenomena have been shown to be organized with particular regularity by planetary period oscillation systems driven separately from the Northern and Southern Hemispheres of the planet. Here we examine the relationship between the occurrence of plasmoids and TCRs and the magnetic phases of the northern and southern systems. We find a striking degree of organization of the events by both northern and southern phases, with events linked preferentially to intervals in which the magnetospheric plasma and field lines are displaced outward from the planet and the current sheet thinned, both effects being likely to favor the occurrence of reconnection and plasmoid-related mass loss. Little evidence is found for significant visibility effects associated with north-south motions of the plasma sheet.

  4. Possible transient creep events in a brittle-ductile continental crust: observations, experiments and potential models.

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lavier, Luc

    2016-04-01

    In a given tectonic province and over thousands to millions of years, slip on faults is believed to be constant and approximately equal to the local tectonic rate in agreement with rigid plate tectonic theory. In this model the ductile lower crust flows in response to this steady plate motion. Moreover brittle and ductile behaviors interact only at a sharp boundary defined as the brittle ductile transition (BDT). However in the continental lithosphere brittle and ductile behavior may coexist over a large range of pressure and temperature conditions for different mineral compositions. This generates heterogeneities in the brittle and ductile crust that are often ignored in models of shear zones. We hypothesize that the interaction between brittle (elastic) and ductile (viscous) behavior may cause deviations from steady-state slip and generates transient creep events on shear zones that release many meters of creep over years to thousands of years marked by a single period of tectonic activity followed by quiescence. We present a set of numerical and analytical models, analogue experiments as well as some observations in nature that may support this hypothesis. In this presentation we extend an analytic formulation to model creep events within shear zones at the transition between brittle and ductile behavior in the crust. We assume that creep events are triggered by a set of interconnected fractures modeled as propagating dislocations. The amount of connectivity controls the nature and the intensity of the transient creep events. The shear zone behaves as a forced damped oscillator that can release strain accumulated during jammed/locked periods. The creep can be over-, critically-, or under-damped. The time scale of the events may vary between seconds to thousands of years depending on the viscous, elastic and plastic (fractures) properties of the shear zone.

  5. Long-period seismic events with strikingly regular temporal patterns on Katla volcano's south flank (Iceland)

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Sgattoni, Giulia; Jeddi, Zeinab; Gudmundsson, Ólafur; Einarsson, Páll; Tryggvason, Ari; Lund, Björn; Lucchi, Federico

    2016-09-01

    Katla is a threatening volcano in Iceland, partly covered by the Mýrdalsjökull ice cap. The volcano has a large caldera with several active geothermal areas. A peculiar cluster of long-period seismic events started on Katla's south flank in July 2011, during an unrest episode in the caldera that culminated in a glacier outburst. The seismic events were tightly clustered at shallow depth in the Gvendarfell area, 4 km south of the caldera, under a small glacier stream at the southern margin of Mýrdalsjökull. No seismic events were known to have occurred in this area before. The most striking feature of this seismic cluster is its temporal pattern, characterized by regular intervals between repeating seismic events, modulated by a seasonal variation. Remarkable is also the stability of both the time and waveform features over a long time period, around 3.5 years. We have not found any comparable examples in the literature. Both volcanic and glacial processes can produce similar waveforms and therefore have to be considered as potential seismic sources. Discerning between these two causes is critical for monitoring glacier-clad volcanoes and has been controversial at Katla. For this new seismic cluster on the south flank, we regard volcano-related processes as more likely than glacial ones for the following reasons: 1) the seismic activity started during an unrest episode involving sudden melting of the glacier and a jökulhlaup; 2) the glacier stream is small and stagnant; 3) the seismicity remains regular and stable for years; 4) there is no apparent correlation with short-term weather changes, such as rainstorms. We suggest that a small, shallow hydrothermal system was activated on Katla's south flank in 2011, either by a minor magmatic injection or by changes of permeability in a local crack system.

  6. Waves associated to COMPLEX EVENTS observed by STEREO

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Siu Tapia, A. L.; Blanco-Cano, X.; Kajdic, P.; Aguilar-Rodriguez, E.; Russell, C. T.; Jian, L. K.; Luhmann, J. G.

    2012-12-01

    Complex Events are formed by two or more large-scale solar wind structures which interact in space. Typical cases are interactions of: (i) a Magnetic Cloud/Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection (MC/ICME) with another MC/ICME transient; and (ii) an ICME followed by a Stream Interaction Region (SIR). Complex Events are of importance for space weather studies and studying them can enhance our understanding of collisionless plasma physics. Some of these structures can produce or enhance southward magnetic fields, a key factor in geomagnetic storm generation. Using data from the STEREO mission during the years 2006-2011, we found 17 Complex Events preceded by a shock wave. We use magnetic field and plasma data to study the micro-scale structure of the shocks, and the waves associated to these shocks and within Complex Events structures. To determine wave characteristics we perform Power Spectra and Minimum Variance Analysis. We also use PLASTIC WAP protons data to study foreshock extensions and the relationship between Complex Regions and particle acceleration to suprathermal energies.

  7. An Observing Campaign of the Mutual Events Within (617) Patroclus-Menoetius Binary Trojan System

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Berthier, Jerome; Marchis, F.; Descamps, P.; Assafin, M.; Bouley, S.; Colas, F.; Dubos, G.; Emery, J. P.; De Cat, P.; Farrell, J. A.; Leroy, A.; Pauwels, T.; Pollock, J. T.; Reddy, V.; Sada, P. V.; Vingerhoets, P.; Vachier, F.; Vieira-Martins, R.; Wong, M. H.; Reichart, D. E.; Ivarsen, K. M.; Crain, J. A.; LaCluyze, A. P.; Nysewander, M. C.

    2007-10-01

    In 2006-2007, the binary Trojan system (617) Patroclus-Menotius reached one of its annual equinoxes. As a consequence, the system underwent a 6 months season of mutual eclipses and occultations. We organized a campaign of observations of these mutual events mostly centered along the first semester of 2007. We took advantage of an orbit solution of the similary-sized binary system published by Marchis et al. (Nature, 2006) to predict the timing of mutual eclipses and occultations observable from January to July 2007. During the campaign, the magnitude of Patroclus system varied from 15.8 to 16.6 and its solar phase from 9°.5 to 2°.7 at opposition (end of March). The amplitude of the events ranged between 0.2 and 0.3 magnitude. A large number of stations around the world were involved in the campaign and 20 lightcurves with mutual events signature were collected (http://www.imcce.fr/page.php?nav=en/observateur/campagnes_obs/patroclus/). With such favorable circumstances, photometric observations of the events will provide tight constraints regarding physical properties of the system such as sizes, shapes, sidereal spin period and surface composition. Combining AO observations collected at Keck and Gemini with this lightcurve data, we have refined the orbital parameters of the binary system to an unprecedented accuracy. We will present these findings, the determination of the sizes and shapes, and other results from the data analysis. This material is partly based upon work supported by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration issue through the Science Mission Directorate Research and Analysis Programs number NNG05GF09G.

  8. Feature selection of seismic waveforms for long period event detection at Cotopaxi Volcano

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lara-Cueva, R. A.; Benítez, D. S.; Carrera, E. V.; Ruiz, M.; Rojo-Álvarez, J. L.

    2016-04-01

    Volcano Early Warning Systems (VEWS) have become a research topic in order to preserve human lives and material losses. In this setting, event detection criteria based on classification using machine learning techniques have proven useful, and a number of systems have been proposed in the literature. However, to the best of our knowledge, no comprehensive and principled study has been conducted to compare the influence of the many different sets of possible features that have been used as input spaces in previous works. We present an automatic recognition system of volcano seismicity, by considering feature extraction, event classification, and subsequent event detection, in order to reduce the processing time as a first step towards a high reliability automatic detection system in real-time. We compiled and extracted a comprehensive set of temporal, moving average, spectral, and scale-domain features, for separating long period seismic events from background noise. We benchmarked two usual kinds of feature selection techniques, namely, filter (mutual information and statistical dependence) and embedded (cross-validation and pruning), each of them by using suitable and appropriate classification algorithms such as k Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) and Decision Trees (DT). We applied this approach to the seismicity presented at Cotopaxi Volcano in Ecuador during 2009 and 2010. The best results were obtained by using a 15 s segmentation window, feature matrix in the frequency domain, and DT classifier, yielding 99% of detection accuracy and sensitivity. Selected features and their interpretation were consistent among different input spaces, in simple terms of amplitude and spectral content. Our study provides the framework for an event detection system with high accuracy and reduced computational requirements.

  9. Large-Scale periodic solar velocities: An observational study

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Dittmer, P. H.

    1977-01-01

    Observations of large-scale solar velocities were made using the mean field telescope and Babcock magnetograph of the Stanford Solar Observatory. Observations were made in the magnetically insensitive ion line at 5124 A, with light from the center (limb) of the disk right (left) circularly polarized, so that the magnetograph measures the difference in wavelength between center and limb. Computer calculations are made of the wavelength difference produced by global pulsations for spherical harmonics up to second order and of the signal produced by displacing the solar image relative to polarizing optics or diffraction grating.

  10. Some observations regarding the thermal flux from Earth's erupting volcanoes for the period 2000 to 2014

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wright, R.; Blackett, M.; Hill-Butler, C.

    2014-12-01

    This presentation will describe 15 years of MODIS observations of the thermal flux from Earth's sub-aerially erupting volcanoes. The MODVOLC algorithm has been providing data regarding volcanic eruptions on Earth to the volcanological community since the launch of Terra MODIS, via the internet, in near-real-time (http:modis.higp.hawaii.edu). During this time, eruptions at 102 volcanoes have been observed, including activity associated with mafic lava flows, lava lakes, vent-based explosive activity and felsic lava domes. This presentation will present an overview of how MODIS has documented every eruption to occur on Earth since 2000, and will describe some of the more interesting result that have been obtained from the analysis of this archive. The total amount of energy radiated into the atmosphere can be divided into two parts: a baseline level of emission which has increased gradually over this 15 period, superimposed on which are large "spikes" attributable to large, lava-flow-forming eruptions. The most intense eruption during this period of time was the 2004 eruption of Nyamuragira, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, whilst the largest magnitude event was the 2012-2013 eruption of Tolbachik, Russia. Spatio-temporal patterns in thermal output will be addressed. Time-series analysis of heat flux from these 102 volcanoes has revealed while some volcanoes exhibit statistically significant periodicity in the magnitude of their heat output, many do not.

  11. Observation and Analysis of Jovian and Saturnian Satellite Mutual Events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Tholen, David J.

    2001-01-01

    The main goal of this research was to acquire high time resolution photometry of satellite-satellite mutual events during the equatorial plane crossing for Saturn in 1995 and Jupiter in 1997. The data would be used to improve the orbits of the Saturnian satellites to support Cassini mission requirements, and also to monitor the secular acceleration of Io's orbit to compare with heat flow measurements.

  12. Estimating return periods for daily precipitation extreme events over the Brazilian Amazon

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Santos, Eliane Barbosa; Lucio, Paulo Sérgio; Santos e Silva, Cláudio Moisés

    2015-08-01

    This paper aims to model the occurrence of daily precipitation extreme events and to estimate the return period of these events through the extreme value theory (generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD)). The GEV and GPD were applied in precipitation series of homogeneous regions of the Brazilian Amazon. The GEV and GPD goodness of fit were evaluated by quantile-quantile (Q-Q) plot and by the application of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test, which compares the cumulated empirical distributions with the theoretical ones. The Q-Q plot suggests that the probability distributions of the studied series are appropriated, and these results were confirmed by the KS test, which demonstrates that the tested distributions have a good fit in all sub-regions of Amazon, thus adequate to study the daily precipitation extreme event. For all return levels studied, more intense precipitation extremes is expected to occur within the South sub-regions and the coastal area of the Brazilian Amazon. The results possibly will have some practical application in local extreme weather forecast.

  13. Early Oligocene geomagnetic field behavior from ODP Site 1128: Complex records of short-period polarity events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Molina-Garza, R. S.; Fuller, M. D.

    2001-12-01

    intermediate- (10-40 mT) and a high-coercivity (40-80 mT) component. Only the intermediate coercivity magnetization records normal polarities, although transitional directions are observed in both components. Hysteresis data suggest the presence of PSD particles, and show no discernable difference between sediments recording short-period polarity events and those with uniform near univectorial behavior and single polarity, suggesting uniformity of remanence carriers. The two components of the NRM can be attributed to the presence of two carriers with different lock-in time mechanisms.

  14. Results of Lunar Impact Observations During Geminid Meteor Shower Events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Suggs, R. J.; Suggs, R. M.

    2015-01-01

    Geminids' relatively large intensity and unique origin, it is important to monitor and gain information about the Geminids so as to improve their forecasts and understand their contribution to the meteoroid environment in Earth's orbit and at the Moon. It is the purpose of this Technical Memorandum (TM) to document two lunar observing periods coinciding with the Geminid meteor showers that occurred in 2006 and 2010.

  15. Adverse events from spinal manipulation in the pregnant and postpartum periods: a critical review of the literature

    PubMed Central

    2012-01-01

    Background The safety of spinal manipulation during pregnancy and the postpartum periods has been a matter of debate among manual therapists. Spinal manipulative therapy during these periods is a commonly performed intervention as musculoskeletal pain is common in these patients. To date there has not been an evaluation of the literature on this topic exclusively. Methods A literature search was conducted on PubMed, CINAHL and the Index to Chiropractic Literature along with reference searching for articles published in English and French in the peer-reviewed literature that documented adverse effects of spinal manipulation during either pregnancy or postpartum. Case reports, case series, and any other clinical study designs were deemed acceptable for inclusion, as were systematic reviews. The appropriate Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN) tools were used to rate included articles for quality when applicable. Results Five articles identifying adverse events in seven subjects following spinal manipulation were included in this review, along with two systematic reviews. The articles were published between 1978 and 2009. Two articles describing adverse effects from spinal manipulation on two postpartum patients were included, while the remaining three articles on five patients with adverse effects following spinal manipulation were on pregnant patients. Injury severity ranged from minor injury such as increasing pain after treatment that resolved within a few days to more severe injuries including fracture, stroke, and epidural hematoma. SIGN scores of the prospective observational cohort study and systematic reviews indicated acceptable quality. Conclusions There are only a few reported cases of adverse events following spinal manipulation during pregnancy and the postpartum period identified in the literature. While improved reporting of such events is required in the future, it may be that such injuries are relatively rare. PMID:22455720

  16. HF radar observations of ionospheric backscatter during geomagnetically quiet periods

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kane, T. A.; Makarevich, R. A.; Devlin, J. C.

    2012-01-01

    The quiet-time coherent backscatter from the F-region observed by the Tasman International Geospace Environment Radar (TIGER) Bruny Island HF radar is analysed statistically in order to determine typical trends and controlling factors in the ionospheric echo occurrence. A comparison of the F-region peak density values from the IRI-2007 model and ionosonde measurements in the vicinity of the radar's footprint shows a very good agreement, particularly at subauroral and auroral latitudes, and model densities within the radar's footprint are used in the following analyses. The occurrence of F-region backscatter is shown to exhibit distinct diurnal, seasonal and solar cycle variations and these are compared with model trends in the F-region peak electron density and Pedersen conductance of the underlying ionosphere. The solar cycle effects in occurrence are demonstrated to be strong and more complex than a simple proportionality on a year-to-year basis. The diurnal and seasonal effects are strongly coupled to each other, with diurnal trends exhibiting a systematic gradual variation from month to month that can be explained when both electron density and conductance trends are considered. During the night, the echo occurrence is suggested to be controlled directly by the density conditions, with a direct proportionality observed between the occurrence and peak electron density. During the day, the echo occurrence appears to be controlled by both conductance and propagation conditions. It is shown that the range of echo occurrence values is smaller for larger conductances and that the electron density determines what value the echo occurrence takes in that range. These results suggest that the irregularity production rates are significantly reduced by the highly conducting E layer during the day while F-region density effects dominate during the night.

  17. ENERGETIC PARTICLE OBSERVATIONS AND PROPAGATION IN THE THREE-DIMENSIONAL HELIOSPHERE DURING THE 2006 DECEMBER EVENTS

    SciTech Connect

    Malandraki, O. E.; Marsden, R. G.; Tranquille, C.; Lario, D.; Heber, B.; Mewaldt, R. A.; Cohen, C. M. S.; Lanzerotti, L. J.; Forsyth, R. J.; Elliott, H. A.; Vogiatzis, I. I.; Geranios, A.

    2009-10-10

    We report observations of solar energetic particles obtained by the HI-SCALE and COSPIN/LET instruments onboard Ulysses during the period of isolated but intense solar activity in 2006 December, in the declining phase of the solar activity cycle. We present measurements of particle intensities and also discuss observations of particle anisotropies and composition in selected energy ranges. Active Region 10930 produced a series of major solar flares with the strongest one (X9.0) recorded on December 5 after it rotated into view on the solar east limb. Located over the South Pole of the Sun, at >72{sup 0}S heliographic latitude and 2.8 AU radial distance, Ulysses provided unique measurements for assessing the nature of particle propagation to high latitudes under near-minimum solar activity conditions, in a relatively undisturbed heliosphere. The observations seem to exclude the possibility that magnetic field lines originating at low latitudes reached Ulysses, suggesting either that the energetic particles observed as large solar energetic particle (SEP) events over the South Pole of the Sun in 2006 December were released when propagating coronal waves reached high-latitude field lines connected to Ulysses, or underwent perpendicular diffusion. We also discuss comparisons with energetic particle data acquired by the STEREO and Advanced Composition Explorer in the ecliptic plane near 1 AU during this period.

  18. Temporal evolution of a hydrothermal system in Kusatsu-Shirane Volcano, Japan, inferred from the complex frequencies of long-period events

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Kumagai, H.; Chouet, B.A.; Nakano, M.

    2002-01-01

    We present a detailed description of temporal variations in the complex frequencies of long-period (LP) events observed at Kusatsu-Shirane Volcano. Using the Sompi method, we analyze 35 LP events that occurred during the period from August 1992 through January 1993. The observed temporal variations in the complex frequencies can be divided into three periods. During the first period the dominant frequency rapidly decreases from 5 to 1 Hz, and Q of the dominant spectral peak remains roughly constant with an average value near 100. During the second period the dominant frequency gradually increases up to 3 Hz, and Q gradually decreases from 160 to 30. During the third period the dominant frequency increases more rapidly from 3 to 5 Hz, and Q shows an abrupt increase at the beginning of this period and then remains roughly constant with an average value near 100. Such temporal variations can be consistently explained by the dynamic response of a hydrothermal crack to a magmatic heat pulse. During the first period, crack growth occurs in response to the overall pressure increase in the hydrothermal system caused by the heat pulse. Once crack formation is complete, heat gradually changes the fluid in the crack from a wet misty gas to a dry gas during the second period. As heating of the hydrothermal system gradually subsides, the overall pressure in this system starts to decrease, causing the collapse of the crack during the third period.

  19. CRRES observations of ion composition during EMIC mode wave events

    SciTech Connect

    Macdonald, Elizabeth; Larsen, Brian

    2010-12-13

    EMIC mode waves may play an important role in the dynamics of the growth and loss of the radiation belts. CRRES mission analysis has provided extensive information on the distributions of EMIC mode waves. Less well studied and understood is the role that ion composition plays in the formation of the EMIC mode waves. The CRESS plasma mass spectrometer LOMICS measured all ion species of interest up to 45 keV/q. This preliminary study will examine the characteristics of heavy ions during a multitude of wave events, in particular, the effect of ion composition on wave-particle interactions, amplitude, and frequency. The relevance of such data to the upcoming RBSP mission will be highlighted.

  20. Human event observations in the individual plant examinations

    SciTech Connect

    Forester, J.

    1995-01-01

    A major objective of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission`s (NRC) Individual Plant Examination (IPE) Insights Program is to identify the important determinants of core damage frequency (CDF) for the different reactor and containment types and plant designs as indicated in the IPEs. The human reliability analysis (HRA) is a critical component of the probabilistic risk assessments (PRAS) which were done for the IPES. The determination and selection of human actions for incorporation into the event and fault tree models and the quantification of their failure probabilities can have an important impact on the resulting estimates of CDF and risk. Therefore, two important goals of the NRCs IPE Insights Program are (1) to determine the extent to which human actions and their corresponding failure probabilities influenced the results of the IPEs and (2) to identify which factors played significant roles in determining the differences and similarities in the results of the HRA analyses across the different plants. To obtain the relevant information, the NRC`s IPE database, which contains information on plant design, CDF, and containment performance obtained from the IPES, was used in conjunction with a systematic examination of the HRA analyses and results from the IPES. Regarding the extent to which the results of the HRA analyses were significant contributors to the plants` CDFs, examinations of several different measures indicated that while individual human actions could have important influences on CDF for particular initiators, the HRA results did not appear to be the most significant driver of plant risk (CDF). Another finding was that while there were relatively wide variations in the calculated human error probabilities (HEPs) for similar events across plants, there was no evidence for any systematic variation as a function of the HRA methods used in the analyses.

  1. Human event observations in the individual plant examinations

    SciTech Connect

    Forester, J.

    1995-04-01

    A major objective of the Individual Plant Examination Insights Program is to identify the important determinants of core damage frequency for the different reactor and containment types and plant designs as indicated in the IPEs. The human reliability analysis is a critical component of the probabilistic risk assessments which were done for the IPEs. The determination and selection of human actions for incorporation into the event and fault tree models and the quantification of their failure probabilities can have an important impact on the resulting estimates of CDF and risk. Two important goals of the NRCs IPE Insights Program are (1) to determine the extent to which human actions and their corresponding failure probabilities influenced the results of the IPEs and (2) to identify which factors played significant roles in determining the differences and similarities in the results of the HRA analyses across the different plants. To obtain the relevant information, the NRC`s IPE database, which contains information on plant design, CDF, and containment performance obtained from the IPEs, was used in conjunction with a systematic examination of the HRA analyses and results from the IPEs. Regarding the extent to which the results of the HRA analyses were significant contributors to the plants` CDFs, examinations of several different measures indicated that while individual human actions could have important influences on CDF for particular initiators, the HRA results did not appear to be the most significant driver of plant risk. Another finding was that while there were relatively wide variations in the calculated human error probabilities for similar events across plants, there was no evidence for any systematic variation as a function of the HRA methods used in the analyses. Much of the variability in HEP values can be explained by differences in plant characteristics and sequence-specific factors. Details of these results and other findings are discussed.

  2. Shallow degassing events as a trigger for very-long-period seismicity at Kīlauea Volcano, Hawai‘i

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Patrick, Matthew; Wilson, David; Fee, David; Orr, Tim R.; Swanson, Donald A.

    2011-01-01

    The first eruptive activity at Kīlauea Volcano’s summit in 25 years began in March 2008 with the opening of a 35-m-wide vent in Halema‘uma‘u crater. The new activity has produced prominent very-long-period (VLP) signals corresponding with two new behaviors: episodic tremor bursts and small explosive events, both of which represent degassing events from the top of the lava column. Previous work has shown that VLP seismicity has long been present at Kīlauea’s summit, and is sourced approximately 1 km below Halema‘uma‘u. By integrating video observations, infrasound and seismic data, we show that the onset of the large VLP signals occurs within several seconds of the onset of the degassing events. This timing indicates that the VLP is caused by forces—sourced at or very near the lava free surface due to degassing—transmitted down the magma column and coupling to the surrounding rock at 1 km depth.

  3. Large geomagnetic storms of extreme solar event periods in solar cycle 23

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wang, Ruiguang

    During extreme solar events such as big flares or/and energetic coronal mass ejections (CMEs) high energy particles are accelerated by the shocks formed in front of fast interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). The ICMEs (and their sheaths) also give rise to large geomagnetic storms which have significant effects on the Earth's environment and human life. Around 14 solar cosmic ray ground level enhancement (GLE) events in solar cycle 23 we examined the cosmic ray variation, solar wind speed, ions density, interplanetary magnetic field, and geomagnetic disturbance storm time index ( Dst). We found that all but one of GLEs are always followed by a geomagnetic storm with Dst ⩽ -50 nT within 1-5 days later. Most(10/14) geomagnetic storms have Dst index ⩽ -100 nT therefore generally belong to strong geomagnetic storms. This suggests that GLE event prediction of geomagnetic storms is 93% for moderate storms and 71% for large storms when geomagnetic storms preceded by GLEs. All Dst depressions are associated with cosmic ray decreases which occur nearly simultaneously with geomagnetic storms. We also investigated the interplanetary plasma features. Most geomagnetic storm correspond significant periods of southward Bz and in close to 80% of the cases that the Bz was first northward then turning southward after storm sudden commencement (SSC). Plasma flow speed, ion number density and interplanetary plasma temperature near 1 AU also have a peak at interplanetary shock arrival. Solar cause and energetic particle signatures of large geomagnetic storms and a possible prediction scheme are discussed.

  4. Observing trends in total ozone and extreme ozone events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Balcerak, Ernie

    2014-05-01

    The ozone layer in the stratosphere has been recovering since the 1989 Montreal Protocol reduced the use of ozone-destroying chlorofluorocarbons. Fitzka et al. observed trends in total ozone levels and the vertical distribution of ozone at Hoher Sonnblick, a mountain in Austria, from 1994 to 2011.

  5. Observing and studying extreme low pressure events with altimetry.

    PubMed

    Carrère, Loren; Mertz, Françoise; Dorandeu, Joel; Quilfen, Yves; Patoux, Jerome

    2009-01-01

    The ability of altimetry to detect extreme low pressure events and the relationship between sea level pressure and sea level anomalies during extra-tropical depressions have been investigated. Specific altimeter treatments have been developed for tropical cyclones and applied to obtain a relevant along-track sea surface height (SSH) signal: the case of tropical cyclone Isabel is presented here. The S- and C-band measurements are used because they are less impacted by rain than the Ku-band, and new sea state bias (SSB) and wet troposphere corrections are proposed. More accurate strong altimeter wind speeds are computed thanks to the Young algorithm. Ocean signals not related to atmospheric pressure can be removed with accuracy, even within a Near Real Time context, by removing the maps of sea level anomaly (SLA) provided by SSALTO/Duacs. In the case of Extra-Tropical Depressions, the classical altimeter processing can be used. Ocean signal not related to atmospheric pressure is along-track filtered. The sea level pressure (SLP)-SLA relationship is investigated for the North Atlantic, North Pacific and Indian oceans; three regression models are proposed allowing restoring an altimeter SLP with a mean error of 5 hPa if compared to ECMWF or buoys SLP. The analysis of barotropic simulation outputs points out the regional variability of the SLP/Model Sea Level relationship and the wind effects. PMID:22573955

  6. Observing and Studying Extreme Low Pressure Events with Altimetry

    PubMed Central

    Carrère, Loren; Mertz, Françoise; Dorandeu, Joel; Quilfen, Yves; Patoux, Jerome

    2009-01-01

    The ability of altimetry to detect extreme low pressure events and the relationship between sea level pressure and sea level anomalies during extra-tropical depressions have been investigated. Specific altimeter treatments have been developed for tropical cyclones and applied to obtain a relevant along-track sea surface height (SSH) signal: the case of tropical cyclone Isabel is presented here. The S- and C-band measurements are used because they are less impacted by rain than the Ku-band, and new sea state bias (SSB) and wet troposphere corrections are proposed. More accurate strong altimeter wind speeds are computed thanks to the Young algorithm. Ocean signals not related to atmospheric pressure can be removed with accuracy, even within a Near Real Time context, by removing the maps of sea level anomaly (SLA) provided by SSALTO/Duacs. In the case of Extra-Tropical Depressions, the classical altimeter processing can be used. Ocean signal not related to atmospheric pressure is along-track filtered. The sea level pressure (SLP)-SLA relationship is investigated for the North Atlantic, North Pacific and Indian oceans; three regression models are proposed allowing restoring an altimeter SLP with a mean error of 5 hPa if compared to ECMWF or buoys SLP. The analysis of barotropic simulation outputs points out the regional variability of the SLP/Model Sea Level relationship and the wind effects. PMID:22573955

  7. Coupling rainfall observations and satellite soil moisture for predicting event soil loss in Central Italy

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Todisco, Francesca; Brocca, Luca; Termite, Loris Francesco; Wagner, Wolfgang

    2015-04-01

    always the lowest; the accuracy in estimating the event soil loss of a models with erosivity factor that includes the estimated runoff is always overcome by at least one model that uses the antecedent soil moisture θ in the erosivity index; the power models generally, at Masse, work better than the linear. The more accurate models are that with the estimated antecedent soil moisture, θest, when all the database is used and with the satellite retrieved soil moisture, θsat, when only the wet periods' events are considered. In fact it was also verified that much of the inaccuracy of the tested models is due to summer rainfall events, probably because of the particular characteristics that the soil assumes in the dry period (superficial crusts causing higher runoff): in this cases, high soil losses are observed in association to low values of soil moisture, while the simulated runoff assume low values too, since they are based on the antecedent wetness conditions. Thus, the analyses were repeated excluding the summer events. As expected, the performance of all the models increases, but still the use of θ provides the best results. The results of the analysis open interesting scenarios in the use of USLE-derived models for the unit event soil loss estimation at large scale. In particular the use of the soil moisture to correct the rainfall erosivity factor acquires a great practical importance, since it is a relatively simple measurable data and moreover because remote sensing soil moisture data are widely available and useful in large-scale erosion assessment. Bagarello, V., Di Piazza, G. V., Ferro, V., Giordano, G., 2008. Predicting unit soil loss in Sicily, south Italy. Hydrol. Process. 22, 586-595. Bagarello, V., Ferro, V., Giordano, G., Mannocchi, F., Todisco, F., Vergni, L., 2013. Predicting event soil loss form bare plots at two Italian sites. Catena 109, 96-102. Brocca, L., Melone, F., Moramarco, T., 2011. Distributed rainfall-runoff modeling for flood frequency

  8. ULF Oscillations in Magma in the Period of seismic Event Preparation

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kopytenko, Yu. A.; Nikitina, L. V.

    2003-04-01

    ULF OSCILLATIONS IN MAGMA IN THE PERIOD OF SEISMIC EVENT PREPARATION Yu.A.Kopytenko, L.V.Nikitina SPbF IZMIRAN, Muchnoi per.2, p/b 188, St-Petersburg, Russia, 191023 lida@mail.spbnit.ru Magma movements in volcanic center are activated in the period of the seismic event preparation. Hydrodynamic processes in the moving magma can lead to appearance of waves and vortices in the flow. In this work different sources of ULF pulsations in magma are considered. The electromagnetic emission induced by ULF pulsations in magma is estimated. An initial source of magma is at the depth about 100km. When volcano activity increases magma moves upward to the Earth surface by volcano channels, filling intermediate volcano reservoirs. Magma is a two-phase liquid (liquid with gas). If volcanic activity increases some bubbles of gas in magma are floating up to its surface. Bubbles of gas disturb the magma surface and support the oscillations on this surface. The magnetic fields induced by this oscillations are about 0.01-0.1 nT if we assume that a conductivity of hot magma is about 0.01 Sm/m. The second cause of the ULF movements in magma is connected with vortex structures that appear in magma flow under the action of Coriolys force. Corresponding quasiconstant magnetic fields are about 0.2nT. The describing mechanism allows to explain some features of electromagnetic emissions in the period of the Earthquake preparation: the increase of the electromagnetic emission about 1.5-2 months before the earthquake and a sharp decrease of emission about 1.5 - 2 days before the earthquake. It's considered a spreading of the variable electromagnetic fields from the source to the Earth surface. It's shown that at the distance about 100 km from the source the magnetic field decreases to 0.05-0.1 nT. Gradient of the magnetic field is about 1-5pT/km that is in accordance with the measured data.

  9. Use of Earth Observation in Support of Major Sport Events: The Post Games Assessment of the Sporting Events of the Olympic Games 2004

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Asimakopoulos, D.; Cartalis, C.; Petrakis, M.; Adaktylou, N.; Stathopoulou, M.; Chrysoulakis, N.

    2013-01-01

    Major sport events may result in the modification of the urban environment, or may be used as a tool for urban planning and/or urban regeneration projects. To this end, the main objective of the DRAGON-2 Project 5295 was to support the planning needs of major sport events with the use of Earth Observation (EO). The project also focused on the post games assessment of sporting events, with application to the Olympic Games (OG) of 2004 and 2008. More specifically, the research that was contacted in the project’s lifecycle was to examine how a major sporting event affected the urban fabric and the urban environmental quality in both Athens and Beijing. A wide number of thematic areas such as land use and cover, urban microclimate, urban green and air quality were examined and specific indicators for each thematic area were evaluated. Special emphasis was given on the description of thermal comfort, as well as on the changes in the quality of life in the host cities prior and following to the organization of the sporting events. A synopsis of the research results of the period 2008 - 2011 is given in this study along with an assessment of the potential of EO to actually support sport events.

  10. Brightening event seen in observations of Jupiter's extended sodium nebula

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Yoneda, M.; Kagitani, M.; Tsuchiya, F.; Sakanoi, T.; Okano, S.

    2015-11-01

    Jupiter's sodium nebula, which originates from Io's volcanic gas, shows variations in its brightness due to the volcanic activity on Io. Imaging observation of D-line brightness in the sodium nebula was performed from 2013 through 2015 in a conjunction with the HISAKI mission. The D-line brightness of the sodium nebula had been stably faint and dim until January 2015, but it showed a distinct enhancement from February through March, 2015. The brightness increased by three times during this enhancement. Details in variations of Jupiter's sodium nebula are shown in this paper.

  11. Modulation of Young Injection Events at Saturn at the Rotation Period of Perturbations in the Winter Hemisphere: A Proposed Mechanism

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kivelson, M.; Jia, X.

    2014-12-01

    Non-dispersive or "young" plasma injection events observed near midnight at Saturn are modulated at the period associated with the winter hemisphere [Kennelly et al., 2013]. Most other periodic dynamics of the magnetosphere are dominated by responses at the period of the summer hemisphere. The anomalous periodicity of plasma injection has not been explained. We present a theoretical explanation of ionospheric control, noting (as do Kennelly et al.) that the growth rate of the interchange instability is controlled by ionospheric conductance although the instability condition does not involve the ionosphere [Southwood and Kivelson, 1989]. The motion of the foot of a flux tube through the ionosphere is impeded by high conductance (line tying). Low conductance allows slippage and rapid growth of the instability. When the ionospheres have very different conductances, flux tube motion may be asymmetrical, with rapid displacement occurring only in the low conductance, winter hemisphere. A rotationally modulated low conductivity in that hemisphere would impose periodicity on injections. Pre-equinox (2009) at Saturn, the northern hemisphere conductance was low but probably varied with rotation phase because of the pattern of field-aligned currents (FACs) thought to rotate about the pole at the northern period, TN[Jia and Kivelson, 2012]. The upward current region in the ionosphere was probably more highly ionized than the downward current region because of electron precipitation. Two predictions follow. (1) The probability of an injection event in the midnight sector should maximize when the downward FAC in the winter hemisphere (conductivity minimum) has rotated into the midnight sector and (2) in northern winter, the tilt of the interchanging flux tube should produce positive radial field perturbations at and above the equator for inward-moving flux tubes and negative radial field perturbations for outward-moving flux tubes. Tests of these predictions will be reported

  12. OMI Tropospheric NO2 from Lightning in Observed Convective Events

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Pickering, Kenneth; Bucsela, Eric; Kucsera, Tom; Pan, Laura; Davis, Chris; Gleason, James; Levelt, Pieternel

    2007-01-01

    Lightning is responsible for an estimated 15 percent of total NO emissions, and is one of the most prominent sources in the upper troposphere. In this study, we present evidence of lightning-generated NO2 (LNO2) using data from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), which has observed tropospheric NO2 since its launch in 2004. Although LNO2 has been also reported in previous satellite studies from the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME) and SCIAMACHY, OMI is better suited for such measurements by virtue of its higher spatial resolution and daily global coverage. We will present data clearly showing the LNO2 signal in the OMI tropospheric NO2 product on two days over and downwind of specific convective systems in the US Midwest. Gridded monthly mean tropospheric NO 2 data are subtracted from the daily gridded data to obtain the presumed LNO2 signal. Observed cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning flashes from the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) were counted along middle and upper tropospheric back trajectories that were run from the regions containing the LNO2 signal. A vertically-weighted average number of upwind CG flashes was obtained using a profile of LNO(x) mass obtained from a series of midlatitude cloud-resolved storm chemistry simulations. The number of CG flashes was scaled up to total flashes (intracloud (IC) flashes plus CG) using a climatological IC/CG ratio. The number of moles of LNO(x) in the region considered was estimated by assuming that LNO2 is 30 percent of LNO(x). This value was divided by the number of upwind flashes to obtain an average estimate of the number of moles produced per flash. Results yield values in the range obtained through other estimation techniques (e.g., aircraft measurements, models). We will also present a similar analysis over northern Australia during the SCOUT-O3/ACTIVE field campaigns in November and December 2005, in which we will compare the OMI LNOx signals with aircraft observations from the storm anvils.

  13. Freja observations of multiple injection events in cusp

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Norberg, O.; Yamauchi, M.; Eliasson, L.; Lundin, R.

    The TICS (Three-dimensional Ion Composition Spectrometer) instrument on board the Freja satellite provides particle data with high spatial, temporal, spectral, and mass resolution. The Freja orbit (inclination 63°) is suitable for studies of the cusp since the satellite traverses this region longitudinally when the cusp is located lower than 75° geomagnetic latitude, i.e. when the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) points southward. The satellite traverses the dayside polar region during two weeks every 100 days due to orbit precession, and nearly 50 cusp traversals were recorded during the first year of operation. Both multiple injections and single injections are clearly identified and distinguished, the former being more frequently observed than the latter. Freja has also resolved overlapping injections (special cases of multiple injections), for the first time at low altitudes.

  14. Shock Connectivity in the August 2010 and July 2012 Solar Energetic Particle Events Inferred from Observations and ENLIL Modeling

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Bain, H. M.; Mays, M. L.; Luhmann, J. G.; Li, Y.; Jian, L. K.; Odstrcil, D.

    2016-07-01

    During periods of increased solar activity, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can occur in close succession and proximity to one another. This can lead to the interaction and merger of CME ejecta as they propagate in the heliosphere. The particles accelerated in these shocks can result in complex solar energetic particle (SEP) events, as observing spacecraft form both remote and local shock connections. It can be challenging to understand these complex SEP events from in situ profiles alone. Multipoint observations of CMEs in the near-Sun environment, from the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory–Sun Earth Connection Coronal and Heliospheric Investigation and the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph, greatly improve our chances of identifying the origin of these accelerated particles. However, contextual information on conditions in the heliosphere, including the background solar wind conditions and shock structures, is essential for understanding SEP properties well enough to forecast their characteristics. Wang–Sheeley–Arge WSA-ENLIL + Cone modeling provides a tool to interpret major SEP event periods in the context of a realistic heliospheric model and to determine how much of what is observed in large SEP events depends on nonlocal magnetic connections to shock sources. We discuss observations of the SEP-rich periods of 2010 August and 2012 July in conjunction with ENLIL modeling. We find that much SEP activity can only be understood in the light of such models, and in particular from knowing about both remote and local shock source connections. These results must be folded into the investigations of the physics underlying the longitudinal extent of SEP events, and the source connection versus diffusion pictures of interpretations of SEP events.

  15. Observations of planetary waves in the mesosphere-lower thermosphere during stratospheric warming events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Stray, N. H.; Orsolini, Y. J.; Espy, P. J.; Limpasuvan, V.; Hibbins, R. E.

    2015-05-01

    This study investigates the effect of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on planetary wave (PW) activity in the mesosphere-lower thermosphere (MLT). PW activity near 95 km is derived from meteor wind data using a chain of eight SuperDARN radars at high northern latitudes that span longitudes from 150° W to 25° E and latitudes from 51 to 66° N. Zonal wave number 1 and 2 components were extracted from the meridional wind for the years 2000-2008. The observed wintertime PW activity shows common features associated with the stratospheric wind reversals and the accompanying stratospheric warming events. Onset dates for seven SSW events accompanied by an elevated stratopause (ES) were identified during this time period using the Specified Dynamics Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (SD-WACCM). For the seven events, a significant enhancement in wave number 1 and 2 PW amplitudes near 95 km was found to occur after the wind reversed at 50 km, with amplitudes maximizing approximately 5 days after the onset of the wind reversal. This PW enhancement in the MLT after the event was confirmed using SD-WACCM. When all cases of polar cap wind reversals at 50 km were considered, a significant, albeit moderate, correlation of 0.4 was found between PW amplitudes near 95 km and westward polar-cap stratospheric winds at 50 km, with the maximum correlation occurring ∼ 3 days after the maximum westward wind. These results indicate that the enhancement of PW amplitudes near 95 km is a common feature of SSWs irrespective of the strength of the wind reversal.

  16. An ionospheric travelling convection vortex event observed by ground-based magnetometers and by VIKING

    SciTech Connect

    Vogelsang, H.; Voelker, H. ); Luehr, H. ); Woch, J. ); Boesinger, T. ); Potemra, T.A. ); Lindqvist, P.A. )

    1993-11-05

    This paper reports the ground based observation of an ionospheric travelling convection vortex event, which was observed in coincidence with observation of the VIKING spacecraft passing through closed field lines which map to this region. The spacecraft saw electric and magnetic signatures which were consistent with it having passed through field aligned current tubes, oppositely directed. This is the first such simultaneous observation and supports the theoretical models which relate such ionospheric travelling convection vortex events to field aligned currents.

  17. Fortuitous Plasma Observations During the Mars Atmospheric "Plume" Event of March-April 2012

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Andrews, David; Barabash, Stas; Edberg, Niklas; Gurnett, Donald; Hall, Ben; Holmström, Mats; Lester, Mark; Opgenoorth, Hermann; Ramstad, Robin; Sanchez-Cano, Beatriz; Way, Michael; Witasse, Olivier; Morgan, David

    2016-04-01

    We present initial analysis and conclusions from plasma observations made during the reported `Mars Dust plume event' of March - April 2012.During this period, multiple independent amateur observers detected a localized, high-altitude feature over the Martian terminator [Sanchez-Lavega et al., Nature, 2015, doi:10.1038/nature14162], the explanation for which remains incomplete. The brightness of the feature in visible light is too extreme for auroral emissions to explain, despite its occurrence at a location where these have been previously reported. Likewise, the (projected) altitude of the feature is significantly too high to allow for the local formation of clouds. Fortuitously, the orbit of ESA's Mars Express allowed the measurement of ionospheric plasma density and solar wind parameters over the precise location of the plume sighting at multiple points during this interval. Based on these observations, we tentatively conclude that the formation and/or transport of this plume to the altitudes where it was observed was in part the result of a large Coronal Mass Ejection encountering the Martian system. However, while measurements of ionospheric plasma density at the corresponding altitudes indicate a disturbed structure, this is not a-typical of this location over Mars. Finally, we briefly discuss some possible mechanisms that may lead to the formation of this plume.

  18. The excitation and characteristic frequency of the long-period volcanic event: An approach based on an inhomogeneous autoregressive model of a linear dynamic system

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Nakano, M.; Kumagai, H.; Kumazawa, M.; Yamaoka, K.; Chouet, B.A.

    1998-01-01

    We present a method to quantify the source excitation function and characteristic frequencies of long-period volcanic events. The method is based on an inhomogeneous autoregressive (AR) model of a linear dynamic system, in which the excitation is assumed to be a time-localized function applied at the beginning of the event. The tail of an exponentially decaying harmonic waveform is used to determine the characteristic complex frequencies of the event by the Sompi method. The excitation function is then derived by operating an AR filter constructed from the characteristic frequencies to the entire seismogram of the event, including the inhomogeneous part of the signal. We apply this method to three long-period events at Kusatsu-Shirane Volcano, central Japan, whose waveforms display simple decaying monochromatic oscillations except for the beginning of the events. We recover time-localized excitation functions lasting roughly 1 s at the start of each event and find that the estimated functions are very similar to each other at all the stations of the seismic network for each event. The phases of the characteristic oscillations referred to the estimated excitation function fall within a narrow range for almost all the stations. These results strongly suggest that the excitation and mode of oscillation are both dominated by volumetric change components. Each excitation function starts with a pronounced dilatation consistent with a sudden deflation of the volumetric source which may be interpreted in terms of a choked-flow transport mechanism. The frequency and Q of the characteristic oscillation both display a temporal evolution from event to event. Assuming a crack filled with bubbly water as seismic source for these events, we apply the Van Wijngaarden-Papanicolaou model to estimate the acoustic properties of the bubbly liquid and find that the observed changes in the frequencies and Q are consistently explained by a temporal change in the radii of the bubbles

  19. Mix of methods is needed to identify adverse events in general practice: A prospective observational study

    PubMed Central

    Wetzels, Raymond; Wolters, René; van Weel, Chris; Wensing, Michel

    2008-01-01

    Background The validity and usefulness of incident reporting and other methods for identifying adverse events remains unclear. This study aimed to compare five methods in general practice. Methods In a prospective observational study, with five general practitioners, five methods were applied and compared. The five methods were physician reported adverse events, pharmacist reported adverse events, patients' experiences of adverse events, assessment of a random sample of medical records, and assessment of all deceased patients. Results A total of 68 events were identified using these methods. The patient survey accounted for the highest number of events and the pharmacist reports for the lowest number. No overlap between the methods was detected. The patient survey accounted for the highest number of events and the pharmacist reports for the lowest number. Conclusion A mix of methods is needed to identify adverse events in general practice. PMID:18554418

  20. Coupling rainfall observations and satellite soil moisture for predicting event soil loss in Central Italy

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Todisco, Francesca; Brocca, Luca; Termite, Loris Francesco; Wagner, Wolfgang

    2015-04-01

    The accuracy of water soil loss prediction depends on the ability of the model to account for effects of the physical phenomena causing the output and the accuracy by which the parameters have been determined. The process based models require considerable effort to obtain appropriate parameter values and their failure to produce better results than achieved using the USLE/RUSLE model, encourages the use of the USLE/RUSLE model in roles of which it was not designed. In particular it is widely used in watershed models even at the event temporal scale. At hillslope scale, spatial variability in soil and vegetation result in spatial variations in soil moisture and consequently in runoff within the area for which soil loss estimation is required, so the modeling approach required to produce those estimates needs to be sensitive to those spatial variations in runoff. Some models include explicit consideration of runoff in determining the erosive stresses but this increases the uncertainty of the prediction due to the difficulty in parameterising the models also because the direct measures of surface runoff are rare. The same remarks are effective also for the USLE/RUSLE models including direct consideration of runoff in the erosivity factor (i.e. USLE-M by Kinnell and Risse, 1998, and USLE-MM by Bagarello et al., 2008). Moreover actually most of the rainfall-runoff models are based on the knowledge of the pre-event soil moisture that is a fundamental variable in the rainfall-runoff transformation. In addiction soil moisture is a readily available datum being possible to have easily direct pre-event measures of soil moisture using in situ sensors or satellite observations at larger spatial scale; it is also possible to derive the antecedent water content with soil moisture simulation models. The attempt made in the study is to use the pre-event soil moisture to account for the spatial variation in runoff within the area for which the soil loss estimates are required. More

  1. The FU Orionis Outburst as a Thermal Disk Accretion Event: Detailed Calculations and Comparison to Observations

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Bell, K. R.

    1994-01-01

    FU Orionis outbursts are temporary large increases in luminosity: x(40-250) thought to occur repeatedly in all low mass young stellar systems. We discuss detailed calculations of viscous accretion disks suggesting that FU Ori events signify the existence of a protostellar disk transporting mass at a rate of (1-10) x 10(exp -6) Solar Mass/yr, in agreement with theoretical and observational estimates of molecular cloud core collapse rates. Accretion through the inner edge of disks subject to outburst is self-regulated through the thermal ionization instability such that long periods (approximately 1000 yrs) of low mass flux: (1-10) x 10(exp -8) Solar Mass/yr, are punctuated by short periods (approximately 100 yrs) of high mass flux: (1-10) x 10(exp -5) Solar Mass/yr. The unstable region of the disk extends radially only to a distance of approximately 1/4 AU. Beyond this region matter is transported stably at the infall rate. In systems for which M = 1 Solar Mass, with an inner disk edge of 3 Solar Radius, the critical rate for outbursts is 5 x 10(exp -7) Solar Mass/yr independent of the magnitude of the viscous alpha parameter consistent with estimates of boundary layer mass flux in T Tauri stars. We use timescales of observed outbursts to constrain the magnitude of the alpha parameter to be 10(exp -4) where hydrogen is neutral and 10(exp -3) where ionized. Light curves of V1515 Cyg, FU Ori, and V1057 Cyg are reproduced; the latter two require application of a small perturbation in surface density to produce observed rapid rise times. Detailed reply is made to objections to the accretion disk model for outbursts. Comparison to observations are made of time dependent spectral energy distributions, colors, and line-width velocity evolution.

  2. The FU Orionis Outburst as a Thermal Disk Accretion Event: Detailed Calculations and Comparison to Observations

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Bell, K. R.; Cuzzi, Jeff (Technical Monitor)

    1994-01-01

    FU Orionis outbursts are temporary large increases in luminosity: x (40 - 250) thought to occur repeatedly in all low mass young stellar systems. We discuss detailed calculations of viscous accretion disks suggesting that FU Ori events signify the existence of a protostellar disk transporting mass at a rate of (1 - 10) x 10(exp 6) solar mass / yr, in agreement with theoretical and observational estimates of molecular cloud core collapse rates. Accretion through the inner edge of disks subject to outburst is self-regulated through the thermal ionization instability such that long periods (approx. 1000 yrs) of low mass flux: (1 - 10) x 10(exp -5) solar mass / yr, are punctuated by short periods (approx. 100 yrs) of high mass flux: (1-10) x 10(exp -5) solar mass / yr. The unstable region of the disk extends radially only to a distance of approx. = 1/4 AU. Beyond this region matter is transported stably at the infall rate. In systems for which M(sum *) = 1 solar mass with an inner disk edge of 3 solar radius, the critical rate for outbursts is 5 x 10(exp -7) solar mass / yr independent of the magnitude of the viscous ce parameter consistent with estimates of boundary layer mass flux in T Tauri stars. We use timescales of observed outbursts to constrain the magnitude of the alpha parameter to be 10(exp -4) where hydrogen is neutral and 10(exp -3) where ionized. Light curves of V1515 Cyg, FU Ori, and V1057 Cya are reproduced; the latter two require application of a small perturbation in surface density to produce observed rapid rise times. Detailed reply is made to objections to the accretion disk model for outbursts. Comparison to observations are made of time dependent spectral energy distributions, colors, and line-width velocity evolution.

  3. Adaptive periodic event-triggered consensus for multi-agent systems subject to input saturation

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Yin, Xiuxia; Yue, Dong; Hu, Songlin

    2016-04-01

    This paper investigates the distributed adaptive event-triggered consensus control for a class of nonlinear agents. Each agent is subject to input saturation. Two kinds of distributed event-triggered control scheme are introduced, one is continuous-time-based event-triggered scheme and the other is sampled-data-based event-triggered scheme. Compared with the traditional event-triggered schemes in the existing literatures, the parameters of the event-triggered schemes in this paper are adaptively adjusted by using some event-error-dependent adaptive laws. The problem of simultaneously deriving the controller gain matrix and the event-triggering parameter matrix, and tackling the saturation nonlinearity is cast into standard linear matrix inequalities problem. A convincing simulation example is given to demonstrate the theoretical results.

  4. Damaging events along roads during bad weather periods: a case study in Calabria (Italy)

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Petrucci, O.; Pasqua, A. A.

    2012-02-01

    The study focuses on circumstances that affect people during periods of bad weather conditions characterised by winds, rainfall, landslides, flooding, and storm surges. A methodological approach and its application to a study area in southern Italy are presented here. A 10-yr database was generated by mining data from a newspaper. Damaging agents were sorted into five types: flood, urban flooding, landslide, wind, and storm surge. Damage to people occurred in 126 cases, causing 13 victims, 129 injured and about 782 people involved but not injured. For cases of floods, urban flooding and landslides, the analysis does not highlight straightforward relationships between rainfall and damage to people, even if the events showed different features according to the months of occurrence. The events occurring between May and October were characterised by concentrated and intense rainfall, and between May and July, the highest values of hourly (103 mm on the average) and monthly rainfall (114 mm on the average) were recorded. Urban flooding and flash floods were the most common damaging agents: injured, involved people and more rarely, cases with victims were reported. Between November and April, the highest number of events was recorded. Rainfall presented longer durations and hourly and sub-hourly rainfall were lower than those recorded between May and October. Landslides were the most frequent damaging agents but the highest number of cases with victims, which occurred between November and January, were mainly related to floods and urban flooding. Motorists represent the totality of the victims; 84% of the people were injured and the whole of people involved. All victims were men, and the average age was 43 yr. The primary cause of death was drowning caused by floods, and the second was trauma suffered in car accidents caused by urban flooding. The high number of motorists rescued in submerged cars reveals an underestimation of danger in the case of floods, often

  5. The results of the 2015 campaign of observation of mutual events of the Jovian satellites

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Arlot, J. E.; Saquet, E.; Emelianov, N.

    2015-10-01

    From September 2014 to June 2015 mutual events of the Galilean satellites occurred around the Jovian equinox occurring on February 6, 2015. The observations of these events provide very accurate information on the relative astrometry of the satellites. Previous campaign of observations have shown the high interest of such observations now performed mainly by amateur astronomers: the Galilean satellites are bright and the magnitude drop during these events is easily observable. The 2014- 2015 campaign is especially favorable because of the maximum of events which will occur during the opposition between the Sun and Jupiter. More, eclipses of Thebe and Amalthea by the Galileans have been observed. Note that the positive declination of Jupiter made the observations easier in the Northern hemisphere where, unfortunately, the meteorological conditions were bad.

  6. Analysis of Suprathermal Events Observed by STEREO/PLASTIC with a Focus on Upstream/Magnetospheric Events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Barry, J. A.; Galvin, A. B.; Popecki, M.; Ellis, L.; Klecker, B.; Lee, M. A.; Kucharek, H.

    2010-05-01

    The topic of suprathermal and energetic ion events upstream of the Earth's bow shock has been a topic of investigation since the late 1960's. Over the past 50 years these events have been characterized as having energies ranging from just above the solar wind energies on up to 2MeV, time spans of minutes to hours, and particle distribution functions ranging from field aligned to isotropic. The possible sources of these ions include magnetospheric ions and solar wind ions accelerated between the Earth's bow shock and low-frequency large amplitude waves in the ion foreshock. Also, energetic ions from other heliospheric processes (such as Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events or Corotating Interaction Regions (CIRs)) can be further accelerated at the Earth's bow shock. Utilizing the particularly quiet solar minimum and the unique orbit of STEREO-A (STA), drifting ahead of the Earth in its heliocentric orbit, we are able to examine field-aligned upstream/magnetospheric energetic ion events in the unexamined region far upstream of the Earth's ion foreshock. Using both the PLASTIC and IMPACT instruments on board STA we have examined protons throughout 2007 in the energy range of 4keV up to 80keV. We find that the occurrence of automatically defined suprathermal events falls off with increasing STA-Earth separation. More importantly, it is shown through a crude approximation of the magnetic field via the Parker spiral that after a STA-Earth separation of about 3000Re it is unlikely that the Earth and STA will be magnetically connected. This corresponds well with the observed cutoff of the occurrence of suprathermal events with field-aligned anisotropies. The detection of upstream/magnetospheric events at these large distances from the Earth's bow shock indicates that the ions propagate relatively scatter free beyond the ion foreshock.

  7. Shallow degassing events as a trigger for very-long-period seismicity at Kilauea Volcano, Hawai`i

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Patrick, M. R.; Wilson, D.; Fee, D.; Orr, T. R.; Swanson, D.

    2009-12-01

    The ongoing eruptive activity at the summit of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai`i, provides numerous opportunities for integrated data analysis due to dense geophysical monitoring combined with ease of viewing vent behavior. We focus on two behaviors not present during the preceding non-eruptive period. First, episodic seismic tremor, consisting of high-amplitude bursts lasting a few minutes and separated by seismically quiet intervals of similar duration, has appeared sporadically. Second, the eruptive activity has included seven small explosive eruptions in addition to the initial March 19, 2008, vent-opening explosion. Associated with many of the episodic tremor bursts and all of the explosive eruptions are very-long-period (VLP) seismic signals, and previous studies have shown the VLP source location to be at a depth of about 1 km beneath the central part of Kilauea caldera. By comparing precisely-timed video data with broadband seismicity and infrasound, we show that the largest amplitude portions of the VLP events coincide in time with apparent peak degassing from the top of the lava column during both the episodic tremor bursts and explosive eruptions. Because the top of the lava column is only a few hundred meters below local ground level, this timing suggests that the VLP events are caused by degassing-related energy transmitted down the magma column, which then couples with the surrounding rock at a depth of 1 km. This “top-down” model for the VLPs runs counter to previous analogue models which support a “bottom-up” process for VLPs at basaltic volcanoes, whereby gas slugs rise through a deep flare in the conduit, triggering VLPs at that location. Our work, which focuses on the geologic observations and their integration with geophysical data, is consistent with - and complements - recent seismic modeling of Kilauea’s VLPs by other researchers.

  8. Plasma observations during the Mars atmospheric "plume" event of March-April 2012

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Andrews, D. J.; Barabash, S.; Edberg, N. J. T.; Gurnett, D. A.; Hall, B. E. S.; Holmström, M.; Lester, M.; Morgan, D. D.; Opgenoorth, H. J.; Ramstad, R.; Sanchez-Cano, B.; Way, M.; Witasse, O.

    2016-04-01

    We present initial analyses and conclusions from plasma observations made during the reported "Mars plume event" of March-April 2012. During this period, multiple independent amateur observers detected a localized, high-altitude "plume" over the Martian dawn terminator, the cause of which remains to be explained. The estimated brightness of the plume exceeds that expected for auroral emissions, and its projected altitude greatly exceeds that at which clouds are expected to form. We report on in situ measurements of ionospheric plasma density and solar wind parameters throughout this interval made by Mars Express, obtained over the same surface region but at the opposing terminator. Measurements in the ionosphere at the corresponding location frequently show a disturbed structure, though this is not atypical for such regions with intense crustal magnetic fields. We tentatively conclude that the formation and/or transport of this plume to the altitudes where it was observed could be due in part to the result of a large interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) encountering the Martian system. Interestingly, we note that the only similar plume detection in May 1997 may also have been associated with a large ICME impact at Mars.

  9. Modeling Pluto-Charon Mutual Events. 2; CCD Observations with the 60 in. Telescope at Palomar Mountain

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Buratti, B. J.; Dunbar, R. S.; Tedesco, E. F.; Gibson, J.; Marcialis, R. L.; Wong, F.; Bennett, S.; Dobrovolskis, A.

    1995-01-01

    We present observations of 15 Pluto-Charon mutual events which were obtained with the 60 in. telescope at Palomar Mountain Observatory. A CCD camera and Johnson V filter were used for the observations, except for one event that was observed with a Johnson B filter, and another event that was observed with a Gunn R filter. We observed two events in their entirety, and three pairs of complementary mutual occultation-transit events.

  10. Observational signatures of the influence of the interplanetary shocks on the associated low-energy particle events

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Heras, A. M.; Sanahuja, B.; Sanderson, T. R.; Marsden, R. G.; Wenzel, K.-P.

    1994-01-01

    We have analyzed the temporal evolution of the upstream particle fluxes and anisotropies in a set of particle events associated with interplanetary shocks, detected by International Sun-Earth Explorer (ISEE) 3 during the period 1978-1980 in the 147-238 and 620-1000 keV energy ranges. In particular, we have studied those features that can perhaps be used as signatures of the history of the influence of the shock on the particle event. We have paid special attention to the evolution of the flux anisotropy that can carry relevant information on the contribution of shock accelerated particles to the total observed flux. Our analysis shows that during most events, long-lasting (between 5 and 36 hours) large anisotropies are observed upstream of the shock, supporting the hypothesis of continuous injection of shock accelerated paricles in the interplanetary medium while the shock is propagating outward from the Sun. The evolution of the anisotropy throughout each event shows a dependence on the longitude of the parent solar source. We have interpreted the observations considering that shock accelerated particles contribute significantly to the total observed flux from the time when the shock intersects the magnetic field line that connects with the observer. The heliocentric distance of this initial intersection point has been derived from the flux anisotropy observations for each event. The values obtained show a distribution with respect to the longitude of the solar source that can be reproduced with a simple model, which assumes a spherical shock with an angular extension approximately equals 100 deg and an archimedian spiral structure for the interplanetary magnetic field. The results of this work provide a further insight into both the importance of shock acceleration, as well as the influence of the large-scale shock structure in low-energy particle events.

  11. MASTER follow up observation of IceCube 160731A event

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lipunov, V.; Gorbovskoy, E.; Tyurina, N.; Kornilov, V.; Balanutsa, P.; Kuznetsov, A.; Kuvshinov, D.; Gorbunov, I.; Tlatov, A.; Senik, V.; Parhomenko, A. V.; Dormidontov, D.; Buckley, D.; Potter, S.; Kniazev, A.; Kotze, M.; Rebolo, R.; Serra, M.; Lodieu, N.; Israelian, G.; Podesta, R.; Lopez, C.; Podest, F.; Levato, H.; Saffe, C.; Gres, O.; Ivanov, K.; Yazev, S.; Budnev, N.; Poleshchuk, V.; Yurkov, V.; Sergienko, Yu.; Gabovich, A.

    2016-08-01

    MASTER Global robotic Net (MASTER-Net: http://observ.pereplet.ru , Lipunov et al., Advances in Astronomy, 2010, 30L ) received IceCube HESE event IceCube-160731A (AMON ICECUBE HESE 128290 6888376) at 2016-07-31 01:55:34.5 UT (30s after the EHE_event_time).

  12. Unusual attenuation events in the VLF range observed by the DEMETER spacecraft

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Zahlava, Jan; Nemec, Frantisek; Parrot, Michel; Rodger, Craig J.; Santolik, Ondrej

    2015-04-01

    Results of a systematic study of unusual attenuation events observed by the DEMETER spacecraft in the VLF range are presented. In the frequency-time spectrograms of wave intensity, these attenuation events consist of several lines with significantly lower intensity. Detailed analysis of the events shows that they are formed by consecutive lightning generated whistlers. These whistlers are attenuated at some specific frequencies which vary continuously during the event, resulting in lines of lower intensity. We inspected all available DEMETER data for the presence of these attenuation events. Altogether, 1580 events have been identified. They occur exclusively during the nighttime. We compare the overall geographic distribution of the total event duration with the geographic distribution of the mean lightning occurrence. It is found that the event locations are closely related to the areas of enhanced lightning activity, but they are shifted by about 30 degrees westward. We present a simple model of a possible event formation based on a basic theory of wave propagation in the Earth-ionosphere waveguide. This model, however, does not explain the observed longitudinal shift. We believe that the shift is due to an azimuthal dependence of the wave attenuation in the Earth-ionosphere waveguide, which is not considered in the used simplified waveguide theory.

  13. Quasi-periodic pulsations with varying period in multi-wavelength observations of an X-class flare

    SciTech Connect

    Huang, Jing; Tan, Baolin; Zhang, Yin; Karlický, Marian; Mészárosová, Hana

    2014-08-10

    This work presents an interesting phenomenon of the period variation in quasi-periodic pulsations (QPPs) observed during the impulsive phase of a coronal mass ejection-related X1.1 class flare on 2012 July 6. The period of QPPs was changed from 21 s at soft X-rays (SXR) to 22-23 s at microwaves, to ∼24 s at extreme ultraviolet emissions (EUV), and to 27-32 s at metric-decimetric waves. The microwave, EUV, and SXR QPPs, emitted from flare loops of different heights, were oscillating in phase. Fast kink mode oscillations were proposed to be the modulation mechanism, which may exist in a wide region in the solar atmosphere from the chromosphere to the upper corona or even to the interplanetary space. Changed parameters of flare loops through the solar atmosphere could result in the varying period of QPPs at different wavelengths. The first appearing microwave QPPs and quasi-periodic metric-decimetric type III bursts were generated by energetic electrons. This may imply that particle acceleration or magnetic reconnection were located between these two non-thermal emission sources. Thermal QPPs (in SXR and EUV emissions) occurred later than the nonthermal ones, which would suggest a some time for plasma heating or energy dissipation in flare loops during burst processes. At the beginning of flare, a sudden collapse and expansion of two separated flare loop structures occurred simultaneously with the multi-wavelength QPPs. An implosion in the corona, including both collapse and expansion of flare loops, could be a trigger of loop oscillations in a very large region in the solar atmosphere.

  14. Response of a hydrothermal system to magmatic heat inferred from temporal variations in the complex frequencies of long-period events at Kusatsu-Shirane Volcano, Japan

    USGS Publications Warehouse

    Nakano, M.; Kumagai, H.

    2005-01-01

    We investigate temporal variations in the complex frequencies (frequency and quality factor Q) of long-period (LP) events that occurred at Kusatsu-Shirane Volcano, central Japan. We analyze LP waveforms observed at this volcano in the period between 1988 and 1995, which covers a seismically active period between 1989 and 1993. Systematic temporal variations in the complex frequencies are observed in October-November 1989, July-October 1991, and September 1992-January 1993. We use acoustic properties of a crack filled with hydrothermal fluids to interpret the observed temporal variations in the complex frequencies. The temporal variations in October-November 1989 can be divided into two periods, which are explained by a gradual decrease and increase of a gas-volume fraction in a water-steam mixture in a crack, respectively. The temporal variations in July-October 1991 can be also divided into two periods. These variations in the first and second periods are similar to those observed in November 1989 and in September-November 1992, respectively, and are interpreted as drying of a water-steam mixture and misty gas in a crack, respectively. The repeated nature of the temporal variations observed in similar seasons between July and November suggests the existence of seasonality in the occurrence of LP events. This may be caused by a seasonally variable meteoritic water supply to a hydrothermal system, which may have been heated by the flux of volcanic gases from magma beneath this volcano. ?? 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  15. Biofilm formation and sanitizer resistance of Escherichia coli 0157:H7 strains isolated from "High Event Period" meat contamination

    Technology Transfer Automated Retrieval System (TEKTRAN)

    In the meat industry, a “High Event Period” (HEP) is defined as a time period during which commercial meat plants experience a higher than usual rate of E. coli O157:H7 contamination. Genetic analysis indicated that within a HEP, most of the E. coli O157:H7 strains belong to a singular dominant str...

  16. Isotropic events observed with a borehole array in the Chelungpu fault zone, Taiwan.

    PubMed

    Ma, Kuo-Fong; Lin, Yen-Yu; Lee, Shiann-Jong; Mori, Jim; Brodsky, Emily E

    2012-07-27

    Shear failure is the dominant mode of earthquake-causing rock failure along faults. High fluid pressure can also potentially induce rock failure by opening cavities and cracks, but an active example of this process has not been directly observed in a fault zone. Using borehole array data collected along the low-stress Chelungpu fault zone, Taiwan, we observed several small seismic events (I-type events) in a fluid-rich permeable zone directly below the impermeable slip zone of the 1999 moment magnitude 7.6 Chi-Chi earthquake. Modeling of the events suggests an isotropic, nonshear source mechanism likely associated with natural hydraulic fractures. These seismic events may be associated with the formation of veins and other fluid features often observed in rocks surrounding fault zones and may be similar to artificially induced hydraulic fracturing. PMID:22837526

  17. Archive of observations of periodic comet Crommelin made during its 1983-84 apparition

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Sekanina, Z. (Editor); Aronsson, M.

    1985-01-01

    This is an archive of 680 reduced observations of Periodic Comet Crommelin made during its 1984 apparition. The archive integrates reports by members of the eight networks of the International Halley Watch (IHW) and presents the results of a trial run designed to test the preparedness of the IHW organization for the current apparition of Periodic Comet Halley.

  18. GUVI observations of the airglow response to solar flares: Results from the CAWSES campaign period

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wolven, B. C.; Paxton, L. J.; Morrison, D.

    2006-05-01

    GUVI limb and disk observations of oxygen and nitrogen airglow emissions show strong variability during solar events; both the intensity and the altitude of peak limb emission vary in response to the brightened and hardened solar spectrum. We present the observed response, and compare it to model predictions generated using a flare-type solar input spectrum. We examine the difference in atmospheric response to consecutive flare events, owing to the modification of thermospheric density and composition by the initial flare and subsequent geomagnetic disturbances.

  19. Elemental Abundance Variations Observed in Solar Energetic Particle Events During Solar Cycle 23

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    vonRosenvinge, T. T.; Cohen, C. M. S.; Cummings, A. C.; Leske, R. A.; Mewaldt, R. A.; Stone, E. C.; Widenbeck, M. E.

    2004-01-01

    We report on observations of the abundances of elements from Helium to Nickel in over 50 different solar energetic particle events using the Solar Isotope Spectrometer (SIS) on-board the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) spacecraft. It had originally been expected that the energy spectra of different elements would show spectral roll-overs at energies related to the Q/M ratio of each element. Due to the partial stripping of Fe and essentially complete stripping of O, it was expected that the Fe/O ratio would be observed to decrease with increasing energy. While many events show this pattern, others have Fe/O which is constant with energy, while for yet others Fe/O actually increases with energy. Events having constant Fe/O could simply have their spectral breaks outside of the observed energy range. However, events which show increasing Fe/O cannot be explained within the framework of spectral breaks. Possible explanations include injection of remnant heavy ions from earlier impulsive events, hybrid Events consisting of a combination of flare-accelerated and shock-accelerated particles from a single solar event, and some new physical process in shock acceleration. We will report on efforts to distinguish these possible explanations.

  20. Observations of a transient event in the subsolar magnetosheath during strongly northward IMF

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Dias Silveira, M. V.; Sibeck, D. G.; Gonzalez, W. D.; Koga, D.

    2013-12-01

    We present multipoint THEMIS observation of a transient event in the subsolar magnetosheath on July 10, 2007. The event exhibits some features of a flux transfer event, such as a bipolar variation in the magnetic field component normal to the nominal magnetopause centered on a peak in the total magnetic field strength. Four THEMIS spacecraft were in the magnetosheath and one in the magnetosphere. Timing analysis and the absence of flow perturbation suggest that the event is a small scale structure (~0.12 Re in the direction of the flow) moving with the background magnetosheath flow. Despite the inferred small size of the event, THC and THD both observed large amplitude (~40 nT) bipolar magnetic field signatures normal to the nominal magnetopause. Nearby spacecraft THE (only 0.2 Re further outward in the Xgsm direction) observed no significant magnetic field perturbation. Neither did THB or THA, located further away in the magnetosheath and magnetosphere, respectively. During the event, the IMF was strongly northward (approximately 20nT), which does not favor subsolar magnetic reconnection. Inside the structure, the magnetic field briefly rotates 90° away from northward to dawnward. Ions stream antiparallel to the magnetic field in the magnetosheath, parallel to the magnetic field in the event.

  1. The streaming of 1.3 - 2.3 MeV cosmic-ray protons during periods between prompt solar particle events. Ph.D. Thesis

    NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS)

    Marshall, F. E.

    1977-01-01

    The anisotropy of 1.3 to 2.3 MeV protons in interplanetary space was measured using the Caltech electron/isotope spectrometer aboard IMP-7 for 317 6 hour periods from 72/273 to 74/2. Periods dominated by prompt solar particle events are not included. The convective and diffusive anisotropies were determined from the observed anisotropy using concurrent solar wind speed measurements and observed energy spectra. The diffusive flow of particles was found to be typically toward the sun, indicating a positive radial gradient in the particle density. This anisotropy was inconsistent with previously proposed sources of low energy proton increases seen at 1 AU which involve continual solar acceleration. The typical properties of this new component of low-energy cosmic rays were determined for this period which is near solar minimum.

  2. Oscillation Responses to an Extreme Weather Event from a Deep Moored Observing System

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Wang, Z.; Dimarco, S. F.; Stoessel, M. M.; Zhang, X.; Ingle, S.

    2011-12-01

    In June 2007 tropical Cyclone Gonu passed directly over an ocean observing system consisting of four, deep autonomous mooring stations along the 3000 m isobath in the northern Arabian Sea. Gonu was the largest cyclone known to have occurred in the Arabian Sea or to strike the Arabian Peninsula. The mooring system was designed by Lighthouse R & D Enterprises, Inc. and installed in cooperation with the Oman Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries Wealth. The instruments on the moorings continuously recorded water velocities, temperature, conductivity, pressure, dissolved oxygen and turbidity at multiple depths and at hourly intervals during the storm. Near-inertial oscillations at all moorings from thermocline to seafloor are coincident with the arrival of Gonu. Sub-inertial oscillations with periods of 2-10 days are recorded at the post-storm relaxation stage of Gonu, primarily in the thermocline. These oscillations consist of warm, saline water masses, likely originating from the Persian Gulf. Prominent 12.7-day sub-inertial waves, measured at a station ~300 km offshore, are bottom-intensified and have characteristics of baroclinic, topographically-trapped waves. Theoretical results from a topographically-trapped wave model are in a good agreement with the observed 12.7-day waves. The wavelength of the 12.7-day waves is about 590 km calculated from the dispersion relationship. Further analysis suggests that a resonant standing wave is responsible for trapping the 12.7-day wave energy inside the Sea of Oman basin. The observational results reported here are the first measurements of deepwater responses to a tropical cyclone in the Sea of Oman/Arabian Sea. Our study demonstrates the utility of sustained monitoring for studying the impact of extreme weather events on the ocean.

  3. Observation on internal waves propagation during Land breeze event in Northern Tyrrhenian coast

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Martellucci, Riccardo; Pierattini, Alberto; Paladini de Mendoza, Francesco; Melchiorri, Cristiano; Piermattei, Viviana; Ciampa, Francesco; Marcelli, Marco

    2015-04-01

    Internal wave propagation and water column mixing phenomena play an important role in many marine ecosystem coastal process. In Northern Tyrrhenian coast the experimental proposed approach is aimed to identify these type of oscillation in presence of breeze circulation. Along the Tyrrhenian coast summer period climate conditions allow the generations of high frequency land-sea breeze events. This local circulation, land-sea breeze indeed, may generate significant modifications of the sea waters physical parameters. Thay often appear as internal gravity waves especially in presence of stratified water and stable thermocline. Since the whole investigated process evolves on diurnal scale and in the space of a few miles the sampling plan was operated with a series of oceanographic surveys at 40 meters depth with 20 minutes interval one from another between 5 a.m. and 11 a.m. and they were repeted during each summers between 2012 - 2014. Coupled with the acquisition of physical parameters current data were collected with 500 kHz ADCP every 20s, the resolution of vertical profiles of CTD matches the ADCP 1 meter magnitude vertical resolution. in order to investigate the water column layers dynamics behavior, Brunt-Vaisala and Richardson number were computed using the sampled physical parameters. Coastal surveys analysis highlights the presence of temperature oscillation in proximity of the thermocline and bottom layers; these oscillations have been observed during all measure surveys, when the land breeze was over. Indeed the land breeze tends to generate an offshore transport causing bottom layers to lift. At the same time solar radiation heating causes a sink of the surface layers which flatten the layers in proximity of the thermocline. Therefore the oscillations of temperature observed during the oceanographic surveys have to considered as internal waves, as during earlier studies conducted in the Tyrrhenian Sea has been observed.

  4. Biofilm formation and sanitizer resistance of Escherichia coli O157:H7 strains isolated from "high event period" meat contamination.

    PubMed

    Wang, Rong; Kalchayanand, Norasak; King, David A; Luedtke, Brandon E; Bosilevac, Joseph M; Arthur, Terrance M

    2014-11-01

    In the meat industry, a "high event period" (HEP) is defined as a time period during which commercial meat plants experience a higher than usual rate of Escherichia coli O157:H7 contamination. Genetic analysis indicated that within a HEP, most of the E. coli O157:H7 strains belong to a singular dominant strain type. This was in disagreement with the current beef contamination model stating that contamination occurs when incoming pathogen load on animal hides, which consists of diverse strain types of E. coli O157:H7, exceeds the intervention capacity. Thus, we hypothesize that the HEP contamination may be due to certain in-plant colonized E. coli O157:H7 strains that are better able to survive sanitization through biofilm formation. To test our hypothesis, a collection of 45 E. coli O157:H7 strains isolated from HEP beef contamination incidents and a panel of 47 E. coli O157:H7 strains of diverse genetic backgrounds were compared for biofilm formation and sanitizer resistance. Biofilm formation was tested on 96-well polystyrene plates for 1 to 6 days. Biofilm cell survival and recovery growth after sanitization were compared between the two strain collections using common sanitizers, including quaternary ammonium chloride, chlorine, and sodium chlorite. No difference in "early stage" biofilms was observed between the two strain collections after incubation at 22 to 25°C for 1 or 2 days. However, the HEP strains demonstrated significantly higher potency of "mature" biofilm formation after incubation for 4 to 6 days. Biofilms of the HEP strains also exhibited significantly stronger resistance to sanitization. These data suggest that biofilm formation and sanitization resistance could have a role in HEP beef contamination by E. coli O157:H7, which highlights the importance of proper and complete sanitization of food contact surfaces and food processing equipment in commercial meat plants. PMID:25364934

  5. Proxy records of Late Holocene climate events in the eastern United States: Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Willard, D. A.; Cronin, T. M.; Hayo, K. M.

    2006-12-01

    We are conducting a multiproxy, regional reconstruction of climate variability during the last two millennia including the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA) in eastern North America. Pollen, benthic foraminifers, ostracodes, and other proxies were analyzed from high-resolution sampling of continuous sedimentary records from lakes, wetlands, and estuaries in Florida, North Carolina, Chesapeake Bay, and Lake Champlain. These records document multi-decadal changes in vegetation, temperature, precipitation, and estuarine salinity across a latitudinal transect. During both the MWP and LIA, decreased precipitation altered plant community composition and distribution in the southeastern United States, and the LIA triggered threshold changes in vegetation that persisted until anthropogenic land-cover change overwhelmed the climate signature. In the mid-Atlantic region, progressively cooler and wetter late Holocene springs culminated in a cool, wet LIA; this trend correlates with observed oceanic changes. Trend analysis of the data suggest that inter-regional correlation of multi-decadal and centennial-scale Holocene climate events will be forthcoming.

  6. Conjugate observations of traveling convection vortices associated with transient events at the magnetopause

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Kim, H.; Clauer, C. R.; Engebretson, M. J.; Matzka, J.; Sibeck, D. G.; Singer, H. J.; Stolle, C.; Weimer, D. R.; Xu, Z.

    2015-03-01

    Traveling convection vortices (TCVs) are generally produced by field-aligned currents (FACs) at high latitudes associated with transient changes of the magnetopause. This paper presents multipoint conjugate observations of transient events at the magnetopause measured in space and on the ground. The transient events showing radial fluctuation of the magnetopause in association with sudden increases in solar wind dynamic pressure were detected by both the Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms and the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite spacecraft. Geomagnetic signatures seen as TCVs in response to the transient events were observed by the ground magnetometer array in Greenland and Canada and their conjugate locations in Antarctica including recently developed Antarctic magnetometers, mostly located along the 40° magnetic meridian. This new conjugate network provides a unique opportunity to observe geomagnetic field signatures over a relatively large region in both hemispheres. This study focuses mainly on the spatial and temporal features of the TCVs in the conjugate hemispheres in relation to the transient events at the magnetopause. The TCV events are characterized by their single or twin vortex, of which the centers are located approximately at 72°-76° magnetic latitude, propagating either dawnward or duskward away from local noon. While interhemispheric conjugacy is expected with an assumption that TCV signatures are created by FACs directed in both hemispheres, our observations suggest that there might be more complex mechanisms contributing the asymmetrical features, perhaps due to field line mapping and/or conductivity differences.

  7. Periodic variations of oxygen EUV dayglow in the upper atmosphere of Venus: Hisaki/EXCEED observations

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Masunaga, K.; Seki, K.; Terada, N.; Tsuchiya, F.; Kimura, T.; Yoshioka, K.; Murakami, G.; Yamazaki, A.; Kagitani, M.; Tao, C.; Fedorov, A.; Futaana, Y.; Zhang, T. L.; Shiota, D.; Leblanc, F.; Chaufray, J.-Y.; Yoshikawa, I.

    2015-12-01

    Using the Extreme Ultraviolet Spectroscope for Exospheric Dynamics (EXCEED) aboard Hisaki and the Solar Extreme Ultraviolet Monitor on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, we investigate variations of the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) dayglow brightness for OII 83.4 nm, OI 130.4 nm, and OI 135.6 nm in the Venusian upper atmosphere observed in March-April (period 1), April-May (period 2), and June-July (period 3) in 2014. The result shows that characteristic periodicities exist in the dayglow variations other than the ~27 day solar rotational effect of the solar EUV flux: 1.8, 2.8, 3.1, 4.5, and 9.9 day in period 1; 1.1 day in period 2; and 1.0 and 11 day in period 3. Many of these periodicities are consistent with previous observations and theory. We suggest these periodicities are related to density oscillations of oxygen atoms or photoelectrons in the thermosphere. The cause of these periodicities is still uncertain, but planetary-scale waves and/or gravity waves propagating from the middle atmosphere, and/or minor periodic variations of the solar EUV radiation flux may play a role. Effects of the solar wind parameters (velocity, dynamic pressure, and interplanetary magnetic field's intensity) on the dayglow variations are also investigated using the Analyser of Space Plasma and Energetic Atoms (ASPERA-4) and magnetometer aboard Venus Express. Although clear correlation with the dayglow variations is not found, their minor periodicities are similar to the dayglow periodicities. Contribution of the solar wind to the dayglow remains still unknown, but the solar wind parameters might affect the dayglow variations.

  8. Strain Rate by Geodetic Observations Associated with Seismic Events in the SIRGAS-CON Network Region.

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Marotta, G. S.; Franca, G.; Galera Monico, J. F.; Fuck, R. A.

    2014-12-01

    This research investigates surface strains related to seismic events and their relationship with pre- and post-seismic events in South American, Antarctica, Nazca, Cocos, North American and Caribbean plates , by analyzing the variation of estimated earth coordinates, for the period 2000-2014, supplied by a geodetic network called SIRGAS-CON. Based on data provided by the USGS for the same period, and after the Global Congruency test, we selected the events associated with unstable geodetic network points. The resulting strains were estimated based on the finite element method. It was possible to determine the strains along with the resulting guidelines for pre- and post-seismic, considering each region formed for analysis as a homogeneous solid body. Later, a multi-year solution of the network was estimated and used to estimate the strain rates of the earth surface from the changing directions of the velocity vectors of 332 geodetic points located in the South American plate and surround plates. The strain rate was determined and, using Euler vector computed, it was possible to estimate the convergence and accommodation rates to each plate. The results showed that contraction regions coincide with locations with most of the high magnitude seismic events. It suggest that major movements detected on the surface occur in regions with more heterogeneous geological structures and multiple rupture events; significant amounts of elastic strain can be accumulated on geological structures away from the plate boundary faults; and, behavior of contractions and extensions is similar to what has been found in seismological studies. Despite the association between seismic events and the strain of geodetic network, some events of high magnitude were excluded because it does not show the surface strain, which is located at great depths. It was confirmed that events of greater magnitude provide increased surface strain rate when compared with other similar depths.

  9. Observations of effects from magnetospheric cusp movement during a solar proton event

    SciTech Connect

    Brown, R.R.; Barcus, J.R.; Stauning, P.; Karas, R.H.

    1981-09-01

    The interplanetary magnetic field underwent a strong southward turning at the location of the ISEE 3 spacecraft, with B/sub z/ (in satellite coordinates) decreasing from +15..gamma.. to -15..gamma.. in the interval from 1540 UT to 1600 UT on August, 1979. Solar wind speed measurements at the spacecraft indicated that the southward turning of the IMF should have reached the front of the magnetosphere around 1625 UT. At that time the solar proton event of August 18, 1979, was still in progress. Observations from balloon-borne and ground-based instrumentation in Greenland in that period, around 1415 magnetic local time, showed an expansion of the polar cap, the cusp moving southward by at least 5/sup 0/ in latitude in 15 min, starting around 1635 UT. From changes in the energetic photon spectrum at ballon altitude, it is shown that the proton cutoff energy at Sondre Stromfjord, Greenland, prior to the cusp motion was in the range 6--10 MeV.

  10. Consistent Observational and Numerical Modeling Support for Ice Sheet Forcing of DOI event 8

    NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS)

    Lu, S.; Jackson, C.; Marchal, O.; Thompson, W.; Stocker, T.

    2008-12-01

    The Binge/Purge (B/P) hypothesis of abrupt climate change (MacAyeal, 1993a,b, Paleoceanography) suggests that an instability and periodic collapse of the Laurentide ice sheet is responsible for the observed abrupt warmings of Greenland (Dansgaard-Oeschger Interstadials or DOIs) through the influence of ice sheet meltwater on ocean circulation and its poleward heat transport. If the B/P hypothesis is correct, then one should be able to use the Greenland paleotemperature data and a climate model to infer changes in global sea level associated with the DOIs. The B/P hypothesis could then be tested by comparing the inferred sea level changes with independent reconstructions based on marine records (corals and sediments). We use stochastic inversion of a seasonal resolving climate model (Schmittner and Stocker, 1999, J. Climate), composed of a zonally averaged ocean model (Wright and Stocker, 1992, J. Geophys. Res.) coupled to an energy and moisture balance model of the atmosphere, to infer the changes in ice sheet meltwater required to explain the Greenland paleotemperature record from 39 ka to 34 ka which include DOIs 8, 7, and 6. We found a compelling consistency between modeled and reconstructed sea level changes for DOI 8 (a particularly long interstadial following Heinrich Event 4), which tends to support the B/P hypothesis. On the other hand, the large estimated uncertainties in the inversion solution and sea level reconstructions do not permit a firm test of the B/P hypothesis for DOIs 7 and 6.